The fourth-seeded Indiana Pacers and top-seeded Cleveland Cavaliers play Game 1 of the best-of-7 Eastern Conference Semifinals series Sunday. Tip-off from Rocket Arena is scheduled for 6 p.m. ET (TNT / truTV / Max). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Pacers vs. Cavaliers odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Regular-season series: Pacers won 3-1

The Pacers pushed past the fifth-seeded Milwaukee Bucks in 5 games, clinching the series win with a 119-118 overtime thriller on April 29 in Game 5. The Pacers failed to cover the spread in 2 of the final 3 games of the series, but they were 3-2 against the spread (ATS) in the first-round series, while the Over cashed in 3 of the final 4 games.

Pacers PK Pascal Siakam led the team with 19.8 points per game (PPG) in the 5-game series win, while PG Tyrese Haliburton was on his heels with 17.6 PPG. He also dished out a team-best 11.6 assists per game (APG), while tying with SF Aaron NeSmith for the team lead with 6.4 rebounds per game (RPG).

The Cavaliers breezed past the Miami Heat in a 4-game sweep in the first round, including an embarrassing 138-83 victory in Game 4 in South Florida in the elimination game. Cleveland won 3 of the 4 games by 21 or more points, and the average margin of victory in the sweep was 30.5 PPG. The Cavs were 3-1 ATS in the series, going 1-1 ATS at home. The Over cashed in 3 of 4 games, too, with the total going high in both games at home.

Cleveland scored at least 121 points in all 4 games against the Heat, while averaging 121.1 PPG at home, with 106.0 PPG allowed in 2 home playoff outings. Cavaliers PG Darius Garland led the way with 24.0 PPG, with PG Donovan Mitchell right behind him at 23.8 PPG. Garland also led with 7.0 APG, while C Jarrett Allen was a beast on the glass with 10.3 PPG, averaging 14.3 PPG for the double-double in the first round.

Pacers at Cavaliers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 11:21 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Pacers +275 (bet $100 to win $275) | Cavaliers -350 (bet $350 to win $100)Against the spread (ATS): Pacers +7.5 (-105) | Cavaliers -7.5 (-115)Over/Under (O/U): 229.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)Pacers at Cavaliers injuries

Pacers

C Isaiah Jackson (Achilles) out

Cavaliers

G Darius Garland (toe) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Pacers at Cavaliers picks and predictionsPrediction

Cavaliers 113, Pacers 109

The Cavaliers (-350) will set you back 3 1/2 times your potential return, and there is no way to justify backing that heavy of a favorite straight up. If you were to include Cleveland in a multi-leg parlay, you can find way to cobble together a profitable parlay including Cleveland.

This could be a surprisingly close game, though, so be careful. Indiana won 3 of the 4 regular-season meetings, and it has traditionally been a thorn in the side of the Cavs.

AVOID, and look to the spread instead.

The PACERS +7.5 (-105) are worth a look in this game, as they catch nearly 4 buckets.

Yes, the Cavaliers dominated the Heat, but that was as sub-.500 team which barely made the Play-In Tournament. Indiana is the fourth-seed, and it made quick work of Giannis Antetokounmpo and the Milwaukee Bucks. Cleveland could have a little bit of rust, too, as it has been off since April 28 in Miami, and it hasn’t really been tested since Game 2, a 121-112 win over Miami back on April 23 at Rocket Arena.

BET UNDER 229.5 (-110) in this series opener.

We’ll get a little bit of a feeling-out process early on, and it might take these teams a little while to get their sea legs. Cleveland has been off since April 28, while Indiana hasn’t played since April 29.

The Under split 2-2 in the 4 regular-season games, so nothing really to glean there. The Over was 2-0 in Cleveland’s 2 home games against Miami, while Indiana split 1-1 in 2 road playoff games in Milwaukee.

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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