The Denver Nuggets (36-21) are favored by 4.5 points against the Golden State Warriors (29-27) on Sunday, February 22, 2026 at 3:30 p.m. ET. The matchup airs on ABC.<\/p>\n
Watch the NBA, other live sports and more on Fubo. What is Fubo? Fubo is a streaming service that gives you access to your favorite live sports and shows on demand. Use our link<\/a> to sign up.<\/p>\n Nuggets vs. Warriors Predictions for Sunday<\/p>\n Our computer projection model for this game predicts a final tally of Warriors 117, Nuggets 116.<\/p>\n Moneyline Pick: Warriors (+153) Nuggets 2025-26 Betting Trends<\/p>\n Denver has gone 32-25-0 ATS this season. So far this season, Golden State has compiled a 25-31-0 record against the spread.
\nTotal Pick: Over 230.5 (computer predicts 233.1 points)
\nPick ATS: Warriors (+4.5)
\nRecent Nuggets vs. Warriors Matchups<\/p>\n
\nThe Nuggets have a 15-13 record against the spread this season when favored by 4.5 points or more.
\nThe teams have hit the over in 35 of Denver’s 56 games with a set total.
\nThe Nuggets have entered the game as favorites 38 times this season and won 27, or 71.1%, of those games.
\nDenver has a record of 21-7, a 75% win rate, when it’s favored by -184 or more by sportsbooks this season.
\nWarriors 2025-26 Betting Trends<\/p>\n
\nIn games they have played as at least 4.5-point underdogs this year, the Warriors are 4-8 against the spread.
\nThe teams have combined to hit the over in 32 of Golden State’s 56 games with a set total.
\nThe Warriors have won six of the 17 games they were the underdog on the moneyline this season (35.3%).
\nWhen it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +153 or longer, Golden State has gone 3-8 (27.3%).<\/p>\n