March 23, 2026, 6:28 a.m. ET<\/p>\n
The Golden State Warriors<\/a> (33-38) and Dallas Mavericks<\/a> (23-48) meet Monday at American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas. Tip-off is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET (Peacock \/ NBC Sports Network). Let’s analyze NBA odds around the Warriors vs. Mavericks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions<\/a> for the best bets.<\/p>\n Season series: Tied 1-1<\/p>\n Dallas won 123-115 on Jan. 22 as a 6.5-point underdog at home, while the Over (234.5) cashed. Golden State won 126-116 on Dec. 25 as a 9-point favorite at home, while the Over (230.5) also came through.<\/p>\n Golden State wraps up a 6-game road trip in Big D. The Warriors lost 126-110 in Atlanta Saturday as a 7.5-point underdog as the Over (228.5) cashed. G De’Anthony Melton shook off a hand injury to net a team-best 20 points with 4 assists, 2 rebounds and a steal, while hitting 2-of-7 from downtown.<\/p>\n Golden State has dropped 3 in a row, while falling in 8 of the past 9 games. The Warriors are 0-3 against the spread (ATS) in the past 3 games, and 2-6 ATS across the previous 8 contests. The Over is 3-1 in the past 4 games, and 6-2 across the previous 8 outings.<\/p>\n Dallas lost 138-131 in overtime against the LA Clippers at home Saturday, pushing at most shops as a 7-point underdog as the Over (233.5) cashed. G Naji Marshall led the way with 28 points, while rookie F Cooper Flagg chipped in with 18 points, 10 rebounds and 8 assists while recording 4 blocks.<\/p>\n The Mavericks have dropped 3 in a row, while going just 2-12 SU in the past 14 outings, and 4-22 SU across the previous 26 contests. Dallas is just 1-3-1 ATS in the past 5 games, and 2-6-1 ATS across the previous 9 outings. The Over is 4-1 in the previous 5 games, allowing at least 120 points in 5 in a row, and 8 of the past 9 outings.<\/p>\n Golden State is 10th in the Western Conference, holding a 8 1\/2-game lead over the New Orleans Pelicans for the final play-in position. The Warriors are 10 games ahead of the Mavericks, who while not officially eliminated will not make the playoffs.<\/p>\n Watch the NBA on Fubo!<\/a>Warriors at Mavericks odds<\/p>\n Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub<\/a> for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:17 a.m. ET.<\/p>\n Moneyline (ML): Warriors -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Mavericks +105 (bet $100 to win $105)Against the spread: Warriors -1.5 (-115) | Mavericks +1.5 (-105)Over\/Under (O\/U): 230.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)Warriors at Mavericks key injuries<\/p>\n Warriors<\/p>\n G Seth Curry (adductor) outG Stephen Curry (knee) outC Al Horford (calf) outG De’Anthony Melton (hand) probableG Moses Moody (wrist) questionableC Kristaps Porzingis (back) probableC Quinten Post (foot) out<\/p>\n Mavericks<\/p>\n F Caleb Martin (heel) questionableG Brandon Williams (concussion) doubtful<\/p>\n For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report<\/a>.<\/p>\n Warriors at Mavericks picks and predictionsPrediction<\/p>\n Warriors 123, Mavericks 119<\/p>\n The Warriors (-125) are moderate favorites in this road game against the equally struggling Mavericks.<\/p>\n Golden State has dropped 3 games in a row, and 8 of the past 9 outings, so it’s hard to trust it. However, Dallas has dropped 3 in a row, and 22 of the past 26 games since Jan. 24.<\/p>\n When backing favorites of 1.5 or fewer points, it’s generally best to just lay the points rather than pay up for the moneyline, and very little wiggle room.<\/p>\n AVOID.<\/p>\n It’s hard to spend good money on the WARRIORS -1.5 (-115), as they’ve been bitten by the injury bug quite a bit lately. Still, Golden State has the offense to get the job done. Melton and Porzingis should be in the lineup to give the Warriors a little more offense, and Moody is 50-50 to play.<\/p>\n The Mavericks are mostly healthy, they’re just not a good team. Golden State has an excuse for its skid, as the injuries have piled up, and Steph Curry has been sidelined due to right patellofemoral pain syndrome.<\/p>\n OVER 230.5 (-110) might be the best play on the board.<\/p>\n Golden State hasn’t been scoring many points lately, but it has coughed up 115+ points in 4 in a row, and 7 of the past 8 games. It has allowed 110+ points in 8 consecutive outings, and 17 of the previous 18 contests.<\/p>\n For Dallas, it has score 120+ points in 3 of the past 4 games, and 4 of the previous 6 contests. The defense has been horrible, coughing up 129+ in 3 in a row, and at least 120 points in 8 of the previous 9 outings.<\/p>\n For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com<\/a> and BetFTW<\/a>.<\/p>\n Follow @danieledobish<\/a> on\u00a0Twitter\/X.\u00a0Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter\/X<\/a> and like us on Facebook<\/a>.<\/p>\n Access more NBA coverage:<\/p>\n HoopsHype<\/a> | Celtics Wire<\/a> | Nets Wire<\/a>\u00a0|\u00a0Rockets Wire<\/a>\u00a0|\u00a0Sixers Wire<\/a>\u00a0|\u00a0Thunder Wire<\/a>\u00a0|\u00a0Warriors Wire<\/a>\u00a0| LeBron Wire<\/a> |\u00a0Rookie Wire<\/a>\u00a0|\u00a0List Wire<\/a><\/p>\n