{"id":608034,"date":"2026-02-17T12:53:12","date_gmt":"2026-02-17T12:53:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/608034\/"},"modified":"2026-02-17T12:53:12","modified_gmt":"2026-02-17T12:53:12","slug":"north-carolina-vs-nc-state-prediction-odds-spread-time-2026-college-basketball-picks-from-proven-model","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/608034\/","title":{"rendered":"North Carolina vs. NC State prediction, odds, spread, time: 2026 college basketball picks from proven model"},"content":{"rendered":"

The 16th-ranked North Carolina Tar Heels<\/a> take on the North Carolina State Wolfpack in a key ACC matchup on Tuesday. UNC is coming off a 79-65 win over Pittsburgh, while NC State dropped a 77-76 decision to Miami (Fla.). The Tar Heels (20-5, 8-4 ACC), who are tied for sixth in the conference, are 3-4 on the road this season. The Wolfpack (18-8, 9-4 ACC), who are fifth in the league, are 10-4 on their home court.<\/p>\n

Tipoff from Lenova Center in Raleigh, N.C., is set for 7 p.m. ET. North Carolina leads the all-time series 166-81, including a 70-48 mark in games played in Raleigh. NC State is a 6.5-point favorite in the latest North Carolina vs. NC State odds from DraftKings Sportsbook, while the over\/under for total points scored is 158.5. Before making any NC State vs. North Carolina picks,\u00a0check out the men’s college basketball predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model<\/a>.<\/p>\n

New users can target the\u00a0DraftKings promo code<\/a>, which offers\u00a0$200 in bonus bets if your $5+ bet wins<\/a>:<\/p>\n

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every college basketball game 10,000 times and it entered Week 16 on a sizzling 11-1 run on its top-rated over\/under\u00a0college basketball<\/a>\u00a0picks<\/a>\u00a0dating back to last season, and is on a 13-7 run on top-rated CBB side picks. Anyone following its\u00a0college basketball<\/a>\u00a0betting<\/a>\u00a0advice at\u00a0sportsbooks<\/a>\u00a0and on\u00a0betting apps<\/a>\u00a0could have seen strong returns.<\/p>\n

Now, the model has simulated North Carolina vs. NC State<\/a>\u00a010,000 times and just revealed its coveted men’s college basketball picks and betting predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks<\/a>. Here are several men’s college basketball odds<\/a> and men’s college basketball betting lines for UNC vs. NC State:<\/p>\n

North Carolina vs. NC State spread:\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n

NC State -6.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook<\/p>\n

North Carolina vs. NC State over\/under:\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n

158.5 points<\/p>\n

North Carolina vs. NC State money line:\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n

NC State -280, UNC +227<\/p>\n

North Carolina vs. NC State picks:\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n

See picks at SportsLine<\/a><\/p>\n

North Carolina vs. NC State streaming:<\/p>\n

Fubo<\/a>\u00a0(Try for free) \u00a0<\/p>\n

New users can also target the latest\u00a0Underdog promo code<\/a>, good for\u00a0$75 in fantasy bonus entries when you play $5 with the promo code CBSSPORTS2<\/a>\u00a0in select states.<\/p>\n

How to make North Carolina vs. NC State picks<\/p>\n

SportsLine’s model is going Under on the total (158.5 points). The Under has hit in five of the last seven head-to-head matchups between the schools. The Under has hit in two of the last three North Carolina games, while the Under hit in N.C. State’s last game.\u00a0<\/p>\n

The model projects the Tar Heels to have two players score 14.6 points or more, including Henri Veesaar’s<\/a> projected 14.9 points. The Wolfpack are projected to have five players score 11.8 or more points, led by Darrion Williams<\/a>, who is projected to score 15.7 points. The Under clears in over 50% of simulations.\u00a0<\/p>\n

The model also says one side of the spread hits nearly 60% of the time.\u00a0You can only see that pick at SportsLine<\/a>.<\/p>\n

So who wins North Carolina vs. NC State, and which side of the spread hits nearly 60% of the time?\u00a0Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the North Carolina vs. NC State spread to back, all from the advanced model that has simulated this game 10,000 times<\/a>, and find out.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The 16th-ranked North Carolina Tar Heels take on the North Carolina State Wolfpack in a key ACC matchup…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":557717,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3724],"tags":[7,217,59401,59378,15411,80890,80892,80891,1770],"class_list":{"0":"post-608034","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-basketball","8":"tag-basketball","9":"tag-college-basketball","10":"tag-college-basketball-odds","11":"tag-college-basketball-picks","12":"tag-nc-state-wolfpack","13":"tag-north-carolina-nc-state-odds","14":"tag-north-carolina-nc-state-picks","15":"tag-north-carolina-nc-state-prediction","16":"tag-north-carolina-tar-heels"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/608034","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=608034"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/608034\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/557717"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=608034"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=608034"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=608034"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}