The Memphis Grizzlies (21-33) are heavy underdogs (+10.5) as they attempt to stop a four-game road losing streak when they square off against the Miami Heat (30-27) on Saturday, February 21, 2026 at Kaseya Center. The game airs at 8 p.m. ET on FDSSUN, FDSSE, and WPLG.<\/p>\n
Watch the NBA, other live sports and more on Fubo. What is Fubo? Fubo is a streaming service that gives you access to your favorite live sports and shows on demand. Use our link<\/a> to sign up.<\/p>\n Heat vs. Grizzlies Predictions for Saturday<\/p>\n Our computer projection model for this encounter expects a final score of Heat 121, Grizzlies 113.<\/p>\n Moneyline Pick: Heat (-442) Heat 2025-26 Betting Trends<\/p>\n Miami is 33-23-1 against the spread this season. Memphis has a 25-29-0 record against the spread this year.
\nTotal Pick: Under 238.5 (computer predicts 234.7 points)
\nPick ATS: Grizzlies (+10.5)
\nRecent Heat vs. Grizzlies Matchups<\/p>\n
\nIn games they have played as at least 10.5-point favorites this season, the Heat are 2-1 against the spread.
\nMiami’s games have hit the over in 28 out of 54 opportunities (51.9%).
\nThis season, the Heat have been favored 28 times and won 17, or 60.7%, of those games.
\nMiami has played as a favorite of -442 or more twice this season and won both games.
\nGrizzlies 2025-26 Betting Trends<\/p>\n
\nThe Grizzlies have a 3-3 record against the spread when an underdog by 10.5 points or more this year.
\nOf Memphis’ 54 games with a set total, 25 have hit the over (46.3%).
\nThe Grizzlies have won nine of the 36 games they were the underdog on the moneyline this season (25%).
\nMemphis has not yet won a game when entering as a moneyline underdog with odds of +342 or longer in six chances.<\/p>\n