March 29, 2026, 7:02 a.m. ET<\/p>\n
The Miami Heat<\/a> (39-35) visit the Indiana Pacers<\/a> (16-58) Sunday for a 5 p.m. ET tip from Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, Indiana. Let’s analyze NBA odds around the Heat vs. Pacers odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions<\/a> for the best bets.<\/p>\n Season series: Tied 1-1<\/p>\n Miami has dropped 5 of its last 6 games after losing 149-128 at the Cleveland Cavaliers Friday, failing to cover as a 5.5-point road underdog with the Over (241.5) easily hitting. F Jaime Jaquez Jr. scored a team-high 20 points, while C Bam Adebayo had a double-double (14 points, 16 rebounds). The Heat are ninth in the Eastern Conferennce, but are guaranteed a spot in the NBA Play-In Tournament. They are 2 1\/2 games behind the 6-seed Atlanta Hawks.<\/p>\n Indiana has dropped back-to-back games after falling 114-113 against the Los Angeles Clippers Friday, covering as a 9.5-point home underdog with the Under (235.5) hitting. G Aaron Nesmith scored a team-high 26 points on 4-of-5 from 3, while G Andrew Nembhard had a double-double (13 points, 10 assists).<\/p>\n The Pacers beat the Heat 123-99, covering as 6.5-point home underdogs with the Under (236.5) hitting in their last meeting Jan. 10. Miami won the first meeting 142-116 Dec. 27.<\/p>\n Watch the NBA on Fubo!<\/a>Heat at Pacers odds<\/p>\n Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub<\/a> for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:51 a.m. ET.<\/p>\n Moneyline (ML): Heat -400 (bet $400 to win $100) | Pacers +310 (bet $100 to win $310)Against the spread (ATS): Heat -9.5 (-105) | Pacers +9.5 (-115)Over\/Under (O\/U): 245.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)Heat at Pacers key injuries<\/p>\n Heat<\/p>\n G Norman Powell (back) questionable<\/p>\n Pacers<\/p>\n G\u00a0Johnny Furphy\u00a0(knee) outG\u00a0Tyrese Haliburton\u00a0(achilles) outG T.J. McConnell (hamstring) questionableG\u00a0Aaron Nesmith\u00a0(back) questionableF Pascal Siakam (knee) questionableF\u00a0Obi Toppin\u00a0(back) questionableC\u00a0Ivica Zubac\u00a0(rib) out<\/p>\n For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report<\/a>.<\/p>\n Heat at Pacers picks and predictionsPrediction<\/p>\n Heat 128, Pacers 122<\/p>\n PASS.<\/p>\n There is minimal value on the Heat (-400) to handle an injury-ridden Pacers (+310) squad.<\/p>\n BET PACERS +9.5 (-115).<\/p>\n The Pacers, despite their overall struggles, have played well against the spread of late. They have covered in each of their last 5 games and are 6-2 ATS over their last 8, including 4-0 ATS over their last 4 at home. While not by much, they have played their best basketball in front of their home fans.<\/p>\n The Heat have dropped 6 of their last 7 and are 2-5 ATS in that span.<\/p>\n LEAN OVER 245.5 (-110).<\/p>\n The Pacers have hit the Over in 7 of their last 10, scoring at least 119 in 4 of their last 5. They have allowed at least 126 in 6 of their last 7.<\/p>\n The Heat have also hit the Over in 7 of their last 10. They have scored 120 or more in 4 of their last 5, including back-to-back games and each of their last 3 on the road, while allowing at least 121 in 6 of their last 7.<\/p>\n For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com<\/a> and BetFTW<\/a>.<\/p>\n Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter\/X<\/a> and like us on Facebook<\/a>.<\/p>\n Access more NBA coverage:<\/p>\n HoopsHype<\/a> | Celtics Wire<\/a> | Nets Wire<\/a>\u00a0|\u00a0Rockets Wire<\/a>\u00a0|\u00a0Sixers Wire<\/a>\u00a0|\u00a0Thunder Wire<\/a>\u00a0|\u00a0Warriors Wire<\/a>\u00a0| LeBron Wire<\/a> |\u00a0Rookie Wire<\/a>\u00a0|\u00a0List Wire<\/a><\/p>\n Our team of savvy editors independently handpicks all recommendations. If you purchase through our links, the USA TODAY Network may earn a commission. Prices were accurate at the time of publication but may change.<\/p>\n Gambling involves risk. 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