April 6, 2026, 11:58 p.m. ET
The Miami Heat (41-37) and Toronto Raptors (43-35) meet Tuesday at 7:30 p.m. ET at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s analyze NBA odds around the Heat vs. Raptors odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Raptors head into the back-to-back set leading 2-0 with 106-96 and 112-91 road wins in December as the Under hit in both
The Heat blasted the Washington Wizards 152-136 Saturday, but failed to cover as 17.5-point home favorites as the Over (246.5) cashed. Miami is 3-8 straight up and against the spread (ATS) in its last 11 games, but is 44-33-1 ATS on the season. The Heat are the 10th seed in the Eastern Conference, 2 games behind the 6-seed Raptors for the last guaranteed playoff spot with 4 games left on the schedule.
The Raptors are trying to hang on to the No. 6 seed, leading 3 teams by just a half-game while trailing the 5-seed Atlanta Hawks by 1 1/2 games. Toronto lost to the Boston Celtics 115-101 Sunday, failing to cover as a 9.6-point road underdog with the Under (220.5) hitting. Toronto has lost 3 of its last 4 and has failed to cover in each defeat. It is 40-38 ATS on the season.
Watch the NBA on Fubo!Heat at Raptors odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 11:47 p.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML): Heat -102 (bet $102 to win $100) | Raptors -118 (bet $118 to win $100)Against the spread (ATS): Heat +1.5 (-110) | Raptors -1.5 (-110)Over/Under (O/U): 239.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)Heat at Raptors key injuries
Heat
G Tyler Herro (foot) probableF Nikola Jovic (ankle) outG Norman Powell (conditioning) probableG Terry Rozier (not with team) out
Raptors
C Sandro Mamukelshavili (knee) questionableF Collin Murray-Boyles (quad) questionableG Immanuel Quickley (foot) questionable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Heat at Raptors picks and predictionsPrediction
Raptors 123, Heat 119
PASS.
Given the slight spread here and the predicted outcome, the better play is on the home team’s spread.
BET RAPTORS -1.5 (-110).
The Raptors have been solid at home, covering in 5 of their last 6 contests at Scotiabank Arena. Their defense has been better as of late as well, allowing 115 points or fewer in 4 of their last 6 games.
The Heat may be getting both Powell and Herro back, but neither played Saturday and could be rusty coming back from injury. Miami’s defense has been atrocious, allowing at least 136 points in 2 straight contests.
BET OVER 239.5 (-110).
The Heat’s defense has just been too bad to overlook here.
They have allowed at least 135 points in 4 of their last 5 games and are 4-1 O/U in that span. Toronto has gone Over in 3 of its last 5 games and has given up at least 123 points in 2 of its last 4 contests.
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