The Lakers are -1.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks
Total (Over/Under): 233.5 points
Watch the game on PEAC | NBC | TELE
The Los Angeles Lakers visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30 pm in Dallas, TX.
The Lakers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Lakers vs Mavericks Over/Under is 233.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Lakers are 43-34 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 33-44 against the spread.
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Lakers vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
SpreadOver / UnderMoneylineLos Angeles Lakers-1.5 -110O 233.5 -115-130Dallas Mavericks +1.5 -110U 233.5 -105+105
Mavericks vs Lakers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Lakers will win Sunday‘s game with 51.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Lakers and Mavericks.
Mavericks vs Lakers Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Lakers will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 56.6% confidence.
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Lakers Best Bets for Tonight:
The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 19 games (+14.10 Units / 20% ROI)
The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 16 away games (+10.35 Units / 48% ROI)
The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 1Q Spread in 13 of their last 16 away games (+9.55 Units / 52% ROI)
The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.40 Units / 23% ROI)
The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 15 away games (+8.65 Units / 50% ROI)
Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:
The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 50 games (+17.60 Units / 30% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+13.20 Units / 29% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 17 games at home (+12.75 Units / 65% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+7.75 Units / 37% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 4Q Spread in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+6.05 Units / 28% ROI)
Los Angeles Lakers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 43-34 (+5.6 Units / 6.61% ROI).
50-27 against the Moneyline (+17.7 Units / 9.26% ROI)
40-36 against the Over for game total points (+0.4 Units / 0.47% ROI)
36-40 against the Under for game total points (-8 Units / -9.45% ROI)
Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 33-44 (-15.45 Units / -18.23% ROI).
24-53 against the Moneyline (-15.85 Units / -16.44% ROI)
34-43 against the Over for game total points (-13.3 Units / -15.7% ROI)
43-34 against the Under for game total points (+5.6 Units / 6.61% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:
The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 50 games (-24.45 Units / -43% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 40 games at home (-19.35 Units / -42% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 10 of their last 35 games (-18.90 Units / -47% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 18 of their last 50 games (-18.75 Units / -33% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 50 games (-17.85 Units / -32% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Lakers:
The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 45 games (-20.90 Units / -32% ROI)
The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 50 games (-15.85 Units / -27% ROI)
The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 50 games (-15.40 Units / -21% ROI)
The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 45 games (-15.20 Units / -29% ROI)
The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 40 away games (-14.65 Units / -24% ROI)
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Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks
The Lakers are 26-9 (.743) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .571
The Lakers are 23-15 (.605) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .459
The Lakers are 12-6 (.667) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .396
The Lakers are 89-43 (.674) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .575
Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers
The Mavericks are 8-34 (.190) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .429
The Mavericks are 12-33 (.267) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .426
The Mavericks are 5-8 (.385) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .604
The Mavericks are 5-17 (.227) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .363
Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Lakers have averaged 1.39 points per shot (8,974 points/6,457 shots) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30
The Lakers are shooting 51% (1,629/3,193) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Lakers are shooting 50% (3,234/6,457) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Lakers have a 29% free throw rate (5,960 free throw attempts/20,640 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25%
Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks have made 10.8 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3
The Mavericks have a TS% of 49% this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
The Mavericks are shooting 34% from three (417/1,242) in the first half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Mavericks have a TS% of 50% at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%
Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Lakers have averaged 4.4 blocks per game (335 blocks/77 games) this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Lakers have averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,605 rebounds/77 games) this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8
The Lakers have allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (442/1,332) at home this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%
The Lakers have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (335 blocks/80 games) on the road since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks have averaged 5.1 blocks per game (394 blocks/77 games) this season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Mavericks have averaged 7.4 steals per game (1,786 steals/241 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
The Mavericks have averaged 5.2 blocks per game (1,254 blocks/241 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Mavericks have averaged 7.5 steals per game (578 steals/77 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4
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