{"id":518799,"date":"2026-01-05T20:40:13","date_gmt":"2026-01-05T20:40:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/518799\/"},"modified":"2026-01-05T20:40:13","modified_gmt":"2026-01-05T20:40:13","slug":"the-trail-blazers-are-winning-because-of-one-stat","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/518799\/","title":{"rendered":"The Trail Blazers are Winning Because of One Stat"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Don\u2019t look now, but the Portland Trail Blazers have won four out of their last five games. With the Utah Jazz on tap tonight, there\u2019s a decent chance they can make it five of six. The Blazers haven\u2019t gotten magically healthier. Their opponents were not suddenly terrible. Rather Portland appears to be shoring up a single weakness, allowing them to prevail in games they otherwise were barely losing.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">That weakness is simple: the three-point arc.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">No, not shooting it. Defending it.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Back on December 27th, before the Blazers beat the Boston Celtics to start this mini-jag of winning, they ranked 18th in the NBA with a 36.4% percentage allowed to opponents at the three-point arc. 18th doesn\u2019t seem horrible, but for a team built mostly\u2014almost exclusively\u2014out of mobile, athletic wings, getting out to cover the perimeter should come standard and be done well. More to the point, the Blazers were giving up over three percentage points to opponents, as their own shooting percentage from distance stood at 33.3%. A nightly deficit like that will wear on you over time, like wind blowing against the sandcastle of Portland\u2019s playoff hopes.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Here are the opponent shooting three-point shooting percentages for the last five games:<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Combined, those teams shot 58-186 against the Blazers, for a 31.2% average.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">In that same interim, the Blazers have been on a heater, shooting 37.8% themselves from range. Frankly, they\u2019re a poor shooting team. Neither that number nor the +6.6 percentage point gap it\u2019s generated are sustainable. Going from -3 to nearly +7 is a massive leap.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">But the Blazers don\u2019t need all that. It\u2019s enough that they bring the opponent down closer to their own level of shooting. Even when Portland\u2019s own shots aren\u2019t falling, they should be able to defend. And the difference between allowing 36.4% and 31.2% is huge. They\u2019ve already jumped from 18th in the league defending the arc to 11th on the basis of the last two weeks. If they can keep this up, they\u2019ll creep towards the Top 5.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Portland\u2019s perimeter defenders deserve credit for the uptick in effort lately, but no more so than Donovan Clingan. As the defense has extended, Clingan has (for the most part) held steady in the middle, allowing his teammates to take risks without worrying about their backs. Clingan has far fewer blocks over the last five games than his season average. He\u2019s blocked one shot total, in fact. But his position\/area defense has been stout. His defensive rebounding is up. Most importantly, he\u2019s stayed on the floor. He had a short outing of 17 minutes against the Thunder, but in Portland\u2019s four wins, Clingan averaged 34 minutes played, far higher than his season average of 27. The Blazers don\u2019t need Donovan to be a superstar. Providing a defensive wall in the paint is enough. He\u2019s been doing that lately.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">The Jazz shoot a fair number of threes and make them at a modest level. Let\u2019s see if Portland\u2019s prowess keeps up tonight. But either way, we can probably point to this stretch as a time when they finally started to get it defensively. Holding four of five teams below their season average and coming up with an 80% win rate is not too shabby for this young squad. It\u2019s indicative of what they\u2019ll need to do in order to convert streaky winning into consistency.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Don\u2019t look now, but the Portland Trail Blazers have won four out of their last five games. With&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":518800,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3784],"tags":[7,601,37787,6,687,471,3967,1617],"class_list":{"0":"post-518799","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-portland-trail-blazers","8":"tag-basketball","9":"tag-blazers","10":"tag-blazers-analysis","11":"tag-nba","12":"tag-portland","13":"tag-portland-trail-blazers","14":"tag-portlandtrailblazers","15":"tag-trail-blazers"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nba\/115844430236898487","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/518799","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=518799"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/518799\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/518800"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=518799"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=518799"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=518799"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}