NBA Betting Preview: Rockets vs Warriors
The Houston Rockets take the court against the Golden State Warriors in this NBA game. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.
The Total Line Could Be Too Low
We’ve got a strong opinion when it comes to the totals when the Rockets play the Warriors. Our prediction is that there will be Over 224.5 points and that is on offer at -112.
Previous H2H Was Warriors Overtime Win
Houston Rockets made it five consecutive wins after a 140-106 home success over Utah Jazz at Toyota Center. Kevin Durant dropped 25 points, as Amen Thompson finished with 21 and Alperen Sengun 19.
Golden State Warriors were defeated last time, making it three losses on the spin. Chase Center saw them beaten 118-111 at home to Cleveland Cavaliers. Brandin Podziemski scored 25 points, with Gui Santos adding 25 and Kristaps Porzingis 16.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The Warriors had the edge in the most recent matchup between these teams. At Toyota Center, they recorded a 115-113 (OT) win over the Rockets. It’s been five wins for each team over the previous 10 H2H meetings.
Rockets
48
29
0.623
114.8
109.9
4.9
28-10
20-19
9-6
26-22
7-3
5W
Warriors
36
41
0.468
114.8
115.1
-0.3
21-17
15-24
6-6
23-24
4-6
3L
Houston Rockets – Last 10 Games
The Rockets have 7 wins and 3 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 121.1 points, 47.0 rebounds, 30.3 assists, 7.9 steals and 5.6 blocks while shooting 49.6% from the field and 78.3% from the free-throw line. The opposition have averaged 110.7 points and 41.2 rebounds per contest.
Kevin Durant is averaging 25.6 points, Amen Thompson 8.4 rebounds and Alperen Sengun 6.9 assists, while Reed Sheppard averages 3.9 (44.3%) 3-pointers made.
Golden State Warriors – Last 10 Games
The Warriors have won 4 and lost 6 of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 112.9 points, 40.8 rebounds, 27.9 assists, 9.8 steals and 3.5 blocks per game while shooting 47.6% from the field and 78.3% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have averaged 120.2 points and 38.6 rebounds.
Brandin Podziemski is averaging 16.6 points, 5.7 rebounds and 2.0 (36.4%) 3-pointers made, while Draymond Green has an average of 5.9 assists.
Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Prediction & Picks
Join us as we dissect the top Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors betting picks — from the main match prediction and scoreline forecast to standout player props and a value-focused bet builder.
Game Prediction
There are odds of -112 available for our NBA pick. We think that the points will be racked up cumulatively and we’re going for Over 224.5 in total.
We use the latest team news and injury updates to help shape the best possible basketball picks. You’ll also notice we take a stats-led approach by factoring in the key NBA numbers that truly make a difference.
Key Rockets vs Warriors stats:
The 224.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Rockets games.The 224.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Rockets games.The 224.5 line has been covered in the last 2 Rockets games.The 224.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Warriors games at home.The 224.5 line has been covered in 16 of the last 20 Warriors games at home.The 224.5 line has been covered in the last 3 Warriors games at home.Over 224.5 Probability
The top sportsbooks imply that our pick has a 52.9% prospect of winning. However, our cappers research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.
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Our Game Prediction
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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 4, 23:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 23:02, 04 April 2026
Player Prop Picks
Gui Santos (Warriors) has an average of 25 points in the past 4 games at home. This leads us nicely to back him to cover the Player Points line, with odds of -105 on offer for this bet.
Latest Gui Santos Player Prop Odds
De’Anthony Melton (Warriors) has covered the 2.5 assists total in 5 straight games. On the basis of this stat, we can shoot for him to once again cover the Player Assists line and this is on offer at +149.
Latest De’Anthony Melton Player Prop Odds
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Correct Score Prediction
The Rockets are capable of landing a victory and we’re going for a correct score line of 118-110 at huge odds. There’s a big return that can be achieved with this wager.
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Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Books Think Rockets Likeliest to Win
For this NBA game, the sportsbooks’ Moneyline betting odds mean Houston Rockets are -164 favorites to win and that means a 62% chance of landing a victory. At +138, Golden State Warriors are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.
4 is the spread and 225.5 is the total points line. A wager on the Totals allows basketball bettors to use the latest data to good effect. If you’re wanting to back Over 225.5, the odds are -110.
There are a wide range of team props and game lines when it comes to wagering on this exciting league and we recommend visiting the best basketball sportsbooks to find the wager that matches your view on the contest.
Betting Lines & Odds
Moneyline
Point Spread
Total Points
Kevin Durant Favorite to Get the Most Buckets
In terms of scoring most points, favorite Kevin Durant is available at -109 to rack up Over 25.5 points. If you want to go Under, then -119 is available.
Player Points
Kevin Durant (Rockets)
Stephen Curry (Warriors)
Alperen Sengun (Rockets)
Amen Thompson (Rockets)
Player Assists
Kevin Durant (Rockets)
Alperen Sengun (Rockets)
Draymond Green (Warriors)
Amen Thompson (Rockets)
Player Rebounds
Alperen Sengun (Rockets)
Amen Thompson (Rockets)
Jabari Smith Jr (Rockets)
Kevin Durant (Rockets)
Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Chase Center
Past Ten Warriors Home Games Feature Seven Losses
The Warriors own a 3-7 mark in their past 10 home games, averaging 114.50 points on offense and surrendering 121.50 on defense.
The Rockets have four wins and six losses in the last 10 games away from home, putting up 114.50 points per contest and giving up 117.60.
The Rockets defeated the Warriors 104-100 the last time they played at Chase Center. In the last 10 head-to-head games at Chase Center, the Warriors have notched seven victories, with the Rockets posting three.
Golden State Warriors Home Stats
3-7
236.00
114.50
121.50
8
2
Houston Rockets Away Stats
4-6
232.10
114.50
117.60
5
5
W-L = Wins-Losses
P = Avg. Points
PF = Avg. Points For
PA = Avg. Points Against
O224.5 = Games Over 224.5 Points
U224.5 = Games Under 224.5 Points
Team Stats
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Houston Rockets Stats
Golden State Warriors Stats
7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 home games
-4 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
-4 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road
+4 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
+4 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 home games
Game Totals: An average of 231.80 pts in the previous 10 games
Game Totals on the Road: An average of 232.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
Over 224.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
Over 224.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 121.10 pts and allowed 110.70 pts in the last 10 games
Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 114.50 pts and allowed 117.60 pts in the last 10 games on the road
Game Totals: An average of 233.10 pts in the previous 10 games
Game Totals at Home: An average of 236.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
Over 224.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
Over 224.5 at Home: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 home games
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 112.90 pts and allowed 120.20 pts in the last 10 games
Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 114.50 pts and allowed 121.50 pts in the last 10 home games
Last 10 Games
2-Pointers Made: 30.70 (56%)
3-Pointers Made: 13.90 (39%)
Free Throws Made: 18.00 (78.26%)
Rebounds: Total 47, Offensive 13.30, Defensive 33.70
Assists: 30.30
Blocks: 5.60
Steals: 7.90
Turnovers : 12.50
Personal Fouls: 16.20
Last 10 Games on the Road
2-Pointers Made: 32.80 (56%)
3-Pointers Made: 10.30 (31%)
Free Throws Made: 18.00 (76.92%)
Rebounds: Total 48.3, Offensive 15.10, Defensive 33.20
Assists: 26.10
Blocks: 6.50
Steals: 7.20
Turnovers : 14.60
Personal Fouls: 17.70
Last 10 Games
2-Pointers Made: 27.60 (59%)
3-Pointers Made: 13.10 (34%)
Free Throws Made: 18.40 (78.3%)
Rebounds: Total 40.8, Offensive 10.80, Defensive 30.00
Assists: 27.90
Blocks: 3.50
Steals: 9.80
Turnovers : 17.50
Personal Fouls: 20.10
Last 10 Home Games
2-Pointers Made: 25.50 (56%)
3-Pointers Made: 15.90 (35%)
Free Throws Made: 15.80 (81.44%)
Rebounds: Total 42.2, Offensive 10.60, Defensive 31.60
Assists: 29.00
Blocks: 3.90
Steals: 8.50
Turnovers : 12.80
Personal Fouls: 19.10
Starting Lineups
Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of tip-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.
Expert Analysis by Elijah Jackson
Senior NBA Analyst
About the Analyst
Elijah Jackson is a Senior NBA Analyst and Head of the Basketball Editorial Betting Panel with 10+ years of experience, specialising in roster evaluation and efficiency-based analysis to uncover value across NBA markets.
NBA Predictions Methodology
Our NBA analysis focuses on efficiency, pace and player performance ratings. We combine player availability, schedule context, lineup data and market movement with metrics such as Offensive Rating (ORTG), Defensive Rating (DRTG), Net Rating and Effective Field Goal Percentage (eFG%) to assess overall team strength, fatigue analysis and find value in high-paced games.
Full Methodology & Data Sources
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Transparency & Safety
This preview was last updated on Apr 5, 02:40 to reflect the latest team news, injury reports, starting lineups, player rotations, rest and travel factors, key performance metrics and odds movement.
All analysis is produced by professional analysts and reviewed by our Basketball Editorial Betting Panel for accuracy and consistency.
Historical performance for our game predictions is tracked and updated regularly for transparency.
Important: Betting should be treated as entertainment and involves risk. Past results are not indicative of future performance. Only wager what you can afford to lose.
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