{"id":686506,"date":"2026-03-29T18:59:15","date_gmt":"2026-03-29T18:59:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/686506\/"},"modified":"2026-03-29T18:59:15","modified_gmt":"2026-03-29T18:59:15","slug":"heat-vs-pacers-prediction-odds-and-best-nba-prop-bets-for-sunday-march-29","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/686506\/","title":{"rendered":"Heat vs. Pacers Prediction, Odds and Best NBA Prop Bets for Sunday, March 29"},"content":{"rendered":"<p id=\"inline-text-0\" class=\"mt-[18px] md:mt-0 mb-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"7a\">The Miami Heat are just 4-6 in their last 10 games and have fallen to the No. 9 seed in the Eastern Conference heading into Sunday\u2019s matchup against the Indiana Pacers.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-1\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"7d\">Miami is heavily favored on the road in this game, as Indy has listed Pascal Siakam, Andrew Nembhard, TJ McConnell, Aaron Nesmith, Obi Toppin and others on the injury report.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-2\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"7g\">The Heat need every win they can get to move up into a top-eight seed in the conference, but they\u2019re down star guard Norman Powell (illness) on Sunday.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-3\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"7j\">These teams have split their meetings so far this season, but the Pacers are in a full tank mode as they look to secure the top pick in the 2026 NBA Draft. With the Brooklyn Nets losing 10 games in a row, Indiana doesn&#8217;t have a major cushion for the worst record in the NBA.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-4\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"7m\">Let\u2019s dive into the odds, a player prop to consider and my prediction for Sunday\u2019s Eastern Conference battle.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Heat vs. Pacers Odds, Spread and Total<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-6\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"7s\"><a href=\"http:\/\/bit.ly\/4kJjtBu\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook<\/a><\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-7\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"7v\">Spread<\/p>\n<p>Heat -9.5 (-112)Pacers +9.5 (-108)<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-9\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"81\">Moneyline<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-11\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"87\">Total<\/p>\n<p>246.5 (Over -110\/Under -110)Heat vs. Pacers How to WatchDate: Sunday, March 29Time: 5:00 p.m. ESTVenue: Gainbridge FieldhouseHow to Watch (TV): FanDuel Sports Network (Local)Heat record: 39-35Pacers record: 16-58Heat vs. Pacers Injury ReportsHeat Injury ReportVladislav Goldin \u2013 outNorman Powell \u2013 outJaime Jaquez Jr. \u2013 availableNikola Jovic \u2013 availableTrevor Keels \u2013 outTerry Rozier \u2013 outJahmir Young \u2013 outAndrew Wiggins \u2013 availablePacers Injury ReportJohnny Furphy \u2013 outTyrese Haliburton \u2013 outTJ McConnell \u2013 questionableAndrew Nembhard \u2013 questionableAaron Nesmith \u2013 doubtfulPascal Siakam \u2013 questionableJalen Slawson \u2013 questionableObi Toppin \u2013 questionableIvica Zubac \u2013 outJarace Walker \u2013 questionableHeat vs. Pacers Best NBA Prop BetsHeat Best NBA Prop BetTyler Herro OVER 3.5 Assists (-157)<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-23\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"97\">In today\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.si.com\/betting\/best-nba-prop-bets-today-predictions-for-nikola-jokic-tyler-herro-paolo-banchero\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">best NBA props column for SI Betting<\/a>, I shared why Herro is a worthwhile prop target against Indy:\u00a0<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-24\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"9a\">Miami Heat guard Tyler Herro is averaging 3.9 assists per game this season heading into Sunday\u2019s matchup with the tanking Indiana Pacers.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-25\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"9d\">While Herro\u2019s assists numbers are down from last season, he should have an expanded role on Sunday with Norman Powell (illness) out of the lineup. Herro is averaging 4.5 assists per game in the month of March, clearing this prop in eight of the 11 games that he\u2019s played in.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-26\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"9g\">Indiana was a top-10 team in opponent assists per game for a lot of the season, but it has fallen to 13th overall, ranking 23rd in opponent assists per game over its last 15.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-27\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"9j\">Herro had four dimes in a Jan. 10 loss to the Pacers where Miami scored just 99 points.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Heat vs. Pacers Prediction and Pick<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-29\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"9p\">I don\u2019t love either side in this matchup \u2013 especially with all the players up in the air for Indiana \u2013 so I\u2019m going to take the OVER in this game.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-30\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"9s\">Miami scored 146 points in the first meeting between these teams this season, and Indy has at least 116 points in both games against the Heat.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-31\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"9v\">Miami\u2019s playstyle has been very conducive to high-scoring games, as it ranks No. 1 in the league in pace, No. 2 in points per game and No. 22 in opponent points per game.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-32\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"9y\">The Heat and Pacers are both in the bottom 10 in the league in defensive rating over their last 10 games with the Pacers (dead last) posting a defensive rating of 125.4. Indy\u2019s offense may not be very effective if it decides to sit most of its rotation pieces, but I still think these teams could rack up a ton of points in a fast-paced game.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-33\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"a1\">Pick: OVER 246.5 <a href=\"http:\/\/bit.ly\/4kJjtBu\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\" target=\"_blank\">(-110 at DraftKings)<\/a><\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-35\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"a6\">Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-36\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"a9\">If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-37\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"ac\">Find Peter Dewey&#8217;s\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/docs.google.com\/spreadsheets\/d\/1BIvWO-S-TFepu-8DBiXfx10kJJ4Zi7ctpMBVYK9oCZQ\/edit?usp=sharing\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">NBA betting record here<\/a>\u00a0(futures included). You can also follow my daily plays on \u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/betstamp.app\/u\/peter2dewey\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetStamp here<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-38\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"af\">Claim the latest\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.si.com\/betting\/sportsbook-promos\/draftkings-promo-code\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">DraftKings promo code<\/a>\u00a0offer today. Sign up and win your first $5 bet to get\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/bit.ly\/4kJjtBu\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">$200 in bonus bets instantly.<\/a><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"22\" height=\"22\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/assets.minutemediacdn.com\/platform\/google_discover_icon.svg\" class=\"shrink-0\"\/>Add us as a preferred source on Google<a aria-label=\"Follow si.com on Google News\" href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/preferences\/source?q=si.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" class=\"flex h-[30px] w-[30px] shrink-0 items-center justify-center rounded-full bg-primary font-group-large text-sm font-medium text-white transition-colors hover:bg-secondary focus:bg-secondary md:w-auto md:gap-2.5 md:px-4 md:py-[5px]\">Follow<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Miami Heat are just 4-6 in their last 10 games and have fallen to the No. 9&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":686507,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3774],"tags":[7,113,126,3866,6,114],"class_list":{"0":"post-686506","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-indiana-pacers","8":"tag-basketball","9":"tag-indiana","10":"tag-indiana-pacers","11":"tag-indianapacers","12":"tag-nba","13":"tag-pacers"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nba\/116314005955414362","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/686506","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=686506"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/686506\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/686507"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=686506"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=686506"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=686506"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}