The Heat are -6.5 favorites vs. the Bucks<\/p>\n
Total (Over\/Under): 234.5 points<\/p>\n
Watch the game on FSUN | FDWI | WMLW<\/p>\n
The Milwaukee Bucks visit Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30 pm in Miami, FL.<\/p>\n
The Heat are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).<\/p>\n
The Bucks vs Heat Over\/Under is 234.5 total points for the game.<\/p>\n
So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 28-36 against the spread, while the Heat are 39-26 against the spread.<\/p>\n
Bet now on Heat vs Bucks and all NBA games with BetMGM<\/a><\/p>\n Bucks vs. Heat Odds, Over\/Under & Moneyline <\/p>\n SpreadOver \/ UnderMoneylineMilwaukee Bucks+6.5 -110O 234.5 -110+200Miami Heat -6.5 -110U 234.5 -110-250<\/p>\n Heat vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight\u2019s Game:<\/p>\n The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Thursday\u2018s game with 53.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Bucks and Heat.<\/p>\n Heat vs Bucks Spread Prediction:<\/p>\n Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Thursday\u2018s game with 63.1% confidence.<\/p>\n Bet now on Heat vs Bucks and all NBA games with BetMGM<\/p>\n Bucks Best Bets for Tonight:<\/p>\n The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 30 away games (+11.10 Units \/ 34% ROI)<\/p>\n The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 30 away games (+10.60 Units \/ 31% ROI)<\/p>\n The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games (+10.30 Units \/ 59% ROI)<\/p>\n The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+9.35 Units \/ 45% ROI)<\/p>\n The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.75 Units \/ 58% ROI)<\/p>\n Heat Best Bets for Tonight:<\/p>\n The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Spread in 33 of their last 50 games (+15.80 Units \/ 27% ROI)<\/p>\n The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 35 games (+14.70 Units \/ 28% ROI)<\/p>\n The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 30 of their last 45 games at home (+13.55 Units \/ 16% ROI)<\/p>\n The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+12.05 Units \/ 26% ROI)<\/p>\n The Miami Heat have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 13 games (+12.00 Units \/ 54% ROI)<\/p>\n Milwaukee Bucks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:<\/p>\n Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 28-36 (-11.6 Units \/ -16.49% ROI).<\/p>\n 27-37 against the Moneyline (-9.5 Units \/ -9.81% ROI)<\/p>\n 28-36 against the Over for game total points (-11.6 Units \/ -16.48% ROI)<\/p>\n 36-28 against the Under for game total points (+5.2 Units \/ 7.39% ROI)<\/p>\n Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:<\/p>\n Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 39-26 (+10.4 Units \/ 14.32% ROI).<\/p>\n 37-29 against the Moneyline (+5.1 Units \/ 3.89% ROI)<\/p>\n 34-30 against the Over for game total points (+1 Units \/ 1.38% ROI)<\/p>\n 30-34 against the Under for game total points (-7.4 Units \/ -10.19% ROI)<\/p>\n Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:<\/p>\n The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 40 games at home (-18.00 Units \/ -39% ROI)<\/p>\n The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 35 games (-16.35 Units \/ -41% ROI)<\/p>\n The Miami Heat have only hit the 2H Game Total Under in 15 of their last 40 games at home (-13.62 Units \/ -30% ROI)<\/p>\n The Miami Heat have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 50 games (-12.80 Units \/ -22% ROI)<\/p>\n The Miami Heat have only covered the 3Q Spread in 21 of their last 50 games (-12.45 Units \/ -22% ROI)<\/p>\n Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Bucks:<\/p>\n The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 30 away games (-15.50 Units \/ -45% ROI)<\/p>\n The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 50 games (-15.20 Units \/ -27% ROI)<\/p>\n The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 20 of their last 50 games (-14.50 Units \/ -25% ROI)<\/p>\n The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 30 away games (-14.10 Units \/ -43% ROI)<\/p>\n The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 40 away games (-12.75 Units \/ -27% ROI)<\/p>\n Jump to:<\/p>\n Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat<\/p>\n The Bucks are winless (0-12) when their eFG is 50% or worse this season \u2014 tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .218<\/p>\n The Bucks are 6-17 (.261) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season \u2014 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .411<\/p>\n The Bucks are 10-18 (.357) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season \u2014 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .468<\/p>\n The Bucks were 10-3 (.769) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws in the 2023-24 season \u2014 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544<\/p>\n Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks<\/p>\n The Heat were 33-8 (.805) when scoring 110 or more points in the 2023-24 season \u2014 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .659<\/p>\n The Heat are 51-42 (.548) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .453<\/p>\n The Heat are 11-22 (.333) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .445<\/p>\n The Heat were 6-13 (.316) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season \u2014 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .551<\/p>\n Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends<\/p>\n The Bucks are shooting 51% (359\/698) in close and late situations this season \u2014 best among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%<\/p>\n The Bucks have a TS% of 56% in close and late situations this season \u2014 best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%<\/p>\n The Bucks are shooting 44% from three (126\/288) in close and late situations this season \u2014 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34%<\/p>\n The Bucks have an eFG% of 60% in close and late situations this season \u2014 best among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%<\/p>\n Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends<\/p>\n The Heat have averaged 19.4 fast break points per game (639 points\/33 games) at home this season \u2014 best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.2<\/p>\n The Heat averaged 45.1 points in the paint per game (1,850 points\/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season \u2014 lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7<\/p>\n The Heat have averaged 62.0 points per game (4,030 points\/65 games) in the first half this season \u2014 best among NBA teams; League Avg: 58.0<\/p>\n The Heat have averaged 55.0 points in the paint per game (3,578 points\/65 games) this season \u2014 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.5<\/p>\n Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends<\/p>\n The Bucks averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,035 rebounds\/82 games) in the 2023-24 season \u2014 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2<\/p>\n The Bucks averaged 37.5 defensive rebounds per game (3,072 rebounds\/82 games) last season \u2014 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3<\/p>\n The Bucks have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (1,051 blocks\/228 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0<\/p>\n The Bucks have averaged 7.1 steals per game (784 steals\/111 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0<\/p>\n Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends<\/p>\n The Heat averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks\/82 games) in the 2023-24 season \u2014 lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1<\/p>\n The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (880 blocks\/229 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0<\/p>\n The Heat averaged 3.8 blocks per game (314 blocks\/82 games) last season \u2014 lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9<\/p>\n The Heat have averaged 37.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,437 rebounds\/65 games) this season \u2014 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0<\/p>\n Bet now on Heat vs Bucks and all NBA games with BetMGM<\/a><\/p>\n Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM<\/p>\n At BetMGM<\/a>, you can bet online<\/a> with updated NBA betting odds<\/a>. And with live sports betting<\/a>, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app<\/a>) experiences are at BetMGM.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Heat are -6.5 favorites vs. the Bucks Total (Over\/Under): 234.5 points Watch the game on FSUN |…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":654535,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[3775],"tags":[7,103,102,121,3871,6],"class_list":{"0":"post-654534","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-milwaukee-bucks","8":"tag-basketball","9":"tag-bucks","10":"tag-milwaukee","11":"tag-milwaukee-bucks","12":"tag-milwaukeebucks","13":"tag-nba"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nba\/116216778251598139","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/654534","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=654534"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/654534\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/654535"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=654534"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=654534"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=654534"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}