A three-spot jump by Louisville led to Florida’s one-spot drop, despite the Cardinals not playing a game since Saturday. It’s unclear why Louisville made the jump, but an overall BPI of 20.5 is 0.2 points higher than Florida’s.<\/p>\n
However, the Gators’ overall BPI is trending up, increasing 0.3 points from the last update<\/a>. A low-scoring game against LSU helped the defense jump from 9.9 (11th) to 10.4 (11th), while the offensive BPI improved by 0.1 to 9.9 (15th).<\/p>\n \u201cThe College Basketball Power Index (BPI) is a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of performance going forward,\u201d ESPN explains. \u201cBPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Strength of Record (SOR) is a measure of team accomplishment based on how difficult a team\u2019s W-L record is to achieve. Game predictions account for opponent strength, pace of play, site, travel distance, day\u2019s rest and altitude, and are used to simulate the season 10,000 times to produce season projections.\u201d<\/p>\n ESPN projects Florida to finish the season with a 22.8-8.2 overall record and a 13.8-4.2 record in conference play. a 0.2-game improvement from the last projection.<\/p>\n Need a news break? Check out the all new PLAY hub with puzzles, games and more!<\/a><\/p>\n Florida’s odds to win the SEC also improved. The Gators had a 74.3% chance to win the conference before beating the Tigers, but ESPN now gives UF 77.1% odds to finish on top of the SEC. Florida started conference play with just a 33.8% chance. The Texas A&M Aggies<\/a> (13.1%) and Alabama Crimson Tide<\/a> (10.7%) are the only other SEC teams with a 10% chance or better to win the conference. Florida plays Alabama on Feb. 1 at home and heads to College Station to face Texas A&M on Feb. 7.<\/p>\n Florida’s remaining strength of schedule is now 18th in the country. The Gators have six Quadrant 1 or 2 games looming on the schedule before a Quadrant 3 matchup against South Carolina on Feb. 17. The Gators have a 6-4 record against quality opponents and the fifth-strongest schedule in the country.<\/p>\n Follow us\u00a0@GatorsWire<\/a>\u00a0on X, formerly known as Twitter, as well as\u00a0Bluesky<\/a>, and like our page on\u00a0Facebook<\/a>\u00a0to follow ongoing coverage of\u00a0Florida Gators<\/a>\u00a0news, notes and opinions.<\/p>\n![\"\"](\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/88274726007-2257302148.jpg\")
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