{"id":592631,"date":"2026-02-09T14:40:14","date_gmt":"2026-02-09T14:40:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/592631\/"},"modified":"2026-02-09T14:40:14","modified_gmt":"2026-02-09T14:40:14","slug":"kings-vs-pelicans-prediction-odds-best-bets-team-props","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/592631\/","title":{"rendered":"Kings vs Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Best Bets &#038; Team Props"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Pelicans are -7.5 favorites vs. the Kings<\/p>\n<p>Total (Over\/Under): 231.5 points<\/p>\n<p>Watch the game on GCSE | NSCA<\/p>\n<p>The Sacramento Kings visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00 pm in New Orleans, LA.<\/p>\n<p>The Pelicans are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-118).<\/p>\n<p>The Kings vs Pelicans Over\/Under is 231.5 total points for the game.<\/p>\n<p>So far this NBA season, the Kings are 21-33 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 29-25 against the spread.<\/p>\n<p><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/promo.nj.betmgm.com\/en\/promo\/geolocator?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" target=\"_blank\">Bet now on Pelicans vs Kings and all NBA games with BetMGM<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Kings vs. Pelicans Odds, Over\/Under &amp; Moneyline <\/p>\n<p>Spread<\/p>\n<p>Total<\/p>\n<p>Money<\/p>\n<p>Kings<\/p>\n<p>Pelicans<\/p>\n<p>    <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/event\/18889076\" class=\"eventlink\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" aria-label=\"Go to Events Page\" target=\"_blank\"><\/p>\n<p>Pelicans vs Kings Prediction for Tonight\u2019s Game:<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color\">The winning team model predicts the Pelicans will win Monday\u2018s game with 71.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Kings and Pelicans.<\/p>\n<p>Pelicans vs Kings Spread Prediction:<\/p>\n<p>Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Kings will cover the spread for Monday\u2018s game with 64.7% confidence.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Pelicans vs Kings and all NBA games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>Kings Best Bets for Tonight:<\/p>\n<p>The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 40 games (+10.15 Units \/ 24% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Sacramento Kings have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+8.60 Units \/ 17% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.55 Units \/ 25% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Sacramento Kings have covered the 1Q Spread in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.25 Units \/ 34% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Sacramento Kings have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 40 away games (+7.00 Units \/ 15% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Pelicans Best Bets for Tonight:<\/p>\n<p>The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 15 games at home (+11.45 Units \/ 71% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.25 Units \/ 46% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+9.35 Units \/ 23% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 15 games at home (+8.65 Units \/ 49% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+8.10 Units \/ 18% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Sacramento Kings Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 21-33 (-15.3 Units \/ -25.76% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>12-42 against the Moneyline (-9.5 Units \/ -16.25% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>27-27 against the Over for game total points (-2.7 Units \/ -4.55% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>27-27 against the Under for game total points (-2.7 Units \/ -4.55% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>New Orleans Pelicans Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 29-25 (+1.5 Units \/ 2.53% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>14-40 against the Moneyline (-15.9 Units \/ -27.99% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>27-27 against the Over for game total points (-2.7 Units \/ -4.55% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>27-27 against the Under for game total points (-2.7 Units \/ -4.55% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pelicans:<\/p>\n<p>The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 22 games (-15.35 Units \/ -59% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 35 games at home (-14.75 Units \/ -36% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 40 games at home (-13.85 Units \/ -30% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 45 games (-12.45 Units \/ -26% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the 4Q Spread in 4 of their last 18 games at home (-12.25 Units \/ -59% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Kings:<\/p>\n<p>The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 40 away games (-22.45 Units \/ -39% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 17 of their last 50 games (-20.65 Units \/ -36% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 50 games (-19.40 Units \/ -38% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 45 games (-15.55 Units \/ -30% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 24 away games (-14.35 Units \/ -59% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Jump to:<\/p>\n<p>Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans<\/p>\n<p>The Kings are winless (0-5) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season \u2014 tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .573<\/p>\n<p>The Kings are 4-21 (.160) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season \u2014 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .449<\/p>\n<p>The Kings are 8-24 (.250) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent this season \u2014 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466<\/p>\n<p>The Kings are 4-19 (.174) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season \u2014 lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .518<\/p>\n<p>New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings<\/p>\n<p>The Pelicans were 2-10 (.167) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season \u2014 lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .545<\/p>\n<p>The Pelicans are 1-17 (.056) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2024-25 season \u2014 lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .445<\/p>\n<p>The Pelicans are 5-22 (.185) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent this season \u2014 lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466<\/p>\n<p>The Pelicans are 3-26 (.103) when losing the rebounding margin this season \u2014 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .371<\/p>\n<p>Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Kings have made 10.4 three-pointers per game  this season \u2014 lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3<\/p>\n<p>The Kings have averaged 53.3 points per game (2,773 points\/52 games) in the second half this season \u2014 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.8<\/p>\n<p>The Kings have averaged 110.5 points per game (5,744 points\/52 games)  this season \u2014 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.6<\/p>\n<p>The Kings have a TS% of 48% in the second half this season \u2014 lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%<\/p>\n<p>New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Pelicans are shooting 32% from three (277\/854) at home this season \u2014 lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%<\/p>\n<p>The Pelicans shot 38% from three (138\/361) in close and late situations last season \u2014 best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%<\/p>\n<p>The Pelicans averaged 3.1 fast break points per game (182 points\/58 games) in close and late situations last season \u2014 tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.3<\/p>\n<p>The Pelicans have averaged 57.2 points in the paint per game (3,030 points\/53 games)  this season \u2014 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.6<\/p>\n<p>Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Kings have averaged 32.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,704 rebounds\/52 games)  this season \u2014 tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0<\/p>\n<p>The Kings allowed 11.1 second chance points per game (455 points\/41 games) at home in the 2023-24 season \u2014 best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6<\/p>\n<p>The Kings allowed 10.9 second chance points per game (891 points\/82 games)  in the 2023-24 season \u2014 best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8<\/p>\n<p>The Kings averaged 4.2 blocks per game (342 blocks\/82 games)  in the 2023-24 season \u2014 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1<\/p>\n<p>New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Pelicans have averaged 33.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,784 rebounds\/53 games)  this season \u2014 tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0<\/p>\n<p>The Pelicans averaged 8.5 steals per game (701 steals\/82 games)  last season \u2014 tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2<\/p>\n<p>The Pelicans have averaged 9.0 steals per game (972 steals\/108 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9<\/p>\n<p>The Pelicans have averaged 9.0 steals per game (476 steals\/53 games)  this season \u2014 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4<\/p>\n<p><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/promo.nj.betmgm.com\/en\/promo\/geolocator?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" target=\"_blank\">Bet now on Pelicans vs Kings and all NBA games with BetMGM<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>At <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM<\/a>, you can <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">bet online<\/a> with updated <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/basketball-7\/betting\/usa-9\/nba-6004?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">NBA betting odds<\/a>. And with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/live\/betting?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">live sports betting<\/a>, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the <a href=\"https:\/\/apps.apple.com\/us\/app\/betmgm-sportsbook\/id1430875409\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM Sportsbook app<\/a>) experiences are at BetMGM.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Pelicans are -7.5 favorites vs. the Kings Total (Over\/Under): 231.5 points Watch the game on GCSE |&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":592632,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3796],"tags":[7,6,478,470,4073,4072,675],"class_list":{"0":"post-592631","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-new-orleans-pelicans","8":"tag-basketball","9":"tag-nba","10":"tag-new-orleans","11":"tag-new-orleans-pelicans","12":"tag-neworleans","13":"tag-neworleanspelicans","14":"tag-pelicans"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nba\/116041196809617924","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/592631","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=592631"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/592631\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/592632"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=592631"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=592631"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=592631"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}