{"id":531783,"date":"2026-01-12T14:15:16","date_gmt":"2026-01-12T14:15:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/531783\/"},"modified":"2026-01-12T14:15:16","modified_gmt":"2026-01-12T14:15:16","slug":"three-quarters-of-a-blowout-suns-dominate-wizards-dress-it-up-late","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/531783\/","title":{"rendered":"Three Quarters of a Blowout: Suns Dominate, Wizards Dress It Up Late"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 _16w9vov6 _16w9vov5 ls9zuh1\">For three quarters, the Phoenix Suns administered lessons on playing hard as a cohesive unit, at the end of which the Washington Wizards trailed by 29 points. Then the Suns slacked off a bit and the Wizards trimmed the final margin to a semi-respectable 19.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">For a second straight game, the Wizards offense was a disorganized mess. They ran up and down the floor, attempted nutty passes with little chance for success, and flung the ball at the rim whenever the urge struck \u2014 regardless of normally considered factors such as whether the team had run an offensive action, the relative position of defenders, and the relative openness of teammates.<\/p>\n<p><a class=\"_1eezmj01\" href=\"https:\/\/platform.bulletsforever.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/52\/2026\/01\/gettyimages-2255277266.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;crop=0,0,100,100\" data-pswp-height=\"2353\" data-pswp-width=\"1569\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\"><img alt=\"Washington Wizards center Alex Sarr played well in the team\u2019s loss to the Phoenix Suns.\" data-chromatic=\"ignore\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-nimg=\"fill\" class=\"w91vxg0\" style=\"position:absolute;height:100%;width:100%;left:0;top:0;right:0;bottom:0;color:transparent;background-size:cover;background-position:50% 50%;background-repeat:no-repeat;background-image:url(&quot;data:image\/svg+xml;charset=utf-8,%3Csvg xmlns='http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg' %3E%3Cfilter id='b' color-interpolation-filters='sRGB'%3E%3CfeGaussianBlur stdDeviation='20'\/%3E%3CfeColorMatrix values='1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 100 -1' result='s'\/%3E%3CfeFlood x='0' y='0' width='100%25' height='100%25'\/%3E%3CfeComposite operator='out' in='s'\/%3E%3CfeComposite in2='SourceGraphic'\/%3E%3CfeGaussianBlur stdDeviation='20'\/%3E%3C\/filter%3E%3Cimage width='100%25' height='100%25' x='0' y='0' preserveAspectRatio='none' style='filter: url(%23b);' href='data:image\/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAEAAAABCAQAAAC1HAwCAAAAC0lEQVR42mN8+R8AAtcB6oaHtZcAAAAASUVORK5CYII='\/%3E%3C\/svg%3E&quot;)\"   src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/gettyimages-2255277266.jpg\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Washington Wizards center Alex Sarr played well in the team\u2019s loss to the Phoenix Suns. NBAE via Getty Images<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">It was a fascinating contrast: the Suns routinely screening for teammates, making hard and timely cuts, and moving the ball to open teammates \u2014 using coordinated teamwork to get good shots, while the Wizards seemed to be playing games of one-on-three.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">This is not to let the team\u2019s defense off the hook. The final numbers (a 110 defensive rating \u2014 5.5 points better than league average) might lead an observer to believe the Wizards defense was pretty good. Don\u2019t be fooled. Through three quarters, the defensive rating was 123.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">With the game out of reach, the Suns took their foot off the proverbial gas pedal and the Wizards had a 64 defensive rating. That result was very much a case of Phoenix missing open looks and throwing the ball away than it was Washington affirmatively playing well.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">A few examples from the numbers? So glad you asked. Through three quarters, the Suns had six turnovers. In the fourth quarter, they committed seven. For the game, Phoenix shot 17-52 \u2014 just 32.7% \u2014 from three-point range. In the first three quarters, it was 16-41 (39.0%). With a little math, we can see they shot just 1-11 from deep in the final period.<\/p>\n<p>Washington\u2019s defensive plan was to load up on Suns star Devin Booker. Bilal Coulibaly and help defenders limited Booker to 5-14 shooting and left other Suns open and wide-open shots. Booker had a personal best six first-quarter assists, and finished the game with eight.During a stoppage at the 8:13 mark of the first quarter, Phoenix analyst Eddie Johnson said, \u201cIt\u2019s pretty obvious the Suns will get whatever they want on offense. The key is not settling for bad shots.\u201dA truly rare event occurred during last night\u2019s game: Dillon Brooks drove into the lane and \u201ccreated space\u201d by ramming his forearm into Khris Middleton and shoving him back. It was (properly) called an offensive foul.Brooks, by the way, has very little offensive game when he drives if refs don\u2019t let him commit offensive fouls with that off arm. He was unable to get past any of Washington\u2019s perimeter defenders (including Middleton). I wasn\u2019t entirely sure getting past a defender was even a goal. I guess, why would it be if he can just dribble into the lane, shove a defender out of his way, and then take a shot?In my notebook, I had several entries with some combination of \u201cKyshawn George\u201d and \u201csloppy.\u201d He had five first-half turnovers, and they were all either sloppy passes (risky, pointless, inaccurate) or poor ball security. He needs to learn to value possessions.By the way, the Suns had four turnovers in the first half.Phoenix\u2019s Ryan Dunn had a highlight reel put-back dunk because when the shot went up, Tre Johnson and Will Riley watched the ball in flight instead of blocking out.Bub Carrington keeps throwing lobs that make no sense. He\u2019s surprising teammates who (correctly) believe they\u2019re well defended, and the passes themselves are off target.While the above note is about Carrington, in fairness he\u2019s not the only Wizards player tossing up nonsensical lob attempts. Alley-oops are cool and everything, but perhaps the team could benefit by focusing on making plays that increase the team\u2019s odds of scoring.Another notebook entry: \u201cKyshawn looks thoroughly overwhelmed. Tried to pressure Grayson Allen, who just drove by him. Got ripped by Allen.\u201dFor a couple minutes in the second quarter, the Wizards played some real defense on Booker.3:14 \u2014 Coulibaly WOW block on Booker2:14 \u2014 Alex Sarr got switched onto Booker, who drove. Sarr made an impressive recovery block1:46 \u2014 Sarr ended up on Booker again. Booker drove, pump faked under the basket, and then got his shot swallowed by Sarr.I was fairly impressed with Booker\u2019s response to Washington\u2019s defensive attention. He kept making the right passes. While he didn\u2019t always get the assist, he empowered his teammates to make plays.Sarr was good in the losing effort \u2014 19 points, 15 rebounds, 3 blocks. While his 105 offensive rating was more than 10 points below league average, it was 15 points better than the combined offensive rating of his teammates last night.Weird stat line of the night: Suns guard Collin Gillespie had a 92 PPA while shooting 0-6 from the floor. He did it with six rebounds, five assists, four steals and zero turnovers.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Below are the four factors that decide wins and losses in basketball \u2014 shooting (efg), rebounding (offensive rebounds), ball handling (turnovers), fouling (free throws made).<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">The four factors are measured by:<\/p>\n<p>eFG% (effective field goal percentage, which accounts for the three-point shot)OREB% (offensive rebound percentage)TOV% (turnover percentage \u2014 turnovers divided by possessions)FTM\/FGA (free throws made divided by field goal attempts)FOUR FACTORSWIZARDSSUNSLGAVGeFG%43.6%51.1%54.3%OREB%25.0%28.8%26.2%TOV%21.7%13.8%12.8%FTM\/FGA0.2090.1580.212PACE10199.8ORTG92110115.6<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">PPA is my overall production metric, which credits players for things they do that help a team win (scoring, rebounding, playmaking, defending) and dings them for things that hurt (missed shots, turnovers, bad defense, fouls).<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\"><a href=\"https:\/\/kevinbroom.com\/ppa\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">PPA<\/a> is a per possession metric designed for larger data sets. In small sample sizes, the numbers can get weird. In PPA, 100 is average, higher is better and replacement level is 45. For a single game, replacement level isn\u2019t much use, and I reiterate the caution about small samples sometimes producing weird results.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">POSS is the number of possessions each player was on the floor in this game.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">ORTG = offensive rating, which is points produced per individual possessions x 100. League average so far this season is 115.1. Points produced is not the same as points scored. It includes the value of assists and offensive rebounds, as well as sharing credit when receiving an assist.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">USG = offensive usage rate. Average is 20%.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">ORTG and USG are versions of stats created by former Wizards assistant coach Dean Oliver and modified by me. ORTG is an efficiency measure that accounts for the value of shooting, offensive rebounds, assists and turnovers. USG includes shooting from the floor and free throw line, offensive rebounds, assists and turnovers.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">+PTS = \u201cPlus Points\u201d is a measure of the points gained or lost by each player based on their efficiency in this game compared to league average efficiency on the same number of possessions. A player with an offensive rating (points produced per possession x 100) of 100 who uses 20 possessions would produce 20 points. If the league average efficiency is 114, the league \u2014 on average \u2014 would produced 22.8 points in the same 20 possessions. So, the player in this hypothetical would have a +PTS score of -2.8.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Players are sorted by total production in the game.<\/p>\n<p>WIZARDSMINPOSSORTGUSG+PTSPPA+\/-Bub Carrington326815610.6%2.9145-17Alex Sarr285910526.7%-1.7158-10Tre Johnson306411721.7%0.1125-16Bilal Coulibaly286012114.4%0.5111-13Will Riley194112819.6%1.0154-15Justin Champagnie214511215.0%-0.295-18Marvin Bagley III16346921.2%-3.317-16Khris Middleton18395424.0%-5.7-120-5AJ Johnson10211733.0%-6.7-3270Kyshawn George26564225.6%-10.4-157-1Tristan Vukcevich4911333.0%-0.12097Malaki Branham490.0%0.01367Anthony Gill120.0%0.002SUNSMINPOSSORTGUSG+PTSPPA+\/-Royce O\u2019Neale255414222.5%3.129918Mark Williams224718612.7%4.223910Grayson Allen245012118.2%0.521017Oso Ighodaro204313917.0%1.723211Ryan Dunn194113917.5%1.72268Devin Booker265511928.2%0.616216Collin Gillespie29627811.3%-2.69214Dillon Brooks24509726.2%-2.53410Rasheer Fleming13275025.3%-4.6-1071Jordan Goodwin22474325.7%-8.7-1482Isaiah Livers71423417.0%2.8484-2Nigel Hayes-Davis3721013.3%0.9328-5Khaman Maluach511015.0%-1.9-231-5<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"For three quarters, the Phoenix Suns administered lessons on playing hard as a cohesive unit, at the end&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":531784,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3780],"tags":[7,6,682,468,3920,3892,683],"class_list":{"0":"post-531783","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-washington-wizards","8":"tag-basketball","9":"tag-nba","10":"tag-washington","11":"tag-washington-wizards","12":"tag-washington-wizards-statistical-analysis","13":"tag-washingtonwizards","14":"tag-wizards"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nba\/115882552616963749","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/531783","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=531783"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/531783\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/531784"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=531783"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=531783"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=531783"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}