The Nuggets are -6.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves
Total (Over/Under): 231.5 points
Watch the game on NBC | PEAC
The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:30 pm in Denver, CO.
The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).
The Timberwolves vs Nuggets Over/Under is 231.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 37-46 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 45-38 against the spread.
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Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
SpreadOver / UnderMoneylineMinnesota Timberwolves+6.5 -110O 231.5 -110+220Denver Nuggets -6.5 -110U 231.5 -110-275
Nuggets vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Monday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Timberwolves and Nuggets.
Nuggets vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 57.3% confidence.
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Timberwolves Best Bets for Tonight:
The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 45 away games (+10.43 Units / 20% ROI)
The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 21 away games (+10.30 Units / 43% ROI)
The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 30 away games (+9.65 Units / 28% ROI)
The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+9.50 Units / 36% ROI)
The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 away games (+9.35 Units / 26% ROI)
Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 50 games (+15.90 Units / 8% ROI)
The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 12 games (+9.85 Units / 70% ROI)
The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.80 Units / 25% ROI)
The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.35 Units / 42% ROI)
The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 50 games (+7.90 Units / 11% ROI)
Minnesota Timberwolves Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 37-46 (-13.65 Units / -14.94% ROI).
49-34 against the Moneyline (-14 Units / -5.9% ROI)
38-45 against the Over for game total points (-11.5 Units / -12.6% ROI)
45-38 against the Under for game total points (+3.2 Units / 3.5% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 45-38 (+3.2 Units / 3.5% ROI).
55-28 against the Moneyline (+10.5 Units / 3.55% ROI)
52-31 against the Over for game total points (+17.93 Units / 19.65% ROI)
31-52 against the Under for game total points (-26.2 Units / -28.68% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 50 games (-30.15 Units / -25% ROI)
The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 18 of their last 40 games at home (-15.51 Units / -20% ROI)
The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 50 games (-14.25 Units / -25% ROI)
The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 45 games (-13.80 Units / -28% ROI)
The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 35 games at home (-13.60 Units / -23% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Timberwolves:
The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 15 of their last 40 games (-19.66 Units / -29% ROI)
The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 45 games (-18.35 Units / -27% ROI)
The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 45 away games (-17.05 Units / -33% ROI)
The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 23 away games (-13.50 Units / -51% ROI)
The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 40 games (-12.75 Units / -28% ROI)
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Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Timberwolves are 28-4 (.875) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .788
The Timberwolves are 27-11 (.711) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .573
The Timberwolves are 75-35 (.682) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .578
The Timberwolves are 74-25 (.747) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .696
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves
The Nuggets are 38-7 (.844) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .618
The Nuggets are undefeated (5-0) when their opponents turns the ball over 20 or more times since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .638
The Nuggets are 15-2 (.882) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .624
The Nuggets are 33-13 (.717) when winning the rebounding margin this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .659
Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends
The Timberwolves are shooting 75% from the free throw line (1,558/2,072) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%
The Timberwolves have averaged 121.2 points per game (4,970 points/41 games) on the road this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7
The Timberwolves have averaged 1.33 points per shot (9,676 points/7,260 shots) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30
The Timberwolves are shooting 48% (3,495/7,260) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets are shooting 40% from three (1,161/2,934) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Nuggets are shooting 41% from three (565/1,393) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Nuggets have an eFG% of 58% this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%
The Nuggets have averaged 1.39 points per shot (10,010 points/7,196 shots) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30
Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends
The Timberwolves have averaged 5.8 blocks per game (476 blocks/82 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Timberwolves have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (1,378 blocks/246 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Timberwolves have averaged 35.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,900 rebounds/82 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8
The Timberwolves have averaged 35.7 defensive rebounds per game (8,787 rebounds/246 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 6.8 steals per game (560 steals/82 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4
The Nuggets have forced 11.8 turnovers per game (966 turnovers/82 games) this season — lowest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.5
The Nuggets have averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (6,070 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1
The Nuggets have forced 11.9 turnovers per game (486 turnovers/41 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.4
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