{"id":14186,"date":"2025-05-06T20:18:10","date_gmt":"2025-05-06T20:18:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/14186\/"},"modified":"2025-05-06T20:18:10","modified_gmt":"2025-05-06T20:18:10","slug":"breaking-down-wizards-lottery-odds","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/14186\/","title":{"rendered":"Breaking Down Wizards Lottery Odds"},"content":{"rendered":"

With the NBA lottery<\/a> just under a week away, a few teams will be sweating until they hear their team\u2019s name called. One of those teams is the Washington Wizards. The 2025 NBA draft<\/a> holds one name above anyone else: Duke freshman Cooper Flagg<\/a>. He\u2019s been labeled a future generational talent and a franchise-altering cornerstone to anyone lucky enough to land that first pick. So, what\u2019s the Wizards\u2019 lottery outlook? Tankathon.com<\/a> provides the lottery percentages for every team with a shot at the number one pick. Let\u2019s take an inside look at the Wizards\u2019 lottery odds.<\/p>\n

Breaking Down Wizards Lottery Odds<\/p>\n

The Wizards have some of the best lottery odds in the entire league. Finishing in the bottom three, along with the Utah Jazz and Charlotte Hornets, presents the three with even odds to land the number one overall pick.<\/p>\n

Pick Number One: 14% Chance
\n\"\"<\/a>Apr 5, 2025; San Antonio, TX, USA; Duke Blue Devils forward Cooper Flagg (2) dribbles the ball against the Houston Cougars during the second half in the semifinals of the men\u2019s Final Four of the 2025 NCAA Tournament at the Alamodome. Mandatory Credit: Bob Donnan-Imagn Images<\/p>\n

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This would be the first time since the 2010 NBA draft that the Wizards would select first. In 2010, they chose franchise all-time great point guard John Wall<\/a>. Flagg is destined to go number one, and the Wizards would love to have him in the nation\u2019s capital. Recent history favors the Wizards to get the number one overall pick. Since the 2020 NBA draft, three teams with the second-best odds have received the number one pick. While that\u2019s not a telltale sign that the Wizards are destined for Flagg, it\u2019s certainly a good starting point.<\/p>\n

Pick Number Two: 13.4% Chance<\/p>\n

This would be the second straight year the Wizards would have the number two overall selection. While Alex Sarr<\/a> didn\u2019t have a remarkable start to his NBA campaign, he wasn\u2019t destined to be the franchise-altering pick, but to be paired with them to make an elite duo in the years to come. Some fail to realize that Flagg is not the only generational talent in this draft, and while Flagg is the only one to have his selection a lock, the second overall pick gives any team flexibility in who they want to select. The two names most likely to get called here are\u00a0Dylan Harper <\/a>and VJ Edgecombe<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Pick Number Three: 12.7% Chance<\/p>\n

The last selection for the Wizards at the third overall spot came in 2013, NBA journeyman Otto Porter<\/a>. With the third selection the year prior, it was Bradley Beal<\/a>. While the Wizards don\u2019t want to fall back to three, the pick still provides a player with NBA-ready talent and even more potential to grow. If Harper gets taken at two, expect Edgecombe, and vice versa.<\/p>\n

Pick Number Four: 12% Chance<\/p>\n

The last Wizards selection at the fourth pick was Rasheed Wallace<\/a> in 1995. With Flagg, Edgecombe, and Harper gone, the next best would be either Tre Johnson<\/a> or Ace Bailey<\/a>. A trade could also happen, however, it\u2019s unlikely given these two guys\u2019 talent. Both players would add nice depth to the guard positions and be given a good chance at fighting for a starting spot. Bailey adds a little more flexibility than Johnson. Bailey is a 6-foot-10 forward with guard-like skills and a knack for shooting. This pick is a little more up in the air, but these two guys are the most likely candidates.<\/p>\n

Pick Number Five: 27.8% Chance<\/p>\n

The Wizards\u2019 last selection at pick five was Devin Harris<\/a> in the 2004 NBA draft, who was traded to Dallas on draft night. Nevertheless, this pick could provide some solid flexibility. Depending on some selections, the Wizards could feel they want to drop down in exchange for a pick and a younger piece. While a trade is still unlikely, some of the players around these picks are solid, but could be deemed potential-heavy or are not considered a roster need, and therefore not worth the high contract they would be getting. Since the 2020 draft, three picks inside the top 10 have been traded after selection. While fourth would still be high, swapping it could gain you a future piece. Names around this pick would be either Johnson or Bailey, Khaman Maluach,<\/a> Jeremiah Fears<\/a>, and Derik Queen<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Pick Number Six: 20% Chance<\/p>\n

The 2011 NBA draft saw the Wizards take Jan Vesely<\/a> at the sixth pick, which unfortunately didn\u2019t pan out. At sixth this season, your options really open up. A trade could still be unlikely, but this is a prime position to grab a big man to pair with Sarr. Queen and Maluach are both solid additions, but they both have their strengths. Queen is more offensively gifted, but taking Maluach could boost the defense nicely. Maluach averaged 1.3 blocks a game for Duke last season, and Washington could hold two of the best young defensive bigs in the league. Queen, on the other hand, would provide a nice offensive threat in the mid-to-low post. He shot 52.6% from the field for Maryland, which would allow Sarr to step out more frequently and further develop his behind-the-arc game.<\/p>\n

The Last Word on Wizards Lottery Odds<\/p>\n

With the NBA Combine coming up, the Wizards still have plenty of time to decide who they would take if they don\u2019t secure that number one pick. Picks two, three, and four could still provide you with a generational talent. Pick five could be swapped for six while still being able to grab your big man. This draft will be one to remember, and it\u2019s crucial for the Wizards to get it right headed into the future.<\/p>\n

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Featured image: \u00a9 David Banks-Imagn Images<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"With the NBA lottery just under a week away, a few teams will be sweating until they hear…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":14187,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3780],"tags":[224,7,225,803,226,958,6,971,682,468,3892,683],"class_list":{"0":"post-14186","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-washington-wizards","8":"tag-ace-bailey","9":"tag-basketball","10":"tag-cooper-flagg","11":"tag-derik-queen","12":"tag-dylan-harper","13":"tag-khaman-maluach","14":"tag-nba","15":"tag-vj-edgecombe","16":"tag-washington","17":"tag-washington-wizards","18":"tag-washingtonwizards","19":"tag-wizards"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nba\/114462740070979536","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14186","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=14186"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14186\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/14187"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=14186"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=14186"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=14186"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}