The Heat are -6.5 favorites vs. the Jazz<\/p>\n
Total (Over\/Under): 246.5 points<\/p>\n
Watch the game on FSUN | KJZZ<\/p>\n
The Miami Heat visit Delta Center to take on the Utah Jazz on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30 pm in Salt Lake City, UT.<\/p>\n
The Heat are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-105).<\/p>\n
The Heat vs Jazz Over\/Under is 246.5 total points for the game.<\/p>\n
So far this NBA season, the Heat are 24-20 against the spread, while the Jazz are 25-20 against the spread.<\/p>\n
Bet now on Jazz vs Heat and all NBA games with BetMGM<\/a><\/p>\n Heat vs. Jazz Odds, Over\/Under & Moneyline <\/p>\n Spread<\/p>\n Total<\/p>\n Money<\/p>\n Heat<\/p>\n Jazz<\/p>\n <\/p>\n Jazz vs Heat Prediction for Tonight\u2019s Game:<\/p>\n The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Saturday\u2018s game with 68.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and Jazz.<\/p>\n Jazz vs Heat Spread Prediction:<\/p>\n Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Jazz will cover the spread for Saturday\u2018s game with 63.5% confidence.<\/p>\n Bet now on Jazz vs Heat and all NBA games with BetMGM<\/p>\n Heat Best Bets for Tonight:<\/p>\n The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 34 of their last 45 away games (+22.60 Units \/ 44% ROI)<\/p>\n The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 45 away games (+19.90 Units \/ 36% ROI)<\/p>\n The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 45 away games (+12.70 Units \/ 21% ROI)<\/p>\n The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Spread in 28 of their last 45 away games (+12.00 Units \/ 23% ROI)<\/p>\n The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 21 away games (+8.25 Units \/ 35% ROI)<\/p>\n Jazz Best Bets for Tonight:<\/p>\n The Utah Jazz have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 45 games at home (+17.70 Units \/ 36% ROI)<\/p>\n The Utah Jazz have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 24 games at home (+13.05 Units \/ 47% ROI)<\/p>\n The Utah Jazz have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 25 games at home (+11.00 Units \/ 43% ROI)<\/p>\n The Utah Jazz have hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 30 games at home (+10.75 Units \/ 35% ROI)<\/p>\n The Utah Jazz have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+10.25 Units \/ 57% ROI)<\/p>\n Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:<\/p>\n Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 24-20 (+2 Units \/ 4.04% ROI).<\/p>\n 23-22 against the Moneyline (+0.35 Units \/ 0.49% ROI)<\/p>\n 23-21 against the Over for game total points (-0.1 Units \/ -0.2% ROI)<\/p>\n 21-23 against the Under for game total points (-4.3 Units \/ -8.69% ROI)<\/p>\n Utah Jazz Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:<\/p>\n Against the spread this NBA season, the Jazz have gone 25-20 (+3 Units \/ 6.06% ROI).<\/p>\n 15-30 against the Moneyline (+9.5 Units \/ 20.3% ROI)<\/p>\n 28-17 against the Over for game total points (+9.3 Units \/ 18.79% ROI)<\/p>\n 17-28 against the Under for game total points (-13.8 Units \/ -27.88% ROI)<\/p>\n Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Jazz:<\/p>\n The Utah Jazz have only hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 45 games at home (-22.20 Units \/ -45% ROI)<\/p>\n The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 50 games (-20.40 Units \/ -36% ROI)<\/p>\n The Utah Jazz have only hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 35 games (-14.40 Units \/ -36% ROI)<\/p>\n The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 45 games (-13.80 Units \/ -27% ROI)<\/p>\n The Utah Jazz have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 45 games at home (-13.15 Units \/ -25% ROI)<\/p>\n Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:<\/p>\n The Miami Heat have only covered the 2H Spread in 11 of their last 35 games (-17.00 Units \/ -41% ROI)<\/p>\n The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 35 games (-16.05 Units \/ -35% ROI)<\/p>\n The Miami Heat have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 14 of their last 45 away games (-14.54 Units \/ -26% ROI)<\/p>\n The Miami Heat have only covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 35 games (-14.45 Units \/ -36% ROI)<\/p>\n The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 45 away games (-13.35 Units \/ -26% ROI)<\/p>\n Jump to:<\/p>\n Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Utah Jazz<\/p>\n The Heat were 6-21 (.222) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season \u2014 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .354<\/p>\n The Heat are 2-13 (.133) when they lose the turnover margin this season \u2014 lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .391<\/p>\n The Heat are 9-16 (.360) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .413<\/p>\n The Heat were 14-2 (.875) when assisting on 30 or more field goals in the 2023-24 season \u2014 tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .697<\/p>\n Utah Jazz: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat<\/p>\n The Jazz were winless (0-5) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line in the 2023-24 season \u2014 lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .414<\/p>\n The Jazz are winless (0-6) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season \u2014 tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .574<\/p>\n The Jazz are 4-14 (.222) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2024-25 season \u2014 lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554<\/p>\n The Jazz are 2-59 (.033) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .188<\/p>\n Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends<\/p>\n The Heat averaged 1.19 points per shot (1,213 points\/1,016 shots) in close and late situations last season \u2014 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31<\/p>\n The Heat averaged 53.3 points per game (4,368 points\/82 games) in the second half in the 2023-24 season \u2014 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.5<\/p>\n The Heat have averaged 17.7 fast break points per game (798 points\/45 games) this season \u2014 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.2<\/p>\n The Heat had an eFG% of 49% in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season \u2014 lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%<\/p>\n Utah Jazz Offensive Stats & Trends<\/p>\n The Jazz averaged 8.6 turnovers per game (703 turnovers\/82 games) in the second half last season \u2014 highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1<\/p>\n The Jazz averaged 17.2 turnovers per game (1,412 turnovers\/82 games) last season \u2014 highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3<\/p>\n The Jazz have averaged 16.7 turnovers per game (2,121 turnovers\/127 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season \u2014 highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4<\/p>\n The Jazz had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (2,093 assists\/ 1,412 TOs) last season \u2014 tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9<\/p>\n Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends<\/p>\n The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (786 blocks\/209 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0<\/p>\n The Heat averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks\/82 games) in the 2023-24 season \u2014 lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1<\/p>\n The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (394 blocks\/105 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9<\/p>\n The Heat have averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,646 rebounds\/45 games) this season \u2014 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0<\/p>\n Utah Jazz Defensive Stats & Trends<\/p>\n The Jazz have allowed 127.4 points per game (5,732 points\/45 games) this season \u2014 highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 116.0<\/p>\n The Jazz allowed 18.4 fast break points per game (1,510 points\/82 games) in the 2023-24 season \u2014 highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.4<\/p>\n The Jazz have allowed an average of 1.43 points per shot (2,797 points\/1,960 shots) in the second half this season \u2014 highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.32<\/p>\n The Jazz have allowed an average of 1.38 points per shot (5,732 points\/4,145 shots) this season \u2014 highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.30<\/p>\n Bet now on Jazz vs Heat and all NBA games with BetMGM<\/a><\/p>\n Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM<\/p>\n At BetMGM<\/a>, you can bet online<\/a> with updated NBA betting odds<\/a>. And with live sports betting<\/a>, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app<\/a>) experiences are at BetMGM.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Heat are -6.5 favorites vs. the Jazz Total (Over\/Under): 246.5 points Watch the game on FSUN |…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":558006,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[3785],"tags":[7,423,6,422,427,3972],"class_list":{"0":"post-558068","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-utah-jazz","8":"tag-basketball","9":"tag-jazz","10":"tag-nba","11":"tag-utah","12":"tag-utah-jazz","13":"tag-utahjazz"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nba\/115951066607694402","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/558068","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=558068"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/558068\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/558006"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=558068"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=558068"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=558068"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}