{"id":668094,"date":"2026-03-20T04:00:22","date_gmt":"2026-03-20T04:00:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/668094\/"},"modified":"2026-03-20T04:00:22","modified_gmt":"2026-03-20T04:00:22","slug":"indiana-pacers-lottery-targets-clash-in-march-madness-first-round-upset","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/668094\/","title":{"rendered":"Indiana Pacers Lottery Targets Clash in March Madness First Round Upset"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>He is a super talented player, potentially the No. 1 pick in this (2026) draft. <\/p>\n<p>I see myself as an NBA player in the future as well. <\/p>\n<p>I am a competitor, for sure it brings that energy out of me.<\/p>\n<p>Dalyn Swain on playing AJ Dybantsa<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-1\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"6o\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sltrib.com\/sports\/byu-cougars\/2026\/03\/19\/what-texas-said-about-aj-dybantsa\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Dailyn Swain was looking forward to the marquee matchup<\/a> to play AJ Dybantsa, and he delivered.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-2\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"6r\">Fresh off a win in the First Four, earning the reward of facing the potential #1 pick in the first round of March Madness, the 11-seed Texas Longhorns came ready to play against the 6-seed BYU Tigers.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-3\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"6u\">The game before, Swain sealed the win to beat NC State with the huge 3pt block on the final play, flashing his incredible defensive instincts, after clutch shots by Tramon Mark; madness came early.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-5\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"71\">Dailyn Swain, a potential first-round pick, is Texas&#8217; dynamic downhill driving wing who scores efficiently and effortlessly in a variety of ways, holding his own as a versatile wing defender.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-6\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"74\">Swain can dribble, pass, shoot, switch, and make quick team-first decisions as a 6&#8217;8&#8243; unreal scoring two-way wing.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-7\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"77\">I have Dailyn &#8220;The Doctor&#8221; Swain rated <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/beyondtheRK\/status\/2033635469544522235?s=20\" rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">5th Overall on my 2026 big board<\/a> after Boozer-Peterson-Dybantsa-Wilson; I think Swain is a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.si.com\/nba\/bucks\/onsi\/draft\/daydream-2026-nba-draft-outcomes-for-bucks-01khkqw9a74m\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">daydream<\/a> &#8216;two timelines&#8217; bet for just about any team this summer.<\/p>\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Dailyn Swain gets fancy with the finish \ud83e\ude84<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/MarchMadness?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">#MarchMadness<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TexasMBB?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">@TexasMBB<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/wMpsVBGH4t\" rel=\"nofollow\">pic.twitter.com\/wMpsVBGH4t<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 NCAA March Madness (@MarchMadnessMBB) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/MarchMadnessMBB\/status\/2034800454329049542?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">March 20, 2026<\/a>Dybantsa wins the matchup battle; Swain&#8217;s team wins the war.<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/01km4jfc7qqeccd6a6xh.jpg\" alt=\"Swain drives, Dybantsa falls\" title=\"Swain drives, Dybantsa falls\" width=\"5633\" height=\"3755\" class=\"undefined w-full w-full blur-[5px]\" q:id=\"7n\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Mar 19, 2026; Portland, OR, USA; BYU Cougars forward AJ Dybantsa (3) reacts after being hit by Texas Longhorns forward Dailyn Swain (3) in the second half during a first round game of the men&#8217;s 2026 NCAA Tournament at Moda Center. Mandatory Credit: Troy Wayrynen-Imagn Images | Troy Wayrynen-Imagn Images<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-11\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"7r\">AJ Dybantsa poured in 35 PTS on 11\/25 FG while hitting just 1\/7 3P, grabbing 10 REB, despite dishing 1 AST to 5 TO.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-12\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"7u\">Swain produced efficiently by putting up 14 PTS on 6\/12 FG with 1\/3 3P, grabbing 5 REB, dishing 6 AST to 1 TO, and forcing 1 STL.<\/p>\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Texas HC Sean Miller says he doesn\u2019t think they can stop AJ Dybantsa \ud83d\udc40 <\/p>\n<p>He has 20 of BYU\u2019s 37 points in the first half. (h\/t <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ClutchPoints?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">@clutchpoints<\/a>)<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/xKHvSoDo4Y\" rel=\"nofollow\">pic.twitter.com\/xKHvSoDo4Y<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Legion Hoops (@LegionHoops) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/LegionHoops\/status\/2034791052196954323?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">March 20, 2026<\/a><\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-14\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"80\">A potential star at the next level, Dybantsa does things on the court few if any other prospects can do, between his downhill north-south athleticism, jumping a passing lane, flying up and down for highlight slams, pulling up for turnaround fadeaway middies and stepback threes.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-15\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"83\">One aspect of his game that knocks him a peg below Boozer, in my opinion, is his inconsistent decision making, forcing tough shots at times can hurt his team&#8217;s chances and possibly team morale.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-16\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"86\">Dybantsa looks to balance his otherworldly tough shotmaking against headscratching decisions; AJ would argue he can take and make any shot, and he might not have many better options.<\/p>\n<p>How frequently, how quickly, and how over-aggresive he is forcing those shots will help him develop his decisionmaking feel as his creation load increases; the difference between high end starter, all-star, and superstar in the NBA level is two-way impact and consistent, reliable decision making.<\/p>\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Dybantsa averages 3.4 isolations per game ending in usage (3.8 since the injury to Saunders). The 2024-25 Pacers averaged 6.4 &#8211; as a team, while also posting the league&#8217;s fastest average touch time in six seasons. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/1hCfGdocmF\" rel=\"nofollow\">https:\/\/t.co\/1hCfGdocmF<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Caitlin Cooper (@C2_Cooper) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/C2_Cooper\/status\/2034791899878367616?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">March 20, 2026<\/a>Could Dybantsa or Swain be unlocked in the Pacers high-octane offense?<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/01km4hptgn8ztavt3yc8.jpg\" alt=\"Swain defends Dybantsa layup\" title=\"Swain defends Dybantsa layup\" width=\"4566\" height=\"2568\" class=\"undefined w-full w-full blur-[5px]\" q:id=\"8m\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Mar 19, 2026; Portland, OR, USA; BYU Cougars forward AJ Dybantsa (3) shoots against Texas Longhorns forward Dailyn Swain (3) in the first half during a first round game of the men&#8217;s 2026 NCAA Tournament at Moda Center. Mandatory Credit: Craig Strobeck-Imagn Images | Craig Strobeck-Imagn Images<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-20\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"8q\">Swain&#8217;s ability to combine his all-around ball-skills, next-level ISO scoring, downhill force athleticism and off-the-dribble shooting potential creates a dual-threat floor-bender stretching the defense as a threat from deep and threat to get to the rim.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-21\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"8t\">Averaging 1.32 PPP on 62 ISOs this season rates Swain in a whopping 98th percentile, via Synergy.<\/p>\n<p>Scoring 1.07 PPP on Spot Ups, 1.2 PPP on Cuts, 0.9 PPP on P&amp;R isn&#8217;t too shabby, either, for Swain.<\/p>\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">dailyn swain has progressed significantly as an off-dribble shooter this year, shooting 35.4% (17-48) on off-dribble 3s after making three total across his first two college seasons<\/p>\n<p>will be critical for him to draw closeouts and over coverage esp given his c&amp;s limitations <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/FHB4QFHZ3Y\" rel=\"nofollow\">pic.twitter.com\/FHB4QFHZ3Y<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Ben Pfeifer (@bjpf_) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/bjpf_\/status\/2034338103352320036?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">March 18, 2026<\/a><\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-23\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"8z\">Dybantsa offers potential in<a href=\"https:\/\/theswishtheory.com\/analysis\/amateur-basketball\/2024\/04\/scouting-the-2024-hoophall-classic-title-game-montverde-academy-invitational-tournament\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"> two-way impact <\/a>and <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/beyondtheRK\/status\/1950606509194285278?s=20\" rel=\"nofollow\">scoring creation<\/a> if he continues to develop his read-and-react decision making on the ball as a team-first creator as more reps come his way.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-24\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"92\">Overall, he&#8217;s a very efficient scorer, especially as a high-volume pick-and-roll ball-handler averaging 1.0 PPP on 226 possessions, rating in the 87th percentile.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-25\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"95\">Dybantsa rates in just the 56th percentile in 122 ISOs, 0.877 PPP; however, AJ makes up for that with 1.19 PPP in 92 Post Ups, offering scoring versatility in a different one-on-one situation.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-26\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"98\">Including passes, Dybantsa rates in the 60th percentile as a P&amp;R ball-handler, 57th percentile as an ISO creator, and 94th percentile as a Post Up hub.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-27\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"9b\">For Swain&#8217;s efficiency including passes, he rated in the 60th percentile as a P&amp;R ball-handler, the 95th percentile in ISO. He only ran 12 post ups, showing he&#8217;s more on the perimeter shooting or driving.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-28\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"9e\">Here&#8217;s two data visualizations I made scouting AJ Dybantsa in person at two annual Montverde tournaments showing signs of his two-way impact and scoring creation.<\/p>\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">All 3 #1 rated prospects from 3 different draft classes showed out in the <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/MVABasketball?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">@MVABasketball<\/a> Academy Invitational Tournament (MAIT)<\/p>\n<p>Each rated Top-3 in Overall Impact via <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/CerebroSports?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">@CerebroSports<\/a>&#8216; C-RAM<\/p>\n<p>1)  Cooper Flagg  (12.9)<br \/>T-2)  AJ Dybantsa &amp; Tyran Stokes  (10.7) <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/zT22v8DtMw\" rel=\"nofollow\">pic.twitter.com\/zT22v8DtMw<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Ryan Kaminski NBA (@beyondtheRK) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/beyondtheRK\/status\/1776252789011648620?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">April 5, 2024<\/a><\/p>\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">2025 Montverde Invitational<\/p>\n<p>Visualizing Scoring Creators via <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/CerebroSports?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">@CerebroSports<\/a> Data<\/p>\n<p>Who stands out?<\/p>\n<p>Matthew Able<br \/>AJ Dybantsa<br \/>Dante Allen<br \/>Patrick Liburd<br \/>JJ Mandaquit<br \/>Hudson Greer<br \/>Anthony Knowles<br \/>Miles Sadler<br \/>Davis Fogle<br \/>Kevin Thomas<br \/>Shon Abaev<br \/>Kalek House<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/drtfY4TLMh\" rel=\"nofollow\">https:\/\/t.co\/drtfY4TLMh<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/62N4JDFrUi\" rel=\"nofollow\">pic.twitter.com\/62N4JDFrUi<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Ryan Kaminski NBA (@beyondtheRK) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/beyondtheRK\/status\/1950606509194285278?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">July 30, 2025<\/a><\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-31\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"9n\">Since high school, Dybantsa has only improved as a decision maker, offensive engine, tough shotmaking scorer for his team.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-32\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"9q\">Would playing with Haliburton, let alone Indiana&#8217;s other playmakers, allow Dybantsa to settle into his strengths of transition play, downhill moving, shooting, scoring, play-finishing, while allowing him to develop as a playmaker at his own rate in more of an open floor setting?<\/p>\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Dailyn Swain is having the greatest self creation season we\u2019ve EVER seen from a prospect before.<\/p>\n<p>Swain ranks 1st (!) in the nation in isolation points-per-possession (1.641), while finishing 72.7% from 2P + 57.1% from 3P. Not to mention, only 21% (!) of his baskets are assisted. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/1CSCF8aR3z\" rel=\"nofollow\">https:\/\/t.co\/1CSCF8aR3z<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/fm5YPY5b9o\" rel=\"nofollow\">pic.twitter.com\/fm5YPY5b9o<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Mohamed (@mcfNBA) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/mcfNBA\/status\/2026024848368022005?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">February 23, 2026<\/a><\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-34\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"9w\">Would something similar be true of Dailyn Swain in Indiana&#8217;s system, adding an ISO specialist  downhill scorer secondary creator who could help Indiana in the halfcourt and full court as another scoring option to throw into the wind to compete next season while providing a solid ceiling to round out as a high-end starter or potential All-Star in the right situation?<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-35\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"9z\">Personally, I would take Cameron Boozer and Darryn Peterson in any situation.<\/p>\n<p>Still, Indiana landing AJ Dybantsa could possibly unlock his best attributes flying around with the rest of this Pacers core. <\/p>\n<p>Dailyn Swain is another potential draft choice at 4 despite Caleb Wilson still likely holding that spot, with the only other realist hope being Swain being available at 10 in a lottery night world where Indiana ends up slipping to 10th, where Swain would be another daydream draft night outcome.<\/p>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"He is a super talented player, potentially the No. 1 pick in this (2026) draft. I see myself&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":668095,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[3774],"tags":[7,113,126,3866,6,114],"class_list":{"0":"post-668094","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-indiana-pacers","8":"tag-basketball","9":"tag-indiana","10":"tag-indiana-pacers","11":"tag-indianapacers","12":"tag-nba","13":"tag-pacers"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nba\/116259510432583410","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/668094","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=668094"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/668094\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/668095"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=668094"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=668094"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=668094"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}