NBA Betting Preview: Kings vs Warriors
The Sacramento Kings take the court against the Golden State Warriors in this NBA game. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.
Back Kings to Cover the Spread
There’s a lot to like about the Kings +15.5 when they face the Warriors. You can get odds of -110 and we need them to avoid a sizeable defeat.
Warriors 137-103 Victors When Teams Met Last
Sacramento Kings were defeated in their previous game. They were beaten at home to LA Clippers by a 138-109 scoreline at Golden 1 Center. Devin Carter dropped 21 points, as Nique Clifford finished with 18 and Daeqwon Plowden 15.
Golden State Warriors were defeated last time, making it four losses on the spin. Chase Center saw them beaten 117-116 at home to Houston Rockets. Stephen Curry scored 29 points, while Brandin Podziemski finished with 18 and Gui Santos 15.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The Warriors won the most recent matchup between these teams. A 137-103 victory was registered against the Kings at Chase Center. We’ve seen six Kings wins in the past 10 meetings between the teams.
Warriors
36
42
0.462
114.8
115.1
-0.3
21-18
15-24
6-6
23-25
3-7
4L
Kings
21
58
0.266
110.9
121.2
-10.3
14-26
7-32
3-11
13-36
3-7
1L
Sacramento Kings – Last 10 Games
3 wins and 7 losses in the past 10 games. The Kings are averaging 111.6 points, 42.4 rebounds, 27.1 assists, 5.9 steals and 4.0 blocks while shooting 47.7% from the field and 73.3% from the free-throw line. The opposition average 125.3 points and 40.2 rebounds per matchup.
Maxime Raynaud is averaging 18.6 points and 8.7 rebounds, Malik Monk 4.3 assists and Daeqwon Plowden 2.8 (38.4%) 3-pointers.
Golden State Warriors – Last 10 Games
The Warriors have won 3 and lost 7 of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 112.0 points, 39.8 rebounds, 28.1 assists, 9.2 steals and 3.4 blocks per game while shooting 47.5% from the field and 78.4% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have averaged 120.2 points and 38.8 rebounds.
Brandin Podziemski is averaging 17.4 points, 5.5 rebounds and 2.1 (36.8%) 3-pointers made, while Draymond Green has an average of 6.4 assists.
Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors Prediction & Picks
Discover our expert Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors betting tips, featuring a match prediction, correct score suggestion and bet builder advice. Scroll down for full analysis.
Game Prediction
Kings have been given a sizeable +15.5 on the spread and we’re looking to take advantage. Back the -110 that the underdogs avoid a big loss in this NBA showdown.
Tracking injury updates is a big part of our analysis and team news plays a major role in shaping our basketball predictions. We combine this with recent form and the most important NBA stats to get a complete picture.
Key Kings vs Warriors stats:
The +15.5 line has been covered by Kings in 13 of their last 20 games.The +15.5 line has been covered by Kings in 6 of their last 10 games on the road.The -15.5 line hasn’t been covered by Warriors in 19 consecutive games.The -15.5 line hasn’t been covered by Warriors in 7 of their last 10 games against Kings.Kings +15.5 Probability
The top sportsbooks imply that our pick has a 52.4% prospect of winning. However, our analysts have this number closer to 60% based on their in-depth research. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.
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Our Game Prediction
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Published 23:03, 06 April 2026
Correct Score Prediction
For those wanting a big return from a small stake, consider the correct score lines. For example, the Warriors can be backed to win 120-109 at massive betting odds.
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Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Books Running Scared of Warriors Win
Golden State Warriors have short betting odds and they’re overwhelming -909 favorites for this NBA game. This means the sportsbooks give them a 90% chance of winning. For those wanting to back Sacramento Kings, you will find +640 about the underdogs.
There is a spread of 15.5 and total points has a line of 234.5. A Total wager is always available and can often provide value selections. Those who wager Under 234.5 can get -110.
You can find a huge selection of game lines and team props for every contest, with the best NBA betting sites creating many different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.
Betting Lines & Odds
Moneyline
Point Spread
Total Points
Player Props & Micro Betting
We’re fond of player props as an alternative to betting on the game result. The gambling sites will have Points, Assists, Three-Pointers, Rebounds and Steals among the choices and you can take a particular view.
There are some exciting basketball micro betting lines that are created and they are available in-game. Among them are Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer. The long-ball option pays better, and in today’s game, you can never discount the three-pointer.
Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Chase Center
Warriors Run Includes Three Consecutive Home Losses
The Warriors have hit a skid with three losses in succession at Chase Center. They own a 3-7 mark in their past 10 home games, averaging 115.10 points on offense and surrendering 121.10 on defense.
The Kings are 4-6 in their last 10 games on the road, posting 111.40 points per contest while yielding 120.90.
The most recent Chase Center meeting saw the Warriors claim a 137-103 win over the Kings. Over the last 10 head-to-head meetings at Chase Center, the Warriors have claimed seven wins compared to the Kings who have three.
Golden State Warriors Home Stats
3-7
236.20
115.10
121.10
5
5
Sacramento Kings Away Stats
4-6
232.30
111.40
120.90
5
5
W-L = Wins-Losses
P = Avg. Points
PF = Avg. Points For
PA = Avg. Points Against
O234.5 = Games Over 234.5 Points
U234.5 = Games Under 234.5 Points
Team Stats
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Sacramento Kings Stats
Golden State Warriors Stats
3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 home games
+15.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
+15.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road
-15.5 Betting Line: Have not covered the spread in any of the last 10 games
-15.5 Betting Line at Home: Have not covered the spread in any of the last 10 home games
Game Totals: An average of 236.90 pts in the previous 10 games
Game Totals on the Road: An average of 232.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
Over 234.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
Over 234.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 111.60 pts and allowed 125.30 pts in the last 10 games
Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 111.40 pts and allowed 120.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road
Game Totals: An average of 232.20 pts in the previous 10 games
Game Totals at Home: An average of 236.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
Over 234.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
Over 234.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 112.00 pts and allowed 120.20 pts in the last 10 games
Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 115.10 pts and allowed 121.10 pts in the last 10 home games
Last 10 Games
2-Pointers Made: 30.70 (54%)
3-Pointers Made: 11.60 (36%)
Free Throws Made: 15.40 (73.33%)
Rebounds: Total 42.4, Offensive 12.70, Defensive 29.70
Assists: 27.10
Blocks: 4.00
Steals: 5.90
Turnovers : 13.50
Personal Fouls: 18.70
Last 10 Games on the Road
2-Pointers Made: 33.00 (54%)
3-Pointers Made: 10.00 (34%)
Free Throws Made: 15.40 (78.97%)
Rebounds: Total 43.7, Offensive 13.60, Defensive 30.10
Assists: 26.90
Blocks: 3.80
Steals: 7.70
Turnovers : 13.40
Personal Fouls: 19.50
Last 10 Games
2-Pointers Made: 26.70 (59%)
3-Pointers Made: 13.60 (34%)
Free Throws Made: 17.80 (78.41%)
Rebounds: Total 39.8, Offensive 10.00, Defensive 29.80
Assists: 28.10
Blocks: 3.40
Steals: 9.20
Turnovers : 17.00
Personal Fouls: 19.90
Last 10 Home Games
2-Pointers Made: 26.00 (56%)
3-Pointers Made: 15.30 (35%)
Free Throws Made: 17.20 (83.5%)
Rebounds: Total 41.3, Offensive 10.10, Defensive 31.20
Assists: 29.40
Blocks: 3.80
Steals: 8.40
Turnovers : 13.00
Personal Fouls: 19.90
Starting Lineups
Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of tip-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.
Expert Analysis by Kyrone Jones
NBA Analyst
About the Analyst
Our basketball previews are produced by a specialised team of analysts, former odds compilers and sports journalists. Picks are research-driven and reviewed for accuracy and editorial consistency under the oversight of our basketball panel and Editor-in-Chief.
NBA Predictions Methodology
Our NBA analysis focuses on efficiency, pace and player performance ratings. We combine player availability, schedule context, lineup data and market movement with metrics such as Offensive Rating (ORTG), Defensive Rating (DRTG), Net Rating and Effective Field Goal Percentage (eFG%) to assess overall team strength, fatigue analysis and find value in high-paced games.
Full Methodology & Data Sources
Where to Bet
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Transparency & Safety
This preview was last updated on Apr 6, 23:03 to reflect the latest team news, injury reports, starting lineups, player rotations, rest and travel factors, key performance metrics and odds movement.
All analysis is produced by professional analysts and reviewed by our Basketball Editorial Betting Panel for accuracy and consistency.
Historical performance for our game predictions is tracked and updated regularly for transparency.
Important: Betting should be treated as entertainment and involves risk. Past results are not indicative of future performance. Only wager what you can afford to lose.
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