{"id":19565,"date":"2025-05-08T22:00:09","date_gmt":"2025-05-08T22:00:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/19565\/"},"modified":"2025-05-08T22:00:09","modified_gmt":"2025-05-08T22:00:09","slug":"the-blazers-are-guaranteed-to-get-the-no-1-pick-if-you-simulate-the-lottery-enough-times","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/19565\/","title":{"rendered":"The Blazers are guaranteed to get the No. 1 pick (if you simulate the lottery enough times)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"article__paragraph article__paragraph--left\" id=\"MNZI6Q2HJZBQJOFXGBSOAQLK7I\">So you\u2019re saying there\u2019s a chance?<\/p>\n<p class=\"article__paragraph article__paragraph--left\" id=\"QLELZ4MJC5ALRESVZHCYT3B3IY\">Of course there is!<\/p>\n<p class=\"article__paragraph article__paragraph--left\" id=\"KYM2GC6NINBLHCAV2U2QXR6ABE\">The Blazers have a 3.7% chance of landing the No. 1 overall pick in next week\u2019s NBA draft lottery. Their chances of jumping into the top four are even better: 16.9%<\/p>\n<p class=\"article__paragraph article__paragraph--left\" id=\"L4BY2GZYXRGRDOQ6ABY6C33XNM\">Are those particularly good odds? They most definitely are not. The most likely outcome is that the Blazers will stay put at No. 10. But that\u2019s what makes Monday\u2019s lottery so intriguing.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article__paragraph article__paragraph--left\" id=\"LJ5LFYBSXZAWBKD3DER6PEF3YA\">Fortunately, we don\u2019t have to wait until then to get a glimpse of what could \u2014 will? \u2014 happen with those pinging and ponging balls in Chicago.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article__paragraph article__paragraph--left\" id=\"Y2UXKOASDVFWFIZ62M2R5XBM3A\">On this week\u2019s episode of the Oregonian Sports Podcast, hosts Bill Oram and Brenna Greene use the invaluable <a href=\"https:\/\/tankathon.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/tankathon.com\">tankathon.com<\/a> to see just how many simulations it takes to get the Blazers the No. 1 pick.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article__paragraph article__paragraph--left\" id=\"E7G3DUFURZG53HT7FCCMITHEUE\">Of course, on Monday, there will only be one shot at it.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article__paragraph article__paragraph--left\" id=\"YK67AKGWJVFNVOLISEFTMZABXE\">Also discussed on this week\u2019s episode: <\/p>\n<p class=\"article__paragraph article__paragraph--left\" id=\"HJIAUAW6LFDP3EG5INA3PQUNSQ\">\u2022 Why should the \u201cbasketball gods\u201d care about the Trail Blazers?<\/p>\n<p class=\"article__paragraph article__paragraph--left\" id=\"74CQIPNEJ5ELHHEJK6SZOQDIY4\">\u2022 On an alternate timeline, David Adelman could have become the Blazers\u2019 next coach<\/p>\n<p class=\"article__paragraph article__paragraph--left\" id=\"RSKSY55VZVEULAI23J32WK4TLI\">\u2022 Has Jesuit High School made a greater per capita impact on the NBA than any other high school? <\/p>\n<p class=\"article__paragraph article__paragraph--left\" id=\"WB3WF423KRGBFJJ7IKOUHZ5C44\">\u2022 Why Brenna doesn\u2019t think Portland will ever make a trade for a big-time NBA star<\/p>\n<p class=\"article__paragraph article__paragraph--left\" id=\"VFS4H4KDXBHOJABDVUZZ4T4WZY\">\u2022 Bill reveals his best Blazers-related party trick<\/p>\n<p class=\"article__paragraph article__paragraph--left\" id=\"CGAU4JXYGBGGTBEUQXNY47YYMI\">Listen to the full episode here:<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"article__paragraph article__paragraph--left\" id=\"FG6XK52Y6FDK3GY5FISZDTHPVM\">\u2014 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.oregonlive.com\/staff\/billoram\/posts.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.oregonlive.com\/staff\/billoram\/posts.html\">Bill Oram<\/a><\/p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"So you\u2019re saying there\u2019s a chance? Of course there is! The Blazers have a 3.7% chance of landing&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":19566,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3784],"tags":[7,601,6,687,471,3967,1617,1833],"class_list":{"0":"post-19565","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-portland-trail-blazers","8":"tag-basketball","9":"tag-blazers","10":"tag-nba","11":"tag-portland","12":"tag-portland-trail-blazers","13":"tag-portlandtrailblazers","14":"tag-trail-blazers","15":"tag-us"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nba\/114474465649541712","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19565","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=19565"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19565\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/19566"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=19565"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=19565"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=19565"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}