The Golden State Warriors (31-30) are 8.5-point underdogs against the Houston Rockets (38-22) at Toyota Center on Thursday, March 5, 2026. The game starts at 7:30 p.m. ET on Amazon Prime Video and NBCS-BA.<\/p>\n
Watch the NBA, other live sports and more on Fubo. What is Fubo? Fubo is a streaming service that gives you access to your favorite live sports and shows on demand. Use our link<\/a> to sign up.<\/p>\n Listen to the game on Sports Talk 790AM<\/a><\/p>\n Rockets vs. Warriors Predictions for Thursday<\/p>\n Our computer projection model for this matchup predicts a final score of Rockets 117, Warriors 110.<\/p>\n Moneyline Pick: Rockets (-340) Rockets 2025-26 Betting Trends<\/p>\n Houston’s ATS record is 27-33-0 this season. Golden State is 27-34-0 ATS this year.
\nTotal Pick: Over 214.5 (computer predicts 226.7 points)
\nPick ATS: Warriors (+8.5)
\nRecent Rockets vs. Warriors Matchups<\/p>\n
\nThe Rockets have an 8-16 record against the spread when favored by 8.5 points or more this season.
\nHouston has gone over in 26 of its 61 games with a set total (42.6%).
\nThe Rockets have been favorites in 54 games this season and won 35 (64.8%) of those contests.
\nThis season, Houston has won 16 of its 20 games, or 80%, when favored by at least -340 on the moneyline.
\nWarriors 2025-26 Betting Trends<\/p>\n
\nWhen they have played as at least 8.5-point underdogs this season, the Warriors are 1-4 against the spread.
\nGolden State’s games have hit the over 35 out of 61 times (57.4%).
\nThe Warriors have gone 7-13 in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 35% of those games).
\nGolden State has gone 1-4 in games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +272 or longer (20%).<\/p>\n