NBA Playoffs Betting Preview: Suns vs Thunder
The No. 8 seed Phoenix Suns (45-37, 20-21 away) take on the No. 1 Oklahoma City Thunder (64-18, 34-7 at home) in Game 2 of this first-round NBA Playoffs series. OKC leads the series 1-0.
Best Pick Could Be Thunder Against the Spread
We’re confident that the Thunder can enjoy a big win against the Suns, leading us to go against the spread at -17.5. This line makes plenty of appeal and there are odds of -110 available.
Thunder Blew Out Suns
In Game 1 on Sunday, the Oklahoma City Thunder dominated the Phoenix Suns with a 119-84 win at Paycom Center.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the Thunder with 25 points, while Jalen Williams added 22 and Chet Holmgren chipped in 16. Devin Booker had 23 for the Suns, with Dillon Brooks scoring 18 and Jalen Green adding 17.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Oklahoma City has taken eight of the last 10 matchups against Phoenix.
Thunder
64
18
0.78
119
107.9
11.1
34-8
30-10
12-4
41-11
7-3
2L
Suns
45
37
0.549
112.6
111.1
1.5
25-16
20-21
10-7
29-23
5-5
1W
Phoenix Suns – Last 10 Games
The Suns have 4 wins and 6 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 106.8 points, 41.3 rebounds, 20.7 assists, 8.0 steals and 5.1 blocks while shooting 45.0% from the field and 77.7% from the free-throw line. The opposition average 111.1 points and 44.3 rebounds per matchup.
Devin Booker is averaging 21.9 points and 4.8 assists, while Oso Ighodaro averages 6.1 rebounds and Jordan Goodwin 1.8 (52.9%) 3-pointers made.
Oklahoma City Thunder – Last 10 Games
The Thunder have won 8 and lost 2 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 122.1 points, 46.1 rebounds, 28.3 assists, 10.5 steals and 5.2 blocks per game while shooting 49.1% from the field and 80.2% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have an average of 107.3 points and 43.7 rebounds.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 22.0 points and 5.2 assists, while Isaiah Hartenstein has an average of 6.3 rebounds and Isaiah Joe 2.8 (51.9%) 3-pointers made.
Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction & Picks
We’ve broken down Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder from every angle, offering our expert match prediction, expected final score, best player prop recommendations and a well-constructed bet builder.
Game Prediction
There’s a case to be made for Thunder on the spread in this NBA matchup. Our prediction is that the betting favorites can cover the -17.5 line at odds of -110 considering they should be superior.
We use the latest team news and injury updates to help shape the best possible basketball picks. You’ll also notice we take a stats-led approach by factoring in the key NBA numbers that truly make a difference.
Key Suns vs Thunder stats:
The -17.5 line has been covered by Thunder in 6 of their last 10 games.The -17.5 line has been covered by Thunder in 3 of their last 5 games.The +17.5 line hasn’t been covered by Suns in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.Thunder -17.5 Probability
If you go by the top NBA sportsbooks, our pick has a 52.4% chance of landing a return. Based on our cappers in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 55-60%. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.
Looking for Bigger Odds?
Those wanting an alternative to the spread can consider Winning Margin where there are several options. Take a view on the Thunder and their performance.
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Our Game Prediction
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Published 23:02, 21 April 2026
Player Prop Picks
Dillon Brooks (Suns) has recorded Over 1.5 assists in 3 of the past 4 games. The line for him on the Overs has plenty of appeal, with bettors currently able to get odds of -132 for this happening.
Latest Dillon Brooks Player Prop Odds
Jordan Goodwin (Suns) hasn’t covered the 2.5 assists total in 5 of the past 8 games. He’s not guaranteed to cover the Player Assists line and we’re happy to take this bet which is priced at odds of -204.
Latest Jordan Goodwin Player Prop Odds
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Correct Score Prediction
There are lots of different betting angles including the chance to back the Thunder on the correct score lines. For example, a 120-100 win in their favor is available at massive odds.
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Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Thunder Big Favorites According to Latest Odds
The latest Moneyline betting odds give Oklahoma City Thunder a 95% chance of winning this NBA game which means they’re overwhelming -2000 favorites with the sportsbooks. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Phoenix Suns are trading at +1100.
The current spread is 17.5 and the total points line is 215.5. Basketball bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on the Totals. If you’re keen on Over 215.5, this selection is available at -110.
The best basketball betting sites offer a huge selection of team props and game lines when it comes to most NBA contests. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.
Betting Lines & Odds
Moneyline
Point Spread
Total Points
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Favorite to Score the Most Baskets
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is the favorite to hit the most buckets. You can back -118 that he gets Over 29.5 points. Alternatively, Under is trading at the same odds.
Player Points
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)
Devin Booker (Suns)
Jalen Williams (Thunder)
Jalen Green (Suns)
Player Assists
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)
Devin Booker (Suns)
Jalen Williams (Thunder)
Jalen Green (Suns)
Player Rebounds
Chet Holmgren (Thunder)
Mark Williams (Suns)
Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)
Jordan Goodwin (Suns)
Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Paycom Center
Thunder Own Nine Wins From Last Ten at Home
The Thunder have gone 9-1 across their last 10 home games, posting 121.20 points per contest while yielding 108.00.
The Suns are 3-7 in their last 10 games away from home, putting up 107.70 points per contest and giving up 111.70.
The Thunder beat the Suns 119-84 when the teams last met at Paycom Center. In their previous 10 head-to-head matchups at Paycom Center, the Thunder have tallied eight wins, compared to the Suns with two.
Oklahoma City Thunder Home Stats
9-1
229.20
121.20
108.00
7
3
Phoenix Suns Away Stats
3-7
219.40
107.70
111.70
7
3
W-L = Wins-Losses
P = Avg. Points
PF = Avg. Points For
PA = Avg. Points Against
O215.5 = Games Over 215.5 Points
U215.5 = Games Under 215.5 Points
Team Stats
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Phoenix Suns Stats
Oklahoma City Thunder Stats
4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games
+17.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
+17.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road
-17.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
-17.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games
Game Totals: An average of 217.90 pts in the previous 10 games
Game Totals on the Road: An average of 219.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
Over 215.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
Over 215.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 106.80 pts and allowed 111.10 pts in the last 10 games
Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 107.70 pts and allowed 111.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road
Game Totals: An average of 229.40 pts in the previous 10 games
Game Totals at Home: An average of 229.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
Over 215.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
Over 215.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 122.10 pts and allowed 107.30 pts in the last 10 games
Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 121.20 pts and allowed 108.00 pts in the last 10 home games
Last 10 Games
2-Pointers Made: 25.40 (53%)
3-Pointers Made: 13.10 (35%)
Free Throws Made: 16.70 (77.67%)
Rebounds: Total 41.3, Offensive 11.60, Defensive 29.70
Assists: 20.70
Blocks: 5.10
Steals: 8.00
Turnovers : 15.10
Personal Fouls: 20.30
Last 10 Games on the Road
2-Pointers Made: 26.30 (51%)
3-Pointers Made: 13.70 (35%)
Free Throws Made: 14.00 (74.07%)
Rebounds: Total 42.8, Offensive 13.10, Defensive 29.70
Assists: 24.60
Blocks: 4.20
Steals: 8.10
Turnovers : 13.90
Personal Fouls: 19.90
Last 10 Games
2-Pointers Made: 29.00 (57%)
3-Pointers Made: 15.70 (39%)
Free Throws Made: 17.00 (80.19%)
Rebounds: Total 46.1, Offensive 11.30, Defensive 34.80
Assists: 28.30
Blocks: 5.20
Steals: 10.50
Turnovers : 11.80
Personal Fouls: 18.50
Last 10 Home Games
2-Pointers Made: 28.70 (57%)
3-Pointers Made: 15.40 (37%)
Free Throws Made: 17.60 (80.37%)
Rebounds: Total 44.5, Offensive 11.10, Defensive 33.40
Assists: 27.60
Blocks: 6.10
Steals: 9.60
Turnovers : 10.20
Personal Fouls: 18.00
Starting Lineups
Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of tip-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.
Expert Analysis by Elijah Jackson
Senior NBA Analyst
About the Analyst
Elijah Jackson is a Senior NBA Analyst and Head of the Basketball Editorial Betting Panel with 10+ years of experience, specialising in roster evaluation and efficiency-based analysis to uncover value across NBA markets.
NBA Predictions Methodology
Our NBA analysis focuses on efficiency, pace and player performance ratings. We combine player availability, schedule context, lineup data and market movement with metrics such as Offensive Rating (ORTG), Defensive Rating (DRTG), Net Rating and Effective Field Goal Percentage (eFG%) to assess overall team strength, fatigue analysis and find value in high-paced games.
Full Methodology & Data Sources
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This preview was last updated on Apr 21, 23:02 to reflect the latest team news, injury reports, starting lineups, player rotations, rest and travel factors, key performance metrics and odds movement.
All analysis is produced by professional analysts and reviewed by our Basketball Editorial Betting Panel for accuracy and consistency.
Historical performance for our game predictions is tracked and updated regularly for transparency.
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