{"id":135651,"date":"2025-06-30T03:31:10","date_gmt":"2025-06-30T03:31:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/135651\/"},"modified":"2025-06-30T03:31:10","modified_gmt":"2025-06-30T03:31:10","slug":"should-heat-still-bring-duncan-robinson-back-hot-hot-hoops","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/135651\/","title":{"rendered":"Should Heat still bring Duncan Robinson back? &#8211; Hot Hot Hoops"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Duncan-Robinson.jpg-1024x683.webp.webp\" alt=\"Duncan Robinson Heat\" class=\"wp-image-8577\"  \/>(Mandatory Credit: Todd Kirkland\/Getty Images)<\/p>\n<p>After the Miami Heat extended qualifying offers to Dru Smith and Davion Mitchell and picked up Keshad Johnson\u2019s guaranteed contract for 2025-26, their lone order of operations was awaiting Duncan Robinson\u2019s ETO (early termination option) decision before free agency tips off on Monday.<\/p>\n<p>Heading into the final year of a five-year, $90 million deal he signed ahead of 2021-22, Robinson had until Sunday to exercise his $19.9 million ETO, meaning he would become an unrestricted free agent.<\/p>\n<p>It was always a possibility, and <a href=\"https:\/\/hothothoops.com\/2025\/06\/29\/miami-heat-duncan-robinson-exercises-19-9-million-early-termination-option-free-agent\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">that\u2019s what he did<\/a>. However, could there still be a reunion for the 31-year-old sharpshooter? Don\u2019t be surprised if that\u2019s the case.<\/p>\n<p>Heat can still bring Duncan Robinson back on team-friendly contract. Should they?<\/p>\n<p>Only $9.9 million of Duncan\u2019s $19.9 million salary was guaranteed through July 8, but Robinson did the Heat a huge favor by opting out, putting them roughly $14 million below the luxury tax and $19.4 million out from the first apron.<\/p>\n<p>Thus, the Heat not only opened up their $14.1 million non-taxpayer mid-level exception, but also more flexibility for sign-and-trades and the use of their three trade exceptions.<\/p>\n<p>Team president Pat Riley was open about <a href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?sa=t&amp;source=web&amp;rct=j&amp;opi=89978449&amp;url=https:\/\/hothothoops.com\/2025\/05\/11\/pat-riley-miami-heat-ducking-luxury-tax-avoid-repeater-tax-penalties\/&amp;ved=2ahUKEwiXgaO2hZiOAxWwI0QIHWUZMsYQFnoECBoQAQ&amp;usg=AOvVaw0kxVItMl1Kbxzxs0gdebrO\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">potentially ducking the tax<\/a> to avoid repeater tax penalties. The luxury tax penalties will become more onerous in 2025-26, making it important to hit the reset button if you\u2019re nowhere near contention, which the Heat aren\u2019t. <\/p>\n<p>That said, widespread speculation circulated that Miami is open to the idea of retaining Robinson, the greatest shooter in franchise history, on a team-friendly contract closer to his $9.9 million guarantee.<\/p>\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The Miami Heat are open to bringing Duncan Robinson back, and the sides are expected to discuss the parameters of that return.<\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Five Reasons Sports \ud83c\udfc0\ud83c\udfc8\u26be\ufe0f\ud83c\udfd2\u26bd\ufe0f (@5ReasonsSports) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/5ReasonsSports\/status\/1939388154969993622?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">June 29, 2025<\/a><\/p>\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Duncan Robinson is indeed becoming an unrestricted free agent, though a new 3-year deal to keep him in Miami is not out of the question. Not finalized, but an idea that has been floated.<\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Tim Reynolds (@ByTimReynolds) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ByTimReynolds\/status\/1939384617460494717?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">June 29, 2025<\/a><\/p>\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Duncan Robinson could re-sign with the Heat to an annual salary closer to what his $9.9 million partial guarantee would&#8217;ve been.<\/p>\n<p>It also opens up sign and trade possibilities since his new team could acquire him at a more palatable number than $19.9 million.<\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Yossi Gozlan (@YossiGozlan) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/YossiGozlan\/status\/1939385251093979439?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">June 29, 2025<\/a><\/p>\n<p>You could argue that it\u2019s wise to move on from Robinson because of his ailing back. But there\u2019s also a legitimate case for bringing him back at an inexpensive price.<\/p>\n<p>At worst, he\u2019s their best movement shooter, one of their best passers and advantage exploiters. He also has irreplaceable gravity. Last season, Robinson averaged 11.0 points on 43.7 percent shooting and 39.3 percent from 3-point range, and has shot a combined 39.9 percent from deep (7.3 3PA!!!) over his last six seasons.<\/p>\n<p>You could make a cogent argument that you can\u2019t maximize the Heat\u2019s core without Robinson, even if he eats up 20-25 minutes that could be dispersed to your best young players. <\/p>\n<p>While his consecutive back injuries could be troublesome in both the short- and long-term, you\u2019d be hard-pressed to find a better option at an inexpensive price. There are players on this roster who have played their last Heat game, but do you think Robinson should be one of them?<\/p>\n<p>***<\/p>\n<p>To check out our other content, click\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/hothothoops.com\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">here<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Follow Hot Hot Hoops on Twitter\/X\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/hothothoops?s=20\" rel=\"nofollow\">here<\/a>!<\/p>\n<p>Follow Hot Hot Hoops on Instagram\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/hothothoops?fbclid=PAAaZK-uxa3cMPUQcM2z6aGmK3faJ-G1R7YKtEOcPJNPO4VwfOvw1epBIoCyk_aem_Ad_aZ7zQwWkfVN5rHfd0UkIWrYEnU4j4Ulz0SRK__Qt1738L-NeQ3cZC5voFks7V6K8\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">here<\/a>!<\/p>\n<p>Subscribe to our YouTube channel\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/hothothoops\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">here<\/a>!<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t<script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><script async src=\"\/\/www.instagram.com\/embed.js\"><\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"(Mandatory Credit: Todd Kirkland\/Getty Images) After the Miami Heat extended qualifying offers to Dru Smith and Davion Mitchell&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":135652,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3778],"tags":[18527,5340,5739,7,4958,26696,26697,26698,14164,14165,14166,144,3932,295,189,3935,3881,6],"class_list":{"0":"post-135651","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-miami-heat","8":"tag-2025-heat-offseason","9":"tag-2025-miami-heat-offseason","10":"tag-2025-nba-offseason","11":"tag-basketball","12":"tag-duncan-robinson","13":"tag-duncan-robinson-early-termination-option","14":"tag-duncan-robinson-eto","15":"tag-duncan-robinson-free-agency","16":"tag-duncan-robinson-heat","17":"tag-duncan-robinson-miami-heat","18":"tag-duncan-robinson-news","19":"tag-heat","20":"tag-heat-analysis","21":"tag-miami","22":"tag-miami-heat","23":"tag-miami-heat-analysis","24":"tag-miamiheat","25":"tag-nba"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nba\/114770208958287613","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/135651","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=135651"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/135651\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/135652"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=135651"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=135651"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=135651"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}