{"id":215041,"date":"2025-08-06T02:42:09","date_gmt":"2025-08-06T02:42:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/215041\/"},"modified":"2025-08-06T02:42:09","modified_gmt":"2025-08-06T02:42:09","slug":"why-fred-vanvleet-is-houstons-key-variable","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/215041\/","title":{"rendered":"Why Fred VanVleet is Houston\u2019s key variable"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>John Schuhmann of NBA.com writes: \u201cIt will be critical for VanVleet to shoot closer to his mark from 3-point range in his first season in Houston (38.7%) than last season\u2019s (34.5%).\u201d<\/p>\n<p lang=\"en\">Are the defending champions still the team to beat? \ud83e\udd14<br \/>\nAs rosters begin to take shape, see where John Schuhmann ranks all 15 teams in the West, now on the NBA App!<br \/>\n\u27a1\ufe0f nba.smart.link\/WestRank-BS<\/p>\n<p>\u2014 <a href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/did:plc:7sfnardo5xxznxc6esxc5ooe?ref_src=embed\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">NBA (@nba.com)<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/did:plc:7sfnardo5xxznxc6esxc5ooe\/post\/3lvlrkf44bk2q?ref_src=embed\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">2025-08-04T18:00:06.382Z<\/a><\/p>\n<p>The Rockets had a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nba.com\/stats\/teams\/defense?dir=A&amp;sort=DEF_RATING&amp;SeasonType=Regular+Season\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.nba.com\/stats\/teams\/defense?dir=A&amp;sort=DEF_RATING&amp;SeasonType=Regular+Season\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">top-five defense<\/a> for the 2024-25 NBA season, but a <a href=\"https:\/\/rocketswire.usatoday.com\/story\/sports\/nba\/rockets\/2025\/06\/01\/entering-2025-offseason-rockets-urged-to-level-up-the-offense\/83979867007\/\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/rocketswire.usatoday.com\/story\/sports\/nba\/rockets\/2025\/06\/01\/entering-2025-offseason-rockets-urged-to-level-up-the-offense\/83979867007\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">mediocre and inconsistent offense<\/a> kept Houston from being truly elite.<\/p>\n<p>Even after securing a 52-30 record and a No. 2 spot in the Western Conference standings, the Rockets were bounced from the 2025 playoffs in a seven-game, first-round series versus Golden State, the West\u2019s No. 7 seed. Scoring issues <a href=\"https:\/\/rocketswire.usatoday.com\/story\/sports\/nba\/rockets\/2025\/05\/04\/warriors-eliminate-rockets-as-houstons-offense-stalls-out-in-game-7\/83443902007\/\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/rocketswire.usatoday.com\/story\/sports\/nba\/rockets\/2025\/05\/04\/warriors-eliminate-rockets-as-houstons-offense-stalls-out-in-game-7\/83443902007\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">were a recurring theme<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>The good news is that superstar forward Kevin Durant, a 15-time NBA All-Star and one of the greatest scorers in league history, <a href=\"https:\/\/rocketswire.usatoday.com\/story\/sports\/nba\/rockets\/2025\/07\/06\/rockets-officially-announce-acquisitions-of-kevin-durant-clint-capela\/84484002007\/\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/rocketswire.usatoday.com\/story\/sports\/nba\/rockets\/2025\/07\/06\/rockets-officially-announce-acquisitions-of-kevin-durant-clint-capela\/84484002007\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">is now a member of the Rockets<\/a>. But is his arrival alone enough to fix all of Houston\u2019s problems?<\/p>\n<p>John Schuhmann of NBA.com is listing the Rockets at No. 3 among West teams <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nba.com\/news\/offseason-power-rankings-west-2025\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.nba.com\/news\/offseason-power-rankings-west-2025\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">in his 2025 offseason power rankings<\/a>, trailing the defending champion <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/sportsdata.usatoday.com\/basketball\/nba\/teams\/oklahoma-city-thunder\/25\/\" data-autotag=\"cd165858-eeda-4db8-a84a-db7a782e61e3\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Oklahoma City Thunder<\/a> at No. 1 and the <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/sportsdata.usatoday.com\/basketball\/nba\/teams\/denver-nuggets\/7\/\" data-autotag=\"81d09f83-fd88-4a89-842b-d31778fd3b3c\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Denver Nuggets<\/a> at No. 2.<\/p>\n<p>Regarding the Rockets, who were at No. 5 in these rankings prior to the Durant trade, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nba.com\/news\/offseason-power-rankings-west-2025\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.nba.com\/news\/offseason-power-rankings-west-2025\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Schuhmann writes<\/a>:<\/p>\n<p>The Rockets certainly needed a bucket-getter like Durant. They ranked 10th offensively (115.2 points scored per 100 possessions) in non-clutch situations, but scored\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nba.com\/stats\/teams\/clutch-advanced?Season=2024-25&amp;SeasonType=Regular%20Season&amp;dir=A&amp;sort=OFF_RATING\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">8.6 fewer per 100<\/a>\u00a0(only four teams saw a bigger drop-off) when the score was within five points in the last five minutes of the fourth quarter or overtime. If the defense could contain the Fred VanVleet-Alperen Sengun pick-and-roll, the Rockets struggled to get good (initial) shots down the stretch.<\/p>\n<p>There\u2019s still not a ton of shooting around Durant, with Dorian Finney-Smith and Aaron Holiday being the only other Rockets who shot the league average or better on at least 100 3-point attempts last season. It will be critical for VanVleet to shoot closer to his mark from 3-point range in his first season in Houston (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nba.com\/stats\/player\/1627832?SeasonType=Regular+Season&amp;PerMode=Totals\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">38.7%<\/a>) than last season\u2019s (34.5%).<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s worth noting that VanVleet was dealing <a href=\"https:\/\/rocketswire.usatoday.com\/story\/sports\/nba\/rockets\/2025\/03\/12\/after-weeks-of-ankle-issues-fred-vanvleet-rejoins-houstons-lineup\/82323399007\/\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/rocketswire.usatoday.com\/story\/sports\/nba\/rockets\/2025\/03\/12\/after-weeks-of-ankle-issues-fred-vanvleet-rejoins-houstons-lineup\/82323399007\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">with a serious ankle injury<\/a> for much of 2024-25, and he bounced back in the playoffs to shoot 43.5% from 3-point range.<\/p>\n<p>So, after allowing his ankle to heal up over the offseason, the hope in Houston is that VanVleet will indeed be back to his 2023-24 form. And if that\u2019s the case, the arrival of Durant could be even more powerful.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cLast season marked Durant\u2019s 14th season in which he averaged at least 25 points per game with a true shooting percentage of 60% or better,\u201d <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nba.com\/news\/offseason-power-rankings-west-2025\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.nba.com\/news\/offseason-power-rankings-west-2025\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Schuhmann writes<\/a>. \u201cThat\u2019s five more seasons than any other player in NBA history, with LeBron James (nine) and Stephen Curry (eight) next on the list.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"related-link\">More: <a href=\"https:\/\/rocketswire.usatoday.com\/story\/sports\/nba\/rockets\/2025\/07\/06\/rockets-officially-announce-acquisitions-of-kevin-durant-clint-capela\/84484002007\/\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Rockets officially announce trade acquisitions of Kevin Durant, Clint Capela<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"John Schuhmann of NBA.com writes: \u201cIt will be critical for VanVleet to shoot closer to his mark from&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":215042,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3794],"tags":[260,6251,1495,1307,7,311,301,187,1692,374,2133,1693,2104,866,2700,292,194,4066,1936,938,70,85,6,62,67,302,310,179,61,81,211,876,66,83,312,1928,2105],"class_list":{"0":"post-215041","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-houston-rockets","8":"tag-aaron","9":"tag-aaron-holiday","10":"tag-alperen","11":"tag-alperen-sengun","12":"tag-basketball","13":"tag-city","14":"tag-denver","15":"tag-denver-nuggets","16":"tag-dorian","17":"tag-dorian-finney-smith","18":"tag-durant","19":"tag-finney-smith","20":"tag-fred","21":"tag-fred-vanvleet","22":"tag-holiday","23":"tag-houston","24":"tag-houston-rockets","25":"tag-houstonrockets","26":"tag-kevin","27":"tag-kevin-durant","28":"tag-national","29":"tag-national-sports","30":"tag-nba","31":"tag-neutral","32":"tag-news","33":"tag-nuggets","34":"tag-oklahoma","35":"tag-oklahoma-city-thunder","36":"tag-overall","37":"tag-overall-neutral","38":"tag-rockets","39":"tag-sengun","40":"tag-sports","41":"tag-sports-news","42":"tag-thunder","43":"tag-tx","44":"tag-vanvleet"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nba\/114979520169289861","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/215041","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=215041"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/215041\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/215042"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=215041"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=215041"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=215041"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}