The Suns are -4.5 favorites vs. the Heat<\/p>\n
Total (Over\/Under): 227.5 points<\/p>\n
Watch the game on FSUN | KTVK | AZFS<\/p>\n
The Miami Heat visit Mortgage Matchup Center to take on the Phoenix Suns on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00 pm in Phoenix, AZ.<\/p>\n
The Suns are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).<\/p>\n
The Heat vs Suns Over\/Under is 227.5 total points for the game.<\/p>\n
So far this NBA season, the Heat are 25-20 against the spread, while the Suns are 31-14 against the spread.<\/p>\n
Bet now on Suns vs Heat and all NBA games with BetMGM<\/a><\/p>\n Heat vs. Suns Odds, Over\/Under & Moneyline <\/p>\n Spread<\/p>\n Total<\/p>\n Money<\/p>\n Heat<\/p>\n Suns<\/p>\n <\/p>\n Suns vs Heat Prediction for Tonight\u2019s Game:<\/p>\n The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Sunday\u2018s game with 63.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and Suns.<\/p>\n Suns vs Heat Spread Prediction:<\/p>\n Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Suns will cover the spread for Sunday\u2018s game with 63.4% confidence.<\/p>\n Bet now on Suns vs Heat and all NBA games with BetMGM<\/p>\n Heat Best Bets for Tonight:<\/p>\n The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 33 of their last 45 away games (+20.45 Units \/ 40% ROI)<\/p>\n The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 45 away games (+19.90 Units \/ 36% ROI)<\/p>\n The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Spread in 29 of their last 45 away games (+13.00 Units \/ 25% ROI)<\/p>\n The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 45 away games (+12.70 Units \/ 21% ROI)<\/p>\n The Miami Heat have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 away games (+7.75 Units \/ 47% ROI)<\/p>\n Suns Best Bets for Tonight:<\/p>\n The Phoenix Suns have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 40 games (+18.35 Units \/ 26% ROI)<\/p>\n The Phoenix Suns have covered the Spread in 29 of their last 40 games (+16.90 Units \/ 38% ROI)<\/p>\n The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 40 games (+14.30 Units \/ 32% ROI)<\/p>\n The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 40 games (+14.20 Units \/ 24% ROI)<\/p>\n The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+12.55 Units \/ 28% ROI)<\/p>\n Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:<\/p>\n Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 25-20 (+3 Units \/ 5.93% ROI).<\/p>\n 24-22 against the Moneyline (+1.35 Units \/ 1.82% ROI)<\/p>\n 24-21 against the Over for game total points (+0.9 Units \/ 1.78% ROI)<\/p>\n 21-24 against the Under for game total points (-5.4 Units \/ -10.67% ROI)<\/p>\n Phoenix Suns Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:<\/p>\n Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 31-14 (+15.6 Units \/ 31.52% ROI).<\/p>\n 27-18 against the Moneyline (+15.35 Units \/ 20.32% ROI)<\/p>\n 19-26 against the Over for game total points (-9.6 Units \/ -19.39% ROI)<\/p>\n 26-19 against the Under for game total points (+5.1 Units \/ 10.3% ROI)<\/p>\n Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Suns:<\/p>\n The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 40 games (-20.95 Units \/ -45% ROI)<\/p>\n The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.85 Units \/ -29% ROI)<\/p>\n The Phoenix Suns have only hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 30 games (-13.15 Units \/ -38% ROI)<\/p>\n The Phoenix Suns have only hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 40 games (-12.50 Units \/ -28% ROI)<\/p>\n The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 1 of their last 10 games (-11.15 Units \/ -83% ROI)<\/p>\n Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:<\/p>\n The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 30 games (-17.65 Units \/ -45% ROI)<\/p>\n The Miami Heat have only covered the 3Q Spread in 11 of their last 35 games (-16.60 Units \/ -41% ROI)<\/p>\n The Miami Heat have only covered the 2H Spread in 9 of their last 30 games (-15.55 Units \/ -44% ROI)<\/p>\n The Miami Heat have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 14 of their last 45 away games (-14.54 Units \/ -26% ROI)<\/p>\n The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 45 away games (-13.35 Units \/ -26% ROI)<\/p>\n Jump to:<\/p>\n Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns<\/p>\n The Heat are 10-22 (.312) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .439<\/p>\n The Heat are 6-21 (.222) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .391<\/p>\n The Heat are 17-9 (.654) when they win the turnover margin this season \u2014 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .606<\/p>\n The Heat were 14-8 (.636) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season \u2014 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .557<\/p>\n Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat<\/p>\n The Suns are 16-6 (.727) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season \u2014 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .529<\/p>\n The Suns are 3-4 (.429) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season \u2014 tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .576<\/p>\n The Suns were 17-4 (.810) when forcing 10 or more steals in the 2023-24 season \u2014 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572<\/p>\n The Suns were 16-29 (.356) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent last season \u2014 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444<\/p>\n Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends<\/p>\n The Heat have averaged 10.6 fast break points per game (486 points\/46 games) in the first half this season \u2014 best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0<\/p>\n The Heat averaged 53.3 points per game (4,368 points\/82 games) in the second half in the 2023-24 season \u2014 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.5<\/p>\n The Heat have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (695 assists\/ 322 TOs) in the first half this season \u2014 tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9<\/p>\n The Heat are shooting 37% from three (618\/1,686) this season \u2014 tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%<\/p>\n Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends<\/p>\n The Suns have averaged 21.1 points in the paint per game (4,406 points\/209 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.3<\/p>\n The Suns averaged 21.4 points in the paint per game (1,758 points\/82 games) in the second half in the 2023-24 season \u2014 lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6<\/p>\n The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (540 assists\/ 374 TOs) in the second half this season \u2014 tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7<\/p>\n The Suns have averaged 20.8 points in the paint per game (938 points\/45 games) in the second half this season \u2014 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.1<\/p>\n Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends<\/p>\n The Heat averaged 3.8 blocks per game (314 blocks\/82 games) last season \u2014 lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9<\/p>\n The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (400 blocks\/106 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9<\/p>\n The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (792 blocks\/210 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0<\/p>\n The Heat averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks\/82 games) in the 2023-24 season \u2014 lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1<\/p>\n Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends<\/p>\n The Suns have averaged 10.3 steals per game (464 steals\/45 games) this season \u2014 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4<\/p>\n The Suns have averaged 33.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,486 rebounds\/45 games) this season \u2014 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0<\/p>\n The Suns averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,982 rebounds\/82 games) in the 2023-24 season \u2014 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2<\/p>\n The Suns averaged 6.0 blocks per game (491 blocks\/82 games) in the 2023-24 season \u2014 tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1<\/p>\n Bet now on Suns vs Heat and all NBA games with BetMGM<\/a><\/p>\n Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM<\/p>\n At BetMGM<\/a>, you can bet online<\/a> with updated NBA betting odds<\/a>. And with live sports betting<\/a>, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app<\/a>) experiences are at BetMGM.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Suns are -4.5 favorites vs. the Heat Total (Over\/Under): 227.5 points Watch the game on FSUN |…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":560095,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[3791],"tags":[7,6,2065,472,4045,604],"class_list":{"0":"post-560273","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-phoenix-suns","8":"tag-basketball","9":"tag-nba","10":"tag-phoenix","11":"tag-phoenix-suns","12":"tag-phoenixsuns","13":"tag-suns"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nba\/115957032345578543","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/560273","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=560273"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/560273\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/560095"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=560273"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=560273"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=560273"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}