{"id":632313,"date":"2026-03-01T13:20:12","date_gmt":"2026-03-01T13:20:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/632313\/"},"modified":"2026-03-01T13:20:12","modified_gmt":"2026-03-01T13:20:12","slug":"iowa-state-expert-previews-the-arizona-wildcats-mens-basketball-game-makes-a-score-prediction","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/632313\/","title":{"rendered":"Iowa State expert previews the Arizona Wildcats men\u2019s basketball game, makes a score prediction"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Going into this weekend, Iowa State was one of three teams that still had a shot to catch Arizona for the Big 12 title. But then the Cyclones lost at home to Texas Tech, eliminating them from the race and taking a little of the shine off their meeting on Big Monday.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">It\u2019s still a big game, one that could give the Wildcats their first Big 12 regular season championship. It also will provide ESPN plenty of chances to show Caleb Love\u2019s miracle shot from their game last season at McKale Center.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">To better understand this year\u2019s Iowa State team, we reached out to Jared Larson of SB Nation sister site <a href=\"https:\/\/www.widerightnattylite.com\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Wide Right &amp; Natty Lite<\/a> for some insight and a score prediction. Below are his verified answers to our suspect questions:<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">AZ Desert Swarm: What went wrong against Texas Tech, and are any of those things repeated problems?<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Jared Larson: \u201cIt was one of those days where the shots went down for the visiting Red Raiders and not for the Cyclones. It\u2019s hard to win games when opponents connect on 14 3-point baskets and outrebound by six, equally hard when a visiting team can use up almost all of the shot clock, only to make a basket as they did eight of nine times on Saturday. Killyan Toure not scoring in any of his seven attempts from the field is also concerning. \u201cThey made choices tonight to leave (him) unguarded,\u201d Iowa State coach TJ Otzelberger said. \u201cIt\u2019s something for us that we need to solve. Tonight was the night it was really exposed.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">The Cyclones have the top-ranked player in the Big 12 (per KenPom) in 6-foot-9 senior forward Joshua Jefferson. What has made him so effective this season and how do you think Arizona will defend him?<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">\u201cJefferson is elite in filling the box score, as he did against Texas Tech with 22 points, five rebounds, five assists and five steals. He can catch passes in the paint, he can hoist and make 3-point baskets (2 for 4 against Texas Tech, with the two makes coming at an average of 25.5 feet). I believe he\u2019s been the glue to keep this team going whether it\u2019s good moments in bad moments.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Milan Momcilovic leads the conference in made 3s (109) and 3-point percentage (50.9), but Arizona is holding Big 12 opponents to 30.3 percent from outside. What does Iowa State do to get him open, and what happens if that doesn\u2019t work?<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">\u201cWhat makes Milan elite is his fast release and his ability to make triples in the second half of games. I don\u2019t have notes on this, but my partner is convinced he shoots better in the second half than the first half \u2013 at least at Hilton, today he had one in the first half and four in the second half. Ball movement, spacing and timely screens have been beneficial, truly a nod to how he\u2019s honed his craft \u2013 and how saying \u2018jelly beans\u2019 has amended his shooting psyche.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Four of Iowa State\u2019s five losses have come when the opponent has an offensive efficiency of 118 or higher. Where do the Cyclones struggle on defense, and how do you see that factoring into this game?<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">\u201cAgainst teams that can space the floor, make the most of every possession and have advantages in the rebounding battle, the framework of the Cyclone D starts to crumble. When it looks like they\u2019re playing flat-footed, it seems almost inevitable the result will be in the losing column. Another thing that I\u2019ve noticed is, especially with both the Kansas and the Cincinnati game \u2013 games in which they trailed 26 and 17 respectively \u2013 when they get down by double digits, they get down in their play. Yes, the Cyclones trimmed it to six today, and finished with a margin of nine in the loss at Cincinnati, but it seems to be one of those deals of when it rains it pours.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">This question probably would have been more significant before this last game, but why does Iowa State seem to play so much differently (read: worse) on the road in Big 12 play? Didn\u2019t this team dominate Purdue in its gym in November?<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">\u201cThe Big 12 is a tough conference, apart from Arizona being 7-1, the best winning result on the road is Houston at 5-3 followed closely by Iowa State, Texas Tech and UCF at 4-4. I think it\u2019s a mixture of hoping the 3-point basket falls, maintaining identities on both sides of the ball and drowning out the noise of home crowds that aren\u2019t decked out in cardinal and gold. The win over then No. 1 Purdue saw 11 triples fall for the Cyclones, and four Cyclones finished in double digits. Fellow Ames native and Ames High alumnus Tamin Lipsey had eight assists and zero turnovers in that game, and on the season he has 133 assists to 34 turnovers. It takes everybody to be at the level Otz expects, and, hopefully today was another wake up call.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Prediction time. Does Iowa State keep Arizona from clinching on its home court on Senior Night or do the Wildcats win their first Big 12 title? Give us a score pick.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">\u201cA white out and senior day? Koa Peat with a 12-7-5 line in his first game back? If the Cyclones can remain out of foul trouble, and not get in their own way and in their own heads as I\u2019m sure the McKale Center at ALKEME Arena will be at a fever pitch with all that\u2019s on the line, I think Arizona wins it in the way AP Style says to spell out numbers under 10. Out of thin air, 77-72 Arizona, and I can\u2019t wait to watch this at Parks Library.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Going into this weekend, Iowa State was one of three teams that still had a shot to catch&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":632314,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3724],"tags":[9763,7],"class_list":{"0":"post-632313","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-basketball","8":"tag-arizona-basketball","9":"tag-basketball"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nba\/116154127094133162","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/632313","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=632313"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/632313\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/632314"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=632313"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=632313"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=632313"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}