{"id":599486,"date":"2026-02-12T19:34:19","date_gmt":"2026-02-12T19:34:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/599486\/"},"modified":"2026-02-12T19:34:19","modified_gmt":"2026-02-12T19:34:19","slug":"paolo-bancheros-season-hinges-on-orlando-magics-playoff-run","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/599486\/","title":{"rendered":"Paolo Banchero\u2019s season hinges on Orlando Magic\u2019s Playoff run"},"content":{"rendered":"<p id=\"inline-text-0\" class=\"mt-[18px] md:mt-0 mb-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"5k\">Everyone needs to get away for a bit this All-Star Break. No one probably needs it more than Paolo Banchero.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-1\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"5n\">The Orlando Magic&#8217;s one-time All-Star forward has struggled to recapture that All-Star level consistently. He puts up the scoring numbers and draws the attention of a star. But <a href=\"https:\/\/orlandomagicdaily.com\/magic-trusted-paolo-banchero-rising-star-quickly-making-regret-holmgren\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">his impact toward winning has become even more questionable<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-2\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"5q\">If Banchero needs a chance to get away from basketball, put his toes in the sand and reset his focus for a critical stretch run, he should get it. Anything to help turn around an uneven season for the Magic&#8217;s young star player.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-3\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"5t\"><a href=\"https:\/\/orlandomagicdaily.com\/orlando-magic-searching-consistency-reach-potential\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">All of the frustration and potential this Magic team has<\/a>, and everything the team can still accomplish fall on Banchero.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-4\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"5w\">Fair or not, whether he wants it or not, the Magic and their success depend on Banchero finding his groove the rest of the season.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-5\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"5z\">The reality has been that Banchero has not been good enough. This team has not been good enough.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-6\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"62\">&#8220;I think we&#8217;re in the Play-In,&#8221; Banchero told reporters after Wednesday&#8217;s loss to the Milwaukee Bucks. &#8220;We&#8217;ve got to try to find a way to get a better seed. I would say that&#8217;s where we&#8217;re at.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-7\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"65\">It is a sobering reality. A season that started with extremely high hopes has quickly become frustrating. And it all goes back to the team&#8217;s star.<\/p>\n<p>Paolo&#8217;s frustrating season<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-9\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"6b\">Paolo Banchero has statistically put in a fine season, especially after struggling to open the season<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-10\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"6e\">He is averaging 21.3 points per game, down from last year&#8217;s career high of 25.9 points per game. He is averaging a career-high 8.4 rebounds per game and has matched last year&#8217;s assist average at 4.8 per game.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-11\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"6h\">Banchero still draws the most attention on the team, getting double- and triple-teamed constantly. The obsession with Banchero and his efficiency are warranted because that attention opens up so much for everyone else.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-12\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"6k\">Banchero&#8217;s critics have often derided his lack of efficiency. But even there, Banchero has made some significant strides.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-13\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"6n\">Banchero is shooting 45.4 percent from the floor, in line with his averages of the last three years. His 3-point shooting has settled at 30.2 percent. But he is shooting a career-best 55.9 percent true shooting percentage.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-14\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"6q\">With the Magic having many more offensive weapons, Banchero has reduced his usage rate to 26.7 percent and is taking only 15.6 field goal attempts per game, both career lows.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-15\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"6t\">Still, Paolo Banchero&#8217;s efficiency is below average. His true shooting percentage is the fifth-worst among players who play 30 minutes per game with a usage rate of at least 25 percent (notably better than Alperen Sengun among 39 players who qualify).<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-16\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"6w\">For a player in his fifth year who signed a max contract &#8212; with the Rose Rule language and a player option &#8212; there are a lot of expectations to carry the team. That is where Banchero has struggled.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-17\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"6z\">&#8220;It&#8217;s not really about me,&#8221; Banchero said in the locker room after Wednesday&#8217;s game. &#8220;It&#8217;s about the team and trying to find ways to win games and get as good a position as we can heading into the postseason.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-18\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"72\">Banchero is right to believe it is not all about him. There are plenty of other players on the Magic who need to play better. The team as a whole has not been consistent.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-19\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"75\">But everything starts with the star player. Banchero has not had the ability to take over games this year &#8212; totalling only five games of 30 or more points in 43 games when he had 18 in 46 last year.<\/p>\n<p>The impact on winning<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-21\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"7b\">And if the critics have been justified by one thing, it is that the Orlando Magic have not played better with Paolo Banchero on the floor.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-22\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"7e\">For the season, Orlando has a -2.5 net rating with Banchero on the floor this season, the worst among all starters. The Magic&#8217;s 113.0 offensive rating is not too far below the team&#8217;s 113.6 average. But their 115.5 defensive rating is 1.5 points per 100 possessios worse than the overall average.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-23\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"7h\">Worse still, the Magic have a +2.0 net rating with Banchero off the floor. Including a well-above-average 109.9 defensive rating, even if the offense goes into the tank without him on the floor, soaking up attention and getting into the paint.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-24\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"7k\">Some context is certainly warranted.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-25\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"7n\">Paolo Banchero strained his groin early in the season and Franz Wagner got hurt two games after his return. Banchero has put together better statistical games since giving him some time to recover.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-26\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"7q\">In the 21 games since Dec. 29, Banchero is averaging 22.9 points per game, 8.7 rebounds per game and 5.2 assists per game with 47.4\/37.8\/76.7 shooting splits. He has a 57.8 percent true shooting percentage, that is 13th-worst among 36 players who play 30 minutes per game and have a usage rate greater than 25 percent, but it is better than Jalen Brunson and Jaylen Brown.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-27\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"7t\">The difference is that it has not translated to wins and an impact on winning.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-28\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"7w\">The Magic have a -4.2 net rating with Banchero on the floor during that time, nearly a point worse than the team&#8217;s overall average. The team has a 111.3 offensive rating and a 115.4 defensive rating.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-29\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"7z\">Orlando is much worse offensively &#8212; 105.9 offensive rating &#8212; with Banchero off the floor. The Magic are a better team with Banchero out there.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-30\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"82\">They just are not good enough.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-31\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"85\">Like everyone else, Banchero is hunting for answers.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-32\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"88\">&#8220;I think our record answers that question. I&#8217;m not going to harp on the problems and what I think is wrong with our offense,&#8221; Banchero told reporters in the locker room after Wednesday&#8217;s game. &#8220;I don&#8217;t think anyone would say it&#8217;s where it could be or should be. We have a lot of guys, and we&#8217;ve just got to be better.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>The Magic have not been good enough<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-34\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"8e\">Quite simply, the Orlando Magic have not been good enough this season. Paolo Banchero has not been good enough this season. And he has let his critics win the day and set the narrative for his season.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-35\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"8h\">Banchero had a strong finish last year after the All-Star Break &#8212; averaging 29.0 points per game with a 58.3 percent true shooting percentage. The Magic even had a +4.8 net rating with Banchero on the floor after the break last year.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-36\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"8k\">That turnaround is still possible.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-37\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"8n\">Banchero, even in a down scoring year, can clearly soak up attention and put up numbers. There is a lot for the Magic to be pleased with in his season.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-38\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"8q\">But ultimately a star player like Banchero is judged on his wins. The Magic are still fighting for their spot in the Playoffs. Their star is still fighting to prove he can lead them there.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Everyone needs to get away for a bit this All-Star Break. No one probably needs it more than&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":599487,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3779],"tags":[7,48,6,47,76,3883],"class_list":{"0":"post-599486","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-orlando-magic","8":"tag-basketball","9":"tag-magic","10":"tag-nba","11":"tag-orlando","12":"tag-orlando-magic","13":"tag-orlandomagic"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nba\/116059338710586900","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/599486","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=599486"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/599486\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/599487"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=599486"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=599486"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=599486"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}