The Magic are -4.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans
Total (Over/Under): 236.5 points
Watch the game on FDFL | GCSE
The Orlando Magic visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00 pm in New Orleans, LA.
The Magic are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).
The Magic vs Pelicans Over/Under is 236.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Magic are 34-42 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 43-34 against the spread.
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Magic vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
SpreadOver / UnderMoneylineOrlando Magic-4.5 -110O 236.5 -110-210New Orleans Pelicans +4.5 -110U 236.5 -110+170
Pelicans vs Magic Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Magic will win Sunday‘s game with 57.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Magic and Pelicans.
Pelicans vs Magic Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Magic will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 54.9% confidence.
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Magic Best Bets for Tonight:
The Orlando Magic have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games (+11.50 Units / 28% ROI)
The Orlando Magic have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.50 Units / 19% ROI)
The Orlando Magic have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.70 Units / 53% ROI)
The Orlando Magic have hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 40 away games (+8.30 Units / 16% ROI)
The Orlando Magic have covered the 1H Spread in 25 of their last 40 away games (+7.65 Units / 17% ROI)
Pelicans Best Bets for Tonight:
The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+11.85 Units / 33% ROI)
The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 games (+11.10 Units / 23% ROI)
The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 3Q Spread in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+10.95 Units / 32% ROI)
The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+8.00 Units / 24% ROI)
The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+7.50 Units / 13% ROI)
Orlando Magic Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Magic have gone 34-42 (-12.25 Units / -14.45% ROI).
41-36 against the Moneyline (-10.65 Units / -6.22% ROI)
43-34 against the Over for game total points (+5.6 Units / 6.61% ROI)
34-43 against the Under for game total points (-13.3 Units / -15.7% ROI)
New Orleans Pelicans Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 43-34 (+5.6 Units / 6.53% ROI).
25-53 against the Moneyline (-19.5 Units / -20.06% ROI)
38-40 against the Over for game total points (-6 Units / -6.99% ROI)
40-38 against the Under for game total points (-1.8 Units / -2.1% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pelicans:
The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the 4Q Spread in 17 of their last 50 games (-21.85 Units / -37% ROI)
The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 50 games (-14.75 Units / -25% ROI)
The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 50 games (-13.90 Units / -25% ROI)
The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 45 games (-11.36 Units / -22% ROI)
The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 50 games (-11.35 Units / -20% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Magic:
The Orlando Magic have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 18 of their last 50 games (-23.55 Units / -32% ROI)
The Orlando Magic have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 50 games (-18.65 Units / -33% ROI)
The Orlando Magic have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 50 games (-18.25 Units / -31% ROI)
The Orlando Magic have only covered the 2H Spread in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.84 Units / -29% ROI)
The Orlando Magic have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 50 games (-16.35 Units / -23% ROI)
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Orlando Magic: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans
The Magic are 31-10 (.756) when making 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643
The Magic are 28-2 (.933) when their eFG is 60% or better since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .843
The Magic are 40-13 (.755) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .695
The Magic are 16-4 (.800) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .697
New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Orlando Magic
The Pelicans are 1-19 (.050) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .303
The Pelicans are 9-60 (.130) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .305
The Pelicans are 14-32 (.304) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .559
The Pelicans are 4-4 (.500) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .604
Orlando Magic Offensive Stats & Trends
The Magic are shooting 34% from three (2,730/8,092) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Magic have a 29% free throw rate (5,990 free throw attempts/20,789 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25%
The Magic have 27.2 free throw attempts per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.6
The Magic are shooting 33% from three (1,827/5,524) since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends
The Pelicans have averaged 60.4 points in the paint per game (2,356 points/39 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.8
The Pelicans have averaged 29.6 points in the paint per game (2,306 points/78 games) in the first half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.2
The Pelicans have averaged 57.2 points in the paint per game (4,460 points/78 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7
The Pelicans have averaged 16.6 fast break points per game (1,297 points/78 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.2
Orlando Magic Defensive Stats & Trends
The Magic have allowed 12.4 second chance points per game (2,982 points/241 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.3
The Magic have averaged 34.0 defensive rebounds per game (8,205 rebounds/241 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1
The Magic have averaged 5.3 blocks per game (643 blocks/122 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Magic have averaged 8.5 steals per game (2,050 steals/241 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends
The Pelicans have averaged 34.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,656 rebounds/78 games) this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8
The Pelicans have averaged 34.4 defensive rebounds per game (8,326 rebounds/242 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1
The Pelicans have averaged 8.2 steals per game (997 steals/122 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.1
The Pelicans have averaged 5.2 blocks per game (404 blocks/78 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
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