{"id":586538,"date":"2026-02-06T16:18:46","date_gmt":"2026-02-06T16:18:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/586538\/"},"modified":"2026-02-06T16:18:46","modified_gmt":"2026-02-06T16:18:46","slug":"pelicans-vs-timberwolves-prediction-odds-best-bets-team-props","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/586538\/","title":{"rendered":"Pelicans vs Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Best Bets &#038; Team Props"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Timberwolves are -9.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans<\/p>\n<p>Total (Over\/Under): 236.5 points<\/p>\n<p>Watch the game on GCSE | FDSN<\/p>\n<p>The New Orleans Pelicans visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00 pm in Minneapolis, MN.<\/p>\n<p>The Timberwolves are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-115).<\/p>\n<p>The Pelicans vs Timberwolves Over\/Under is 236.5 total points for the game.<\/p>\n<p>So far this NBA season, the Pelicans are 28-25 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 23-29 against the spread.<\/p>\n<p><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/promo.nj.betmgm.com\/en\/promo\/geolocator?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" target=\"_blank\">Bet now on Timberwolves vs Pelicans and all NBA games with BetMGM<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Pelicans vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over\/Under &amp; Moneyline <\/p>\n<p>Spread<\/p>\n<p>Total<\/p>\n<p>Money<\/p>\n<p>Pelicans<\/p>\n<p>Timberwolves<\/p>\n<p>    <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/event\/18888561\" class=\"eventlink\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" aria-label=\"Go to Events Page\" target=\"_blank\"><\/p>\n<p>Timberwolves vs Pelicans Prediction for Tonight\u2019s Game:<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color\">The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Friday\u2018s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pelicans and Timberwolves.<\/p>\n<p>Timberwolves vs Pelicans Spread Prediction:<\/p>\n<p>Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Friday\u2018s game with 70.0% confidence.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Timberwolves vs Pelicans and all NBA games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>Pelicans Best Bets for Tonight:<\/p>\n<p>The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.25 Units \/ 44% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 10 away games (+10.00 Units \/ 86% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 40 away games (+8.90 Units \/ 19% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 35 games (+8.50 Units \/ 23% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games (+8.05 Units \/ 29% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Timberwolves Best Bets for Tonight:<\/p>\n<p>The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 2H Spread in 32 of their last 50 games (+11.38 Units \/ 20% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games at home (+10.50 Units \/ 45% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games at home (+10.40 Units \/ 43% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2H Moneyline in 32 of their last 45 games at home (+9.37 Units \/ 10% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+9.32 Units \/ 38% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>New Orleans Pelicans Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 28-25 (+0.5 Units \/ 0.86% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>13-40 against the Moneyline (-18.6 Units \/ -33.33% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>27-26 against the Over for game total points (-1.6 Units \/ -2.74% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>26-27 against the Under for game total points (-3.7 Units \/ -6.35% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Minnesota Timberwolves Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 23-29 (-8.95 Units \/ -15.63% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>32-20 against the Moneyline (-13.4 Units \/ -8.4% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>26-26 against the Over for game total points (-2.6 Units \/ -4.55% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>26-26 against the Under for game total points (-2.6 Units \/ -4.55% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Timberwolves:<\/p>\n<p>The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 50 games (-25.90 Units \/ -22% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 17 games at home (-17.05 Units \/ -56% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 games (-15.30 Units \/ -12% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 45 games at home (-15.10 Units \/ -29% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 25 games at home (-13.65 Units \/ -47% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pelicans:<\/p>\n<p>The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 45 games (-16.15 Units \/ -34% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 40 away games (-14.30 Units \/ -31% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 21 games (-14.15 Units \/ -57% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 45 games (-13.50 Units \/ -26% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the 4Q Spread in 13 of their last 35 games (-12.80 Units \/ -31% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Jump to:<\/p>\n<p>New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves<\/p>\n<p>The Pelicans were 2-10 (.167) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season \u2014 lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .545<\/p>\n<p>The Pelicans are 1-17 (.056) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2024-25 season \u2014 lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .445<\/p>\n<p>The Pelicans are 5-22 (.185) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent this season \u2014 lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466<\/p>\n<p>The Pelicans are 3-26 (.103) when losing the rebounding margin this season \u2014 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .371<\/p>\n<p>Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans<\/p>\n<p>The Timberwolves are 17-9 (.654) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season \u2014 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .482<\/p>\n<p>The Timberwolves are 15-2 (.882) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse this season \u2014 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .784<\/p>\n<p>The Timberwolves were 48-20 (.706) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds in the 2023-24 season \u2014 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .511<\/p>\n<p>The Timberwolves are 50-36 (.581) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .456<\/p>\n<p>New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Pelicans are shooting 32% from three (277\/854) at home this season \u2014 lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%<\/p>\n<p>The Pelicans shot 38% from three (138\/361) in close and late situations last season \u2014 best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%<\/p>\n<p>The Pelicans averaged 3.1 fast break points per game (182 points\/58 games) in close and late situations last season \u2014 tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.3<\/p>\n<p>The Pelicans have averaged 57.2 points in the paint per game (3,030 points\/53 games)  this season \u2014 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.6<\/p>\n<p>Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Timberwolves are shooting 50% (288\/574) in close and late situations this season \u2014 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%<\/p>\n<p>The Timberwolves have averaged 60.7 points per game (3,158 points\/52 games) in the second half this season \u2014 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.8<\/p>\n<p>The Timberwolves shot 39% from three (1,037\/2,681)  in the 2023-24 season \u2014 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%<\/p>\n<p>The Timberwolves have an eFG% of 56%  this season \u2014 tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%<\/p>\n<p>New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Pelicans have averaged 33.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,784 rebounds\/53 games)  this season \u2014 tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0<\/p>\n<p>The Pelicans averaged 8.5 steals per game (701 steals\/82 games)  last season \u2014 tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2<\/p>\n<p>The Pelicans have averaged 9.0 steals per game (972 steals\/108 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9<\/p>\n<p>The Pelicans have averaged 9.0 steals per game (476 steals\/53 games)  this season \u2014 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4<\/p>\n<p>Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Timberwolves have blocked 293 shots  this season \u2014 4th most among NBA teams<\/p>\n<p>The Timberwolves allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (4,222 points\/3,480 shots) in the second half in the 2023-24 season \u2014 best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.31<\/p>\n<p>The Timberwolves have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (293 blocks\/52 games)  this season \u2014 tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9<\/p>\n<p>The Timberwolves blocked 496 shots  in the 2023-24 season \u2014 5th most among NBA teams<\/p>\n<p><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/promo.nj.betmgm.com\/en\/promo\/geolocator?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" target=\"_blank\">Bet now on Timberwolves vs Pelicans and all NBA games with BetMGM<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>At <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM<\/a>, you can <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">bet online<\/a> with updated <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/basketball-7\/betting\/usa-9\/nba-6004?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">NBA betting odds<\/a>. And with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/live\/betting?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">live sports betting<\/a>, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the <a href=\"https:\/\/apps.apple.com\/us\/app\/betmgm-sportsbook\/id1430875409\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM Sportsbook app<\/a>) experiences are at BetMGM.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Timberwolves are -9.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans Total (Over\/Under): 236.5 points Watch the game on GCSE |&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":586539,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3796],"tags":[7,6,478,470,4073,4072,675],"class_list":{"0":"post-586538","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-new-orleans-pelicans","8":"tag-basketball","9":"tag-nba","10":"tag-new-orleans","11":"tag-new-orleans-pelicans","12":"tag-neworleans","13":"tag-neworleanspelicans","14":"tag-pelicans"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nba\/116024594895051136","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/586538","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=586538"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/586538\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/586539"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=586538"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=586538"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=586538"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}