{"id":566508,"date":"2026-01-28T15:42:17","date_gmt":"2026-01-28T15:42:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/566508\/"},"modified":"2026-01-28T15:42:17","modified_gmt":"2026-01-28T15:42:17","slug":"wizards-snap-losing-streak-against-avdija-and-trail-blazers","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/566508\/","title":{"rendered":"Wizards Snap Losing Streak Against Avdija and Trail Blazers"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 _16w9vov6 _16w9vov5 ls9zuh1\">The Wizards ended a nine-game losing streak by beating the Portland Trail Blazers, 115-111, in a chippy and kinda entertaining game, despite being nearly devoid of offensive competence.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Some of the fun was delivered by the return of Deni Avdija, who\u2019s much improved and might be an All-Star this season. He\u2019s been limited a bit lately with a back injury but still flashed what\u2019s made him special for Portland \u2014 rocket-propelled transition pushes, physical drives that draw fouls, crafty (yes, crafty!) moves inside to get buckets or trips to the free throw line, and some accurate three-point shooting.<\/p>\n<p><a class=\"_1eezmj01\" href=\"https:\/\/platform.bulletsforever.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/52\/2026\/01\/gettyimages-2257994432.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;crop=0,0,100,100\" data-pswp-height=\"2646\" data-pswp-width=\"3969\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\"><img alt=\"Former Wizards forward Deni Avdija returned to DC with the Portland Trail Blazers.\" data-chromatic=\"ignore\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-nimg=\"fill\" class=\"w91vxg0\" style=\"position:absolute;height:100%;width:100%;left:0;top:0;right:0;bottom:0;color:transparent;background-size:cover;background-position:50% 50%;background-repeat:no-repeat;background-image:url(&quot;data:image\/svg+xml;charset=utf-8,%3Csvg xmlns='http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg' %3E%3Cfilter id='b' color-interpolation-filters='sRGB'%3E%3CfeGaussianBlur stdDeviation='20'\/%3E%3CfeColorMatrix values='1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 100 -1' result='s'\/%3E%3CfeFlood x='0' y='0' width='100%25' height='100%25'\/%3E%3CfeComposite operator='out' in='s'\/%3E%3CfeComposite in2='SourceGraphic'\/%3E%3CfeGaussianBlur stdDeviation='20'\/%3E%3C\/filter%3E%3Cimage width='100%25' height='100%25' x='0' y='0' preserveAspectRatio='none' style='filter: url(%23b);' href='data:image\/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAEAAAABCAQAAAC1HAwCAAAAC0lEQVR42mN8+R8AAtcB6oaHtZcAAAAASUVORK5CYII='\/%3E%3C\/svg%3E&quot;)\"   src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/gettyimages-2257994432.jpg\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Former Wizards forward Deni Avdija returned to DC with the Portland Trail Blazers. NBAE via Getty Images<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">One thing I\u2019ve liked about Avdija this season was on display last night. Some players seem to drive with a singular purpose. They\u2019re either looking to score, or to get fouled, or to pass. It seems like their end decision is made before they put ball on deck. Avdija seems not to have made up his mind until he gets into the paint and the defense reacts, at which point he\u2019ll try to score or kick to an open teammate. This is a good thing, and it gave his teammates several open looks. They missed a lot of them, but Avdija made some good basketball plays.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">The biggest weakness of his game was also on display \u2014 six turnovers. For the season, he\u2019s over five turnovers per 100 team possessions, which is high. His overall offensive efficiency is still very good (+5.5 points per 100 possessions relative to league average) and on a career-high 29% usage rate. This is quite good considering the dearth of offensive talent on the Portland roster.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Shaedon Sharpe is probably the best hope for an offensive helper, and he had a good game against Washington. For the season, his offensive efficiency is also nearly nine points per 100 possessions below average. Jerami Grant and Jrue Holiday might help \u2014 Holiday is finally healthy and playing. Grant has been coming off the bench because of significant limitations in his overall game.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">That\u2019s more Trail Blazers stuff than I meant to write given that the Wizards won. They pulled off the victory despite giving up 29 offensive rebounds and an offensive rebounding percentage of 47.5%. Yes, Washington allowed Portland to get back nearly half their missed shots.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Big man Donovan Clingan sent a Trail Blazers franchise record with 13 offensive rebounds.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Washington won because they made threes (17-39, 43.6%) and free throws (18-21), and avoided turnovers (just 13 turnovers in 106 offensive possessions), and Portland didn\u2019t (14-38 on threes, 13-23 from the free throw line, 20 turnovers). Portland shooting their \u201cnormal\u201d free throw percentage would have given them 4-5 more points, which could have been interesting.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">The Wizards starting group was bolstered by the returns of Khris Middleton and Bilal Coulibaly, and they won the minutes their starters played. Their bench was rough, and gave back most of the advantage the starters earned.<\/p>\n<p>Avdija on brand \u2014 drove on the game\u2019s first possession.Coulibaly maybe attempting to establish a brand, attempted a transition dunk on Avdija barely a minute into the game.10:41 of the first quarter \u2014 Coulibaly, Alex Sarr and Middleton did a nice job defending a pick and roll set. Coulibaly chased Avidja over a strong screen and stayed connected. Sarr switched onto Avdija and corralled the drive. Middleton rotated from the \u201clow man\u201d spot to pick up the roller and arrived in time to break up Avdija\u2019s lob attempt. That\u2019s good stuff.Wizards ball and player movement was good in the early going. One example was on a Coulibaly drive. He touched the paint and kicked to Middleton in the corner. Portland closed out well, and Middleton passed it back to Coulibaly. He turned and hit Sarr, who was open at the weakside elbow. Sarr turned down the open midrange shot to drive. He got fouled and turned it into an and-one.A theme throughout was Sarr turning down open threes. In the second half, I jotted, \u201cIf Sarr took all the threes Portland was conceding to him, the Wizards would never run halfcourt offense.\u201d1:51 of the first quarter: Jamir Watkins stripped Avdija\u2019s dribble and got a transition dunk out of it. I like the play, though in fairness, I thought Watkins fouled Avdija multiple times on the play. Wasn\u2019t called though.In the second quarter, Anthony Gill utterly wrecked an offensive possession by turning down a conceded three. Left undefended at the three-point line, he had two good choices \u2014 1) take the shot, or 2) attack the space and force someone to defend him. He chose to stand there and wait for a teammate to come get the ball.Sarr had a career-high 29 field goal attempts, making just 11. He struggled throughout the night against Clingan\u2019s size. It was a marked contrast when Hansen Yang was in the game. Sarr seemed to do a little better shooting over Clingan in the second half.One defensive possession I liked in the second quarter \u2014 Tre Johnson directed a Holiday drive to the baseline where Sarr loomed. Sarr\u2019s presence prevented a Holiday layup and cut off easy passes. The result: a Holiday turnover.3:32 of the second quarter \u2014 Avdija hit the turbo button in transition while Kyshawn George jogged back. George was behind the play from that moment on. This should be a teachable moment about what it means to play hard in the NBA. There\u2019s no reason for the guy with the ball to outrun an unencumbered defender.Around 1:42 of the second quarter \u2014 this is the push-and-shove portion between Sarr and Clingan. The Portland broadcast showed replays that left Sarr\u2019s umbrage taking inexplicable. The preceding second or two made it clear that Sarr was rightfully torqued at Clingan \u201cboxing out\u201d by throwing an elbow. The two got tangled up a few minutes later. I don\u2019t think they like each other much.Despite taking just two shots in 28 minutes, this was a pretty strong return to action for Coulibaly. He defended well, coming up with 2 blocks and 2 steals and forcing multiple turnovers. He also got some rebounds and produced 6 assists.George shot just 5-16 but still had a very good game \u2014 9 rebounds, 5 assists, 3 steals, 2 blocks, and just 1 turnover. He committed just two fouls \u2014 one of them a semi-intentional \u201cone to give\u201d foul in the game\u2019s final minutes. He went hard for a steal and ended up fouling, which was perfectly fine.Middlton had one of his better games, in part because Portland kept fumbling the ball in his direction (three steals).Sarr had 6 blocks to go with 6 offensive rebounds. He\u2019s gotta get stronger. At one point in the third quarter, he got overwhelmed by Clingan\u2019s size and physicality and did the NBA equivalent of tapping out. To his credit, he came right back and battled the rest of the way. The Wizards will want to add a physical presence to play alongside him in future seasons, I think.Tre Johnson has become a lethal shooter. The Wizards didn\u2019t seem to run as many actions to shake him loose last night as they have in the previous few games. I\u2019d like to see them show more patience in the halfcourt so they can run off-ball actions for him. Too many of the team\u2019s possessions end in stepback threes early in the shot clock. They can get that same shot 5-7 seconds later \u2014 after working to get a better shot.The 29-year-old Skal Labissiere \u2014 freshly signed to a 10-day contract \u2014 made his Wizards debut last night.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Below are the four factors that decide wins and losses in basketball \u2014 shooting (efg), rebounding (offensive rebounds), ball handling (turnovers), fouling (free throws made).<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">The four factors are measured by:<\/p>\n<p>eFG% (effective field goal percentage, which accounts for the three-point shot)OREB% (offensive rebound percentage)TOV% (turnover percentage \u2014 turnovers divided by possessions)FTM\/FGA (free throws made divided by field goal attempts)FOUR FACTORSTRAIL BLAZERSWIZARDSLGAVGeFG%45.0%49.5%54.3%OREB%47.5%25.9%26.1%TOV%18.8%12.2%12.8%FTM\/FGA0.1190.1840.210PACE10699.6ORTG104108115.5<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">PPA is my overall production metric, which credits players for things they do that help a team win (scoring, rebounding, playmaking, defending) and dings them for things that hurt (missed shots, turnovers, bad defense, fouls).<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\"><a href=\"https:\/\/kevinbroom.com\/ppa\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">PPA<\/a> is a per possession metric designed for larger data sets. In small sample sizes, the numbers can get weird. In PPA, 100 is average, higher is better and replacement level is 45. For a single game, replacement level isn\u2019t much use, and I reiterate the caution about small samples sometimes producing weird results.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">POSS is the number of possessions each player was on the floor in this game.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">ORTG = offensive rating, which is points produced per individual possessions x 100. League average so far this season is 115.1. Points produced is not the same as points scored. It includes the value of assists and offensive rebounds, as well as sharing credit when receiving an assist.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">USG = offensive usage rate. Average is 20%.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">ORTG and USG are versions of stats created by former Wizards assistant coach Dean Oliver and modified by me. ORTG is an efficiency measure that accounts for the value of shooting, offensive rebounds, assists and turnovers. USG includes shooting from the floor and free throw line, offensive rebounds, assists and turnovers.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">+PTS = \u201cPlus Points\u201d is a measure of the points gained or lost by each player based on their efficiency in this game compared to league average efficiency on the same number of possessions. A player with an offensive rating (points produced per possession x 100) of 100 who uses 20 possessions would produce 20 points. If the league average efficiency is 114, the league \u2014 on average \u2014 would produced 22.8 points in the same 20 possessions. So, the player in this hypothetical would have a +PTS score of -2.8.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Players are sorted by total production in the game.<\/p>\n<p>WIZARDSMINPOSSORTGUSG+PTSPPA+\/-Khris Middleton275912724.9%1.724615Alex Sarr36809935.2%-4.517616Kyshawn George378111221.1%-0.716919Bilal Coulibaly28612056.8%3.722019Tre Johnson327114415.7%3.11674Will Riley112415115.5%1.3195-10Malaki Branham2529915.8%1.44404Anthony Gill6148921.9%-0.864-8Bub Carrington28627619.3%-4.82-6Skal Labisseire4809.4%-0.9-70-8Justin Champagnie18404512.2%-3.4-36-9Jamir Watkins12274920.7%-3.7-61-16TRAIL BLAZERSMINPOSSORTGUSG+PTSPPA+\/-Shaedon Sharpe357814122.3%4.4197-10Rayan Rupert194313914.1%1.42911Donovan Clingan306611624.9%0.2156-17Toumani Camara337314813.3%3.21132Deni Avdija31689426.3%-3.950-9Hansen Yang122611323.9%-0.17511Jerami Grant24536514.2%-3.8-36-1Sidy Cissoko153405.6%-2.2-585Caleb Love17377521.6%-3.2-71-5Jrue Holiday25556527.0%-7.4-773<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Wizards ended a nine-game losing streak by beating the Portland Trail Blazers, 115-111, in a chippy and&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":566509,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3784],"tags":[7,601,6,687,471,3967,1617,3920],"class_list":{"0":"post-566508","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-portland-trail-blazers","8":"tag-basketball","9":"tag-blazers","10":"tag-nba","11":"tag-portland","12":"tag-portland-trail-blazers","13":"tag-portlandtrailblazers","14":"tag-trail-blazers","15":"tag-washington-wizards-statistical-analysis"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nba\/115973492712985823","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/566508","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=566508"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/566508\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/566509"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=566508"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=566508"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=566508"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}