The Thunder are -8.5 favorites vs. the Knicks

Total (Over/Under): 224.5 points

Watch the game on NBC | PEAC

The New York Knicks visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30 pm in Oklahoma City, OK.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-105).

The Knicks vs Thunder Over/Under is 224.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Knicks are 38-35 against the spread, while the Thunder are 34-40 against the spread.

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Knicks vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneylineNew York Knicks+8.5 -115O 224.5 -115+280Oklahoma City Thunder -8.5 -105U 224.5 -105-350

Thunder vs Knicks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Sunday‘s game with 72.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Knicks and Thunder.

Thunder vs Knicks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Knicks will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 65.5% confidence.

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Knicks Best Bets for Tonight:

The New York Knicks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 50 games (+16.55 Units / 23% ROI)

The New York Knicks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 35 away games (+16.30 Units / 30% ROI)

The New York Knicks have covered the 4Q Spread in 30 of their last 45 games (+12.45 Units / 24% ROI)

The New York Knicks have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 17 away games (+10.65 Units / 55% ROI)

The New York Knicks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 45 games (+10.60 Units / 20% ROI)

Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:

The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 18 games (+14.15 Units / 11% ROI)

The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 24 games at home (+9.55 Units / 20% ROI)

The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+8.25 Units / 38% ROI)

The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+8.10 Units / 14% ROI)

The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+7.08 Units / 26% ROI)

New York Knicks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Knicks have gone 38-35 (-0.5 Units / -0.61% ROI).

48-26 against the Moneyline (+2.25 Units / 0.85% ROI)

35-39 against the Over for game total points (-7.9 Units / -9.71% ROI)

39-35 against the Under for game total points (+0.5 Units / 0.61% ROI)

Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 34-40 (-10 Units / -12.29% ROI).

58-16 against the Moneyline (-2.05 Units / -0.42% ROI)

38-36 against the Over for game total points (-1.6 Units / -1.97% ROI)

36-38 against the Under for game total points (-5.8 Units / -7.13% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:

The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 22 games at home (-39.95 Units / -42% ROI)

The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 50 games (-33.25 Units / -29% ROI)

The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 24 games at home (-21.50 Units / -32% ROI)

The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 50 games (-19.15 Units / -18% ROI)

The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games at home (-15.95 Units / -28% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Knicks:

The New York Knicks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 45 games (-34.00 Units / -29% ROI)

The New York Knicks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 45 away games (-30.10 Units / -44% ROI)

The New York Knicks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 15 of their last 50 games (-24.30 Units / -42% ROI)

The New York Knicks have only covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 50 games (-18.05 Units / -31% ROI)

The New York Knicks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 45 games (-17.20 Units / -33% ROI)

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New York Knicks: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Knicks are undefeated (16-0) when their opponents turns the ball over 20 or more times since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .633

The Knicks are 48-14 (.774) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .598

The Knicks are 85-50 (.630) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Knicks are 45-5 (.900) when their eFG is 60% or better since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .843

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Knicks

The Thunder are 86-14 (.860) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .563

The Thunder are 79-8 (.908) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .645

The Thunder are 24-3 (.889) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .558

The Thunder are 108-14 (.885) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .574

New York Knicks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Knicks have averaged 18.7 offensive rebounds per game (1,383 rebounds/74 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.9

The Knicks have an eFG% of 56% this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Knicks are shooting 37% from three (1,068/2,854) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Knicks have made 14.4 three-pointers per game this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 12.3 turnovers per game (2,924 turnovers/238 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Thunder have averaged 12.5 turnovers per game (924 turnovers/74 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.5

The Thunder have averaged 11.9 turnovers per game (1,433 turnovers/120 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Thunder have averaged 6.1 turnovers per game (1,461 turnovers/238 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

New York Knicks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Knicks have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (956 blocks/238 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Knicks have allowed 7.6 offensive rebounds per game (563 rebounds/74 games) in the first half this season — tied for best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.8

The Knicks have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (481 blocks/120 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Knicks have allowed 12.7 second chance points per game (3,027 points/238 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.3

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 6.4 blocks per game (773 blocks/120 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Thunder have averaged 9.8 steals per game (1,175 steals/120 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 44% (9,278/20,988) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

The Thunder have averaged 5.9 blocks per game (1,415 blocks/238 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

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