NBA Betting Preview: Heat vs Pacers<\/p>\n
The Miami Heat take the court against the Indiana Pacers in this NBA clash. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.<\/p>\n
We\u2019re Expecting Pacers to Cover the Spread<\/p>\n
We\u2019re delighted to see the Pacers have been given a headstart on the spread. Take the +9 at -110 when they go up against the Heat.<\/p>\n
Pacers Beat Heat When Teams Last Met<\/p>\n
Miami Heat were beaten in their previous game and this was on the road at Rocket Arena. Cleveland Cavaliers claimed a 149-128 win. Jaime Jaquez Jr. poured in 20 points, with Norman Powell contributing 15 and Kel’el Ware adding 14.<\/p>\n
Indiana Pacers have lost their last eleven home games, most recently suffering a 114-113 defeat to LA Clippers at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Aaron Nesmith scored 26 points, with Obadiah Toppin adding 20 and Micah Potter 13.<\/p>\n
Head-to-Head Statistics<\/p>\n
The Pacers beat the Heat in their last head-to-head matchup. It was a 123-99 scoreline at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. In the previous 10 games between the teams, they have won five apiece.<\/p>\n
\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t![\"Heat](\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/basketball-001.png\")
Heat
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t39
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t35
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t0.527
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t120.3
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t117.7
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t2.6
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t23-14
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t16-21
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t7-7
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t23-21
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t4-6
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t1L<\/p>\n
\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t Pacers
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t16
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t58
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t0.216
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t111.9
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t120.6
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t-8.7
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t10-27
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t6-31
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t3-10
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t12-33
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t1-9
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t2L<\/p>\n
\t\t\t\t\t\tView Full Standings <\/a><\/p>\n Miami Heat \u2013 Last 10 Games<\/p>\n The Heat have 4 wins and 6 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 121.3 points, 43.0 rebounds, 28.6 assists, 8.3 steals and 3.8 blocks while shooting 46.2% from the field and 83.2% from the free-throw line. The opposition have an average of 124.6 points and 44.6 rebounds per matchup.<\/p>\n Bam Adebayo is averaging 25.7 points, 9.3 rebounds and 2.2 (26.5%) 3-pointers made, while Jaime Jaquez Jr. averages 4.9 assists.<\/p>\n Indiana Pacers \u2013 Last 10 Games<\/p>\n The Pacers have won 1 and lost 9 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 115.1 points, 38.5 rebounds, 31.0 assists, 6.4 steals and 4.1 blocks per game while shooting 49.0% from the field and 83.2% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have averaged 124.6 points and 45.6 rebounds.<\/p>\n Aaron Nesmith is averaging 16.6 points and 2.7 (47.4%) 3-pointers made. Jarace Walker has an average of 6.0 rebounds and Andrew Nembhard 5.9 assists.<\/p>\n Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers Prediction & Picks<\/p>\n Approach Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers fully prepared with our expert match prediction, likely score outcome, standout player prop picks and a hand-picked bet builder.<\/p>\n Game Prediction<\/p>\n Pacers are more than capable of staying close to the favorites so there\u2019s a strong case for betting them against the spread in this NBA contest. Take the -110 for the +9 that is available.<\/p>\n We put solid research behind every basketball prediction, starting with recent form and a clear read on injuries. From there, key NBA stats and advanced metrics help complete the picture and support smarter betting decisions.<\/p>\n Key Heat vs Pacers stats:<\/p>\n \t\t\tThe +9 line has been covered by Pacers in 4 consecutive games at home.The +9 line has been covered by Pacers in 14 of their last 20 games at home.The +9 line has been covered by Pacers in 6 of their last 10 games.The -9 line hasn\u2019t been covered by Heat in 4 of their last 5 games.The -9 line hasn\u2019t been covered by Heat in 7 of their last 10 games.The +9 line has been covered by Pacers in 7 of their last 10 games against Heat.Pacers +9 Probability<\/p>\n The top NBA sportsbooks<\/a> suggest there\u2019s a 52.4% chance of our pick landing a return. Our experts think there\u2019s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 55-60%. It is the reason why we are recommending this wager.<\/p>\n Looking for Bigger Odds?<\/p>\n If the initial odds don\u2019t grab your fancy, there\u2019s the option to shoot for more juice by moving the line when it comes to your points spread pick. It all comes down to how confident you feel.<\/p>\n Maximize your first bet with the latest betting promotions. Our guide covers all the top welcome bonuses<\/a> out there.<\/p>\n \n Our Game Prediction\n <\/p>\n Bet Now Thrill Promo Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy<\/a>. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 28, 17:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly<\/a>.<\/p>\n Published 17:02, 28 March 2026<\/p>\n Player Prop Picks<\/p>\n Bam Adebayo (Heat) has totaled an average of 14.75 rebounds in the past 4 games on the road. We\u2019re expecting history to repeat itself and for him to cover the Player Rebounds line at -115. <\/p>\n Latest Bam Adebayo Player Prop Odds<\/p>\n Andrew Nembhard (Pacers) has recorded an average of 12.5 assists in the past 4 games. You can secure betting odds of -101 that he is able to cover the line, with this Player Assists wager making appeal. <\/p>\n Latest Andrew Nembhard Player Prop Odds<\/p>\n Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.<\/p>\n Correct Score Prediction<\/p>\n There\u2019s a big payout on the cards should you correctly predict the correct score. We\u2019re siding with the Heat to claim a 121-115 victory which will hopefully go close.<\/p>\n T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.<\/p>\n \t\t\t\tMiami Heat vs Indiana Pacers Odds<\/p>\n The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.<\/p>\n Books Make Heat Big Favorites<\/p>\n The Miami Heat odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are -417 betting favorites to land victory in this NBA game which means a 81% chance of winning. Indiana Pacers are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +330.<\/p>\n 9.5 is the spread and 245.5 is the total points line. Basketball bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on the Totals. If you fancy Under 245.5, then the odds are -110.<\/p>\n There are a wide range of team props and game lines when it comes to wagering on this exciting league and we recommend visiting the best basketball sportsbooks<\/a> to find the wager that matches your view on the contest.<\/p>\n Betting Lines & Odds<\/p>\n Moneyline<\/p>\n <\/p>\n <\/a><\/p>\n Point Spread<\/p>\n <\/p>\n <\/a><\/p>\n Total Points<\/p>\n <\/p>\n <\/a><\/p>\n Bam Adebayo Favorite to Get the Most Buckets<\/p>\n Bam Adebayo is the favorite to land the most baskets. You can back -105 that he gets Over 22.5 points. Alternatively, Under is trading at -120.<\/p>\n Player Points<\/p>\n Bam Adebayo (Heat)<\/p>\n <\/p>\n <\/a><\/p>\n Pascal Siakam (Pacers)<\/p>\n <\/p>\n <\/a><\/p>\n Tyler Herro (Heat)<\/p>\n <\/p>\n <\/a><\/p>\n Norman Powell (Heat)<\/p>\n <\/p>\n <\/a><\/p>\n Andrew Nembhard (Pacers)<\/p>\n <\/p>\n <\/a><\/p>\n Andrew Wiggins (Heat)<\/p>\n <\/p>\n <\/a><\/p>\n Davion Mitchell (Heat)<\/p>\n <\/p>\n <\/a><\/p>\n Player Assists<\/p>\n Andrew Nembhard (Pacers)<\/p>\n <\/p>\n <\/a><\/p>\n Davion Mitchell (Heat)<\/p>\n <\/p>\n <\/a><\/p>\n Tyler Herro (Heat)<\/p>\n <\/p>\n <\/a><\/p>\n Bam Adebayo (Heat)<\/p>\n <\/p>\n <\/a><\/p>\n Pascal Siakam (Pacers)<\/p>\n <\/p>\n <\/a><\/p>\n Norman Powell (Heat)<\/p>\n <\/p>\n <\/a><\/p>\n Andrew Wiggins (Heat)<\/p>\n <\/p>\n <\/a><\/p>\n Player Rebounds<\/p>\n Bam Adebayo (Heat)<\/p>\n <\/p>\n <\/a><\/p>\n Pascal Siakam (Pacers)<\/p>\n <\/p>\n <\/a><\/p>\n Tyler Herro (Heat)<\/p>\n <\/p>\n <\/a><\/p>\n Andrew Wiggins (Heat)<\/p>\n <\/p>\n <\/a><\/p>\n Norman Powell (Heat)<\/p>\n <\/p>\n <\/a><\/p>\n Andrew Nembhard (Pacers)<\/p>\n <\/p>\n <\/a><\/p>\n Davion Mitchell (Heat)<\/p>\n <\/p>\n <\/a><\/p>\n Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.<\/p>\n Gainbridge Fieldhouse<\/p>\n Pacers Slide Includes Ten Straight Defeats at Home<\/p>\n The Pacers are 0-10 in their last 10 home games, putting up 114.30 points on average and giving up 126.00.<\/p>\n The Heat own a 5-5 mark in their past 10 road games, averaging 122.10 points scored and 119.20 points allowed.<\/p>\n The Pacers beat the Heat 123-99 when they last met at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, both teams have notched five wins.<\/p>\n W-L = Wins-Losses Team Stats<\/p>\n Latest regular season and playoff games stats.<\/p>\n Indiana Pacers Stats<\/p>\n \t\t\t\t 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games<\/p>\n \t\t\t\t 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road<\/p>\n \t\t\t\t 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games<\/p>\n \t\t\t\t 0 wins and 10 defeats in the last 10 home games<\/p>\n \t-9 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games \t\t\t\t\t \t+9 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games Game Totals: An average of 245.90 pts in the previous 10 games Game Totals: An average of 239.70 pts in the previous 10 games Last 10 Games<\/p>\n \t2-Pointers Made: 28.30 (58%) Last 10 Games on the Road<\/p>\n 2-Pointers Made: 27.80 (54%) Last 10 Games<\/p>\n 2-Pointers Made: 27.30 (56%) Last 10 Home Games<\/p>\n 2-Pointers Made: 28.30 (57%) \t\t\t\tStarting Lineups<\/p>\n Both teams\u2019 confirmed lineups will be published ahead of tip-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.<\/p>\n Expert Analysis by Elijah Jackson<\/p>\n Senior NBA Analyst<\/p>\n About the Analyst<\/p>\n Elijah Jackson is a Senior NBA Analyst and Head of the Basketball Editorial Betting Panel with 10+ years of experience, specialising in roster evaluation and efficiency-based analysis to uncover value across NBA markets.<\/p>\n View Profile & Track Record<\/a><\/p>\n NBA Predictions Methodology<\/p>\n Our NBA analysis focuses on efficiency, pace and player performance ratings. We combine\u00a0player availability,\u00a0schedule context, lineup data and market movement with metrics such as\u00a0Offensive Rating (ORTG),\u00a0Defensive Rating (DRTG),\u00a0Net Rating and\u00a0Effective Field Goal Percentage (eFG%)\u00a0to assess overall team strength,\u00a0fatigue analysis and find value in high-paced games.<\/p>\n Full Methodology & Data Sources<\/a><\/p>\n Where to Bet<\/p>\n The betting site referenced has been independently reviewed under our published review methodology<\/a>, which evaluates betting lines, odds and market depth, licensing and security, payment processes, withdrawal reliability, responsible gambling tools and additional platform criteria relevant to user experience and regulatory standards.<\/p>\n \u00a0Read our\u00a0Thrill Analyst Review<\/a><\/p>\n Transparency & Safety<\/p>\n This preview was last updated on Mar 28, 20:40 to reflect the latest team news, injury reports, starting lineups, player rotations, rest and travel factors, key performance metrics and odds movement.<\/p>\n All analysis is produced by professional analysts and reviewed by our Basketball Editorial Betting Panel<\/a> for accuracy and consistency.<\/p>\n Historical performance for our game predictions is tracked and updated regularly for transparency.<\/p>\n \n Important: Betting should be treated as entertainment and involves risk. Past results are not indicative of future performance. Only wager what you can afford to lose.\n <\/p>\n \n 18+ (or legal age). If gambling is causing harm or distress, support is available. Visit our Gamble Responsibly<\/a> hub for safer gambling tools, self-exclusion options and local helplines.
\n Pacers +9 @ -110
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\n <\/a><\/p>\n![\"Gainbridge](\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/68b1973195a4c.webp.jpeg\")
<\/p>\n Indiana Pacers Home Stats
\n 0-10
\n 240.30
\n 114.30
\n 126.00
\n 5
\n 5<\/p>\n Miami Heat Away Stats
\n 5-5
\n 241.30
\n 122.10
\n 119.20
\n 4
\n 6<\/p>\n
\n P = Avg. Points
\n PF = Avg. Points For
\n PA = Avg. Points Against
\n O243.5 = Games Over 243.5 Points
\n U243.5 = Games Under 243.5 Points<\/p>\n![\"Miami](\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/1763370743_43_basketball-001.png\")
\n Miami Heat Stats<\/p>\n<\/p>\n
\n \t-9 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road<\/p>\n
\n \t+9 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games<\/p>\n
\n \tGame Totals on the Road: An average of 241.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
\n\t\t\t\t\t \tOver 243.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
\n \tOver 243.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
\n \tTeam Totals: Have scored an average of 121.30 pts and allowed 124.60 pts in the last 10 games
\n \tTeam Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 122.10 pts and allowed 119.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road<\/p>\n
\n \tGame Totals at Home: An average of 240.30 pts in the previous 10 home games
\n \tOver 243.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
\n \tOver 243.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
\n \tTeam Totals: Have scored an average of 115.10 pts and allowed 124.60 pts in the last 10 games
\n \tTeam Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 114.30 pts and allowed 126.00 pts in the last 10 home games<\/p>\n
\n \t3-Pointers Made: 13.50 (33%)
\n \tFree Throws Made: 24.20 (83.16%)
\n \tRebounds: Total 43, Offensive 10.80, Defensive 32.20
\n \tAssists: 28.60
\n \tBlocks: 3.80
\n \tSteals: 8.30
\n \tTurnovers : 12.00
\n \tPersonal Fouls: 20.50 \t<\/p>\n
\n \t3-Pointers Made: 15.50 (37%)
\n \tFree Throws Made: 20.00 (80%)
\n \tRebounds: Total 48.3, Offensive 12.40, Defensive 35.90
\n \tAssists: 29.10
\n \tBlocks: 4.00
\n \tSteals: 8.30
\n \tTurnovers : 11.70
\n \tPersonal Fouls: 18.10<\/p>\n
\n \t3-Pointers Made: 14.90 (40%)
\n \tFree Throws Made: 15.80 (83.16%)
\n \tRebounds: Total 38.5, Offensive 8.00, Defensive 30.50
\n \tAssists: 31.00
\n \tBlocks: 4.10
\n \tSteals: 6.40
\n \tTurnovers : 14.10
\n \tPersonal Fouls: 20.10<\/p>\n
\n \t3-Pointers Made: 13.90 (37%)
\n \tFree Throws Made: 16.00 (78.82%)
\n \tRebounds: Total 38.6, Offensive 9.10, Defensive 29.50
\n \tAssists: 30.00
\n \tBlocks: 4.10
\n \tSteals: 6.90
\n \tTurnovers : 15.10
\n \tPersonal Fouls: 20.10 <\/p>\n
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Editorial Policy<\/a> | Disclaimer<\/a>\n <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"NBA Betting Preview: Heat vs Pacers The Miami Heat take the court against the Indiana Pacers in this…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":459717,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[3778],"tags":[7,144,295,189,3881,6],"class_list":{"0":"post-685443","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-miami-heat","8":"tag-basketball","9":"tag-heat","10":"tag-miami","11":"tag-miami-heat","12":"tag-miamiheat","13":"tag-nba"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nba\/116310717906175149","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/685443","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=685443"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/685443\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/459717"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=685443"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=685443"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=685443"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}