The Heat are -3.5 favorites vs. the Hawks<\/p>\n
Total (Over\/Under): 244.5 points<\/p>\n
Watch the game on FSUN | FDSE | WANF | PSN<\/p>\n
The Miami Heat visit State Farm Arena to take on the Atlanta Hawks on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30 pm in Atlanta, GA.<\/p>\n
The Heat are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).<\/p>\n
The Heat vs Hawks Over\/Under is 244.5 total points for the game.<\/p>\n
So far this NBA season, the Heat are 31-24 against the spread, while the Hawks are 27-30 against the spread.<\/p>\n
Bet now on Hawks vs Heat and all NBA games with BetMGM<\/a><\/p>\n Heat vs. Hawks Odds, Over\/Under & Moneyline <\/p>\n Spread<\/p>\n Total<\/p>\n Money<\/p>\n Heat<\/p>\n Hawks<\/p>\n <\/p>\n Hawks vs Heat Prediction for Tonight\u2019s Game:<\/p>\n The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Friday\u2018s game with 59.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and Hawks.<\/p>\n Hawks vs Heat Spread Prediction:<\/p>\n Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Hawks will cover the spread for Friday\u2018s game with 52.6% confidence.<\/p>\n Bet now on Hawks vs Heat and all NBA games with BetMGM<\/p>\n Heat Best Bets for Tonight:<\/p>\n The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 40 away games (+21.15 Units \/ 42% ROI)<\/p>\n The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 29 of their last 40 away games (+17.65 Units \/ 38% ROI)<\/p>\n The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Spread in 31 of their last 45 games (+15.95 Units \/ 31% ROI)<\/p>\n The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 31 of their last 50 games (+11.75 Units \/ 15% ROI)<\/p>\n The Miami Heat have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 20 away games (+11.45 Units \/ 49% ROI)<\/p>\n Hawks Best Bets for Tonight:<\/p>\n The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+10.60 Units \/ 31% ROI)<\/p>\n The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 24 games (+7.05 Units \/ 23% ROI)<\/p>\n The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 2H Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+6.75 Units \/ 50% ROI)<\/p>\n The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+6.65 Units \/ 20% ROI)<\/p>\n The Atlanta Hawks have covered the 4Q Spread in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.75 Units \/ 49% ROI)<\/p>\n Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:<\/p>\n Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 31-24 (+4.6 Units \/ 7.47% ROI).<\/p>\n 29-27 against the Moneyline (-1.15 Units \/ -1.22% ROI)<\/p>\n 28-27 against the Over for game total points (-1.7 Units \/ -2.76% ROI)<\/p>\n 27-28 against the Under for game total points (-3.8 Units \/ -6.17% ROI)<\/p>\n Atlanta Hawks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:<\/p>\n Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 27-30 (-5.95 Units \/ -9.5% ROI).<\/p>\n 27-30 against the Moneyline (-5.55 Units \/ -6.37% ROI)<\/p>\n 29-28 against the Over for game total points (-1.8 Units \/ -2.87% ROI)<\/p>\n 28-29 against the Under for game total points (-3.9 Units \/ -6.22% ROI)<\/p>\n Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Hawks:<\/p>\n The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 30 games at home (-14.95 Units \/ -44% ROI)<\/p>\n The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 2Q Spread in 18 of their last 45 games (-12.80 Units \/ -25% ROI)<\/p>\n The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 40 games (-11.75 Units \/ -24% ROI)<\/p>\n The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 16 of their last 40 games (-11.75 Units \/ -25% ROI)<\/p>\n The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 30 games at home (-11.10 Units \/ -32% ROI)<\/p>\n Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:<\/p>\n The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 40 games (-19.80 Units \/ -37% ROI)<\/p>\n The Miami Heat have only covered the 3Q Spread in 15 of their last 45 games (-19.45 Units \/ -37% ROI)<\/p>\n The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.15 Units \/ -28% ROI)<\/p>\n The Miami Heat have only covered the 2H Spread in 15 of their last 40 games (-14.05 Units \/ -30% ROI)<\/p>\n The Miami Heat have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 20 of their last 50 games (-13.24 Units \/ -19% ROI)<\/p>\n Jump to:<\/p>\n Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks<\/p>\n The Heat are 3-16 (.158) when they lose the turnover margin this season \u2014 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .398<\/p>\n The Heat are 16-10 (.615) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season \u2014 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .520<\/p>\n The Heat were 33-8 (.805) when scoring 110 or more points in the 2023-24 season \u2014 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .659<\/p>\n The Heat are 34-33 (.507) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .553<\/p>\n Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat<\/p>\n The Hawks are winless (0-20) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .098<\/p>\n The Hawks are 15-31 (.326) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .546<\/p>\n The Hawks are 3-4 (.429) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season \u2014 tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .574<\/p>\n The Hawks are 1-10 (.091) when their eFG is 50% or worse this season \u2014 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .218<\/p>\n Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends<\/p>\n The Heat have averaged 61.8 points per game (3,461 points\/56 games) in the first half this season \u2014 best among NBA teams; League Avg: 58.1<\/p>\n The Heat have averaged 27.2 points in the paint per game (1,522 points\/56 games) in the second half this season \u2014 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.1<\/p>\n The Heat shot 43% (413\/964) in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season \u2014 lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%<\/p>\n The Heat have averaged 28.6 assists per game (1,600 assists\/56 games) this season \u2014 tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.6<\/p>\n Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends<\/p>\n The Hawks are shooting 46% from three (117\/257) in close and late situations this season \u2014 best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%<\/p>\n The Hawks have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (975 assists\/ 453 TOs) on the road this season \u2014 tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8<\/p>\n The Hawks have averaged 30.4 assists per game (1,734 assists\/57 games) this season \u2014 best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.6<\/p>\n The Hawks have averaged 15.8 assists per game (900 assists\/57 games) in the first half this season \u2014 best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.7<\/p>\n Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends<\/p>\n The Heat have averaged 37.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,092 rebounds\/56 games) this season \u2014 tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0<\/p>\n The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (831 blocks\/220 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0<\/p>\n The Heat averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks\/82 games) in the 2023-24 season \u2014 lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1<\/p>\n The Heat have averaged 9.2 steals per game (513 steals\/56 games) this season \u2014 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4<\/p>\n Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends<\/p>\n The Hawks allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (571\/1,405) in the second half in the 2023-24 season \u2014 highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%<\/p>\n The Hawks have averaged 9.6 steals per game (1,329 steals\/139 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season \u2014 tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3<\/p>\n The Hawks stole the ball 798 times last season \u2014 2nd most among NBA teams<\/p>\n The Hawks have averaged 8.8 steals per game (1,945 steals\/221 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0<\/p>\n Bet now on Hawks vs Heat and all NBA games with BetMGM<\/a><\/p>\n Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM<\/p>\n At BetMGM<\/a>, you can bet online<\/a> with updated NBA betting odds<\/a>. And with live sports betting<\/a>, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app<\/a>) experiences are at BetMGM.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Heat are -3.5 favorites vs. the Hawks Total (Over\/Under): 244.5 points Watch the game on FSUN |…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":502063,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[3776],"tags":[676,208,3874,7,677,6],"class_list":{"0":"post-613922","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-atlanta-hawks","8":"tag-atlanta","9":"tag-atlanta-hawks","10":"tag-atlantahawks","11":"tag-basketball","12":"tag-hawks","13":"tag-nba"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nba\/116103713383773203","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/613922","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=613922"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/613922\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/502063"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=613922"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=613922"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=613922"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}