Feb. 28, 2026, 9:36 a.m. ET<\/p>\n
The Houston Rockets<\/a> (37-21) and Miami Heat<\/a> (31-29) meet Saturday at Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida. Tip-off is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET (Prime Video). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s<\/a> NBA odds around the Rockets vs. Heat odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions<\/a> for the best bets.<\/p>\n 2024-25 season series: Tied 1-1<\/p>\n The Rockets tipped off a 3-game road trip Thursday with a 113-108 victory in Orlando as a 2.5-point favorite as the Over (214.5) cashed. F Kevin Durant exploded for 40 points on 14-of-28 shooting from the field and added 8 rebounds, 3 assists and 2 steals with a pair of 3-pointers. C Alperen Sengun finished with 16 points, 6 rebounds, 5 assists and a block.<\/p>\n Houston has won 3 in a row, averaging 122.0 PPG in the span. The Rockets have covered 4 in a row while the Over is 3-0 in the past 3 games following a 4-game Under run.<\/p>\n The Heat suffered a 124-117 loss at Philadelphia on Thursday as a 2-point underdog with the Over (240.5) caching. C Bam Adebayo did his best, going for 29 points and 14 rebounds, hitting 4 3-pointers. G Tyler Herro also had his shot falling, going for 4 3-pointers and supplying 25 points while adding 7 assists, 4 rebounds and a steal.<\/p>\n Miami has scored 117 or more points in 5 straight games, with the Over going 3-0 in the past 3 games. The Heat are also 5-3 against the spread (ATS) in their previous 8 outings.<\/p>\n Watch the NBA on Fubo!<\/a>Rockets at Heat odds<\/p>\n Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook<\/a>; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub<\/a> for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:25 a.m. ET.<\/p>\n Moneyline (ML): Rockets -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Heat +118 (bet $100 to win $118)Against the spread: Rockets -2.5 (-110) | Heat +2.5 (-110)Over\/Under (O\/U): 225.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)Rockets at Heat key injuries<\/p>\n Rockets<\/p>\n C Steven Adams (ankle) outF Jabari Smith Jr. (ankle) outF Jae’Sean Tate (knee) out<\/p>\n Heat<\/p>\n F Nikola Jovic (back) outG Normal Powell (groin) out<\/p>\n For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report<\/a>.<\/p>\n Rockets at Heat picks and predictionsPrediction<\/p>\n Rockets 119, Heat 111<\/p>\n The ROCKETS (-145) aren’t priced out of line if you want to just declare a winner and not worry about laying the points.<\/p>\n My personal limit for a moneyline wager is -180, so this falls under that. If you were to fold this into a multi-leg parlay, or you use Houston with a boost or promo, even better.<\/p>\n The ROCKETS -2.5 (-110) is a decent play on the road to get the job done by at least 2 buckets (or a 3-pointer). Houston has covered 4 in a row and the offense has been clicking. Of course, while the Rockets have scored 125+ in 2 of 3 games, those 2 occurrences came at home against the Sacramento Kings (128-97 on Wednesday as a 14-point favorite) and Utah Jazz (125-105 on Monday as 13.5-point favorite). Both of those teams are terrible, and among the worst defenses in the league.<\/p>\n Miami will make Houston work for it, as it ranks top 10 in both defensive field-goal percentage (45.8%) and defensive 3-pointer percentage (35.0%).<\/p>\n BACK OVER 225.5 (-110), as both teams have ratcheted up the offensive production lately while defense has gone south for 1 of these teams.<\/p>\n Miami has scored 117 or more points in 5 in a row and allowed 120+ in 3 in a row, with an average of 124.0 PPG against. The Over has cashed in 3 in a row for the Heat and 4 of their past 5 outings.<\/p>\n Houston has cashed the Over in 3 in a row, averaging 122.0 PPG in that stretch, but the defense is still humming along with 109 or fewer points allowed in 9 in a row, so be careful.<\/p>\n For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com<\/a> and BetFTW<\/a>.<\/p>\n Follow @danieledobish<\/a> on\u00a0Twitter\/X.\u00a0Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter\/X<\/a> and like us on Facebook<\/a>.<\/p>\n Access more NBA coverage:<\/p>\n HoopsHype<\/a> | Celtics Wire<\/a> | Nets Wire<\/a>\u00a0|\u00a0Rockets Wire<\/a>\u00a0|\u00a0Sixers Wire<\/a>\u00a0|\u00a0Thunder Wire<\/a>\u00a0|\u00a0Warriors Wire<\/a>\u00a0| LeBron Wire<\/a> |\u00a0Rookie Wire<\/a>\u00a0|\u00a0List Wire<\/a><\/p>\n Our team of savvy editors independently handpicks all recommendations. If you purchase through our links, the USA TODAY Network may earn a commission. 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