The Warriors are -5.5 favorites vs. the Heat<\/p>\n
Total (Over\/Under): 238.5 points<\/p>\n
Watch the game on FSUN | NSBA<\/p>\n
The Miami Heat visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in San Francisco, CA.<\/p>\n
The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-115).<\/p>\n
The Heat vs Warriors Over\/Under is 238.5 total points for the game.<\/p>\n
So far this NBA season, the Heat are 23-18 against the spread, while the Warriors are 21-22 against the spread.<\/p>\n
Bet now on Warriors vs Heat and all NBA games with BetMGM<\/a><\/p>\n Heat vs. Warriors Odds, Over\/Under & Moneyline <\/p>\n SpreadOver \/ UnderMoneylineMiami Heat+5.5 -105O 238.5 -110180Golden State Warriors -5.5 -115U 238.5 -110-220<\/p>\n Warriors vs Heat Prediction for Tonight\u2019s Game:<\/p>\n The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Monday\u2018s game with 63.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and Warriors.<\/p>\n Warriors vs Heat Spread Prediction:<\/p>\n Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Monday\u2018s game with 56.4% confidence.<\/p>\n Bet now on Warriors vs Heat and all NBA games with BetMGM<\/p>\n Heat Best Bets for Tonight:<\/p>\n The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 31 of their last 40 away games (+21.85 Units \/ 47% ROI)<\/p>\n The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 40 away games (+19.90 Units \/ 41% ROI)<\/p>\n The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 40 away games (+11.70 Units \/ 21% ROI)<\/p>\n The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Spread in 25 of their last 40 away games (+10.10 Units \/ 22% ROI)<\/p>\n The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 11 away games (+8.90 Units \/ 71% ROI)<\/p>\n Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:<\/p>\n The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 40 games (+11.85 Units \/ 19% ROI)<\/p>\n The Golden State Warriors have covered the 2Q Spread in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.35 Units \/ 24% ROI)<\/p>\n The Golden State Warriors have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.25 Units \/ 38% ROI)<\/p>\n The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+7.80 Units \/ 67% ROI)<\/p>\n The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games (+7.20 Units \/ 15% ROI)<\/p>\n Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:<\/p>\n Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 23-18 (+3.2 Units \/ 6.93% ROI).<\/p>\n 22-20 against the Moneyline (+1.35 Units \/ 1.98% ROI)<\/p>\n 20-21 against the Over for game total points (-3.1 Units \/ -6.71% ROI)<\/p>\n 21-20 against the Under for game total points (-1 Units \/ -2.16% ROI)<\/p>\n Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:<\/p>\n Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 21-22 (-3.2 Units \/ -6.77% ROI).<\/p>\n 24-19 against the Moneyline (-7.9 Units \/ -7.13% ROI)<\/p>\n 25-18 against the Over for game total points (+5.2 Units \/ 10.99% ROI)<\/p>\n 18-25 against the Under for game total points (-9.5 Units \/ -20.08% ROI)<\/p>\n Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:<\/p>\n The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 50 games (-24.90 Units \/ -32% ROI)<\/p>\n The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 16 of their last 50 games (-22.30 Units \/ -39% ROI)<\/p>\n The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 35 games at home (-19.30 Units \/ -16% ROI)<\/p>\n The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 45 games (-12.90 Units \/ -25% ROI)<\/p>\n The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 45 games at home (-12.80 Units \/ -25% ROI)<\/p>\n Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:<\/p>\n The Miami Heat have only covered the 2H Spread in 7 of their last 25 games (-14.10 Units \/ -48% ROI)<\/p>\n The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 24 games (-13.70 Units \/ -43% ROI)<\/p>\n The Miami Heat have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 13 of their last 35 games (-12.53 Units \/ -26% ROI)<\/p>\n The Miami Heat have only covered the 3Q Spread in 13 of their last 35 games (-12.45 Units \/ -31% ROI)<\/p>\n The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 35 games (-12.20 Units \/ -30% ROI)<\/p>\n Jump to:<\/p>\n Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors<\/p>\n The Heat were 33-8 (.805) when scoring 110 or more points in the 2023-24 season \u2014 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .659<\/p>\n The Heat were 6-21 (.222) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season \u2014 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .354<\/p>\n The Heat were 9-15 (.375) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season \u2014 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .545<\/p>\n The Heat were 6-13 (.316) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season \u2014 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .551<\/p>\n Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat<\/p>\n The Warriors are 11-3 (.786) when shooting 40% or better from three this season \u2014 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .664<\/p>\n The Warriors are 40-5 (.889) when their eFG is 60% or better since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .837<\/p>\n The Warriors are 5-11 (.312) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season \u2014 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .451<\/p>\n The Warriors were 33-15 (.688) when they win the turnover margin last season \u2014 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .592<\/p>\n Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends<\/p>\n The Heat were 33-8 (.805) when scoring 110 or more points in the 2023-24 season \u2014 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .659<\/p>\n The Heat were 6-21 (.222) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season \u2014 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .354<\/p>\n The Heat were 9-15 (.375) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season \u2014 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .545<\/p>\n The Heat were 6-13 (.316) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season \u2014 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .551<\/p>\n Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends<\/p>\n The Warriors are 11-3 (.786) when shooting 40% or better from three this season \u2014 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .664<\/p>\n The Warriors are 40-5 (.889) when their eFG is 60% or better since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .837<\/p>\n The Warriors are 5-11 (.312) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season \u2014 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .451<\/p>\n The Warriors were 33-15 (.688) when they win the turnover margin last season \u2014 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .592<\/p>\n Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends<\/p>\n The Heat were 33-8 (.805) when scoring 110 or more points in the 2023-24 season \u2014 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .659<\/p>\n The Heat were 6-21 (.222) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season \u2014 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .354<\/p>\n The Heat were 9-15 (.375) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season \u2014 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .545<\/p>\n The Heat were 6-13 (.316) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season \u2014 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .551<\/p>\n Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends<\/p>\n The Warriors are 11-3 (.786) when shooting 40% or better from three this season \u2014 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .664<\/p>\n The Warriors are 40-5 (.889) when their eFG is 60% or better since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .837<\/p>\n The Warriors are 5-11 (.312) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season \u2014 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .451<\/p>\n The Warriors were 33-15 (.688) when they win the turnover margin last season \u2014 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .592<\/p>\n Bet now on Warriors vs Heat and all NBA games with BetMGM<\/a><\/p>\n Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM<\/p>\n At BetMGM<\/a>, you can bet online<\/a> with updated NBA betting odds<\/a>. And with live sports betting<\/a>, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app<\/a>) experiences are at BetMGM.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Warriors are -5.5 favorites vs. the Heat Total (Over\/Under): 238.5 points Watch the game on FSUN |…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":546809,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[3786],"tags":[7,479,164,4025,4024,6,255],"class_list":{"0":"post-546808","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-golden-state-warriors","8":"tag-basketball","9":"tag-golden-state","10":"tag-golden-state-warriors","11":"tag-goldenstate","12":"tag-goldenstatewarriors","13":"tag-nba","14":"tag-warriors"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/546808","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=546808"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/546808\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/546809"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=546808"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=546808"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=546808"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}