{"id":692051,"date":"2026-04-01T15:03:16","date_gmt":"2026-04-01T15:03:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/692051\/"},"modified":"2026-04-01T15:03:16","modified_gmt":"2026-04-01T15:03:16","slug":"nuggets-vs-jazz-prediction-odds-best-bets-team-props-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/692051\/","title":{"rendered":"Nuggets vs Jazz Prediction, Odds, Best Bets &#038; Team Props"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Nuggets are -16.5 favorites vs. the Jazz<\/p>\n<p>Total (Over\/Under): 249.5 points<\/p>\n<p>Watch the game on ALT2 | KTVD | KJZZ<\/p>\n<p>The Denver Nuggets visit Delta Center to take on the Utah Jazz on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00 pm in Salt Lake City, UT.<\/p>\n<p>The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -16.5 (-115).<\/p>\n<p>The Nuggets vs Jazz Over\/Under is 249.5 total points for the game.<\/p>\n<p>So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 41-35 against the spread, while the Jazz are 39-37 against the spread.<\/p>\n<p><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/promo.nj.betmgm.com\/en\/promo\/geolocator?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" target=\"_blank\">Bet now on Jazz vs Nuggets and all NBA games with BetMGM<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Nuggets vs. Jazz Odds, Over\/Under &amp; Moneyline <\/p>\n<p>Spread<\/p>\n<p>Total<\/p>\n<p>Money<\/p>\n<p>Nuggets<\/p>\n<p>Jazz<\/p>\n<p>    <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/event\/19214312\" class=\"eventlink\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" aria-label=\"Go to Events Page\" target=\"_blank\"><\/p>\n<p>Jazz vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight\u2019s Game:<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color\">The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Wednesday\u2018s game with 61.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Jazz.<\/p>\n<p>Jazz vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:<\/p>\n<p>Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Wednesday\u2018s game with 51.0% confidence.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Jazz vs Nuggets and all NBA games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:<\/p>\n<p>The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 45 away games (+17.73 Units \/ 36% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Denver Nuggets have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 35 away games (+15.55 Units \/ 38% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 22 of their last 30 away games (+12.80 Units \/ 37% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 13 away games (+8.65 Units \/ 57% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.40 Units \/ 24% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Jazz Best Bets for Tonight:<\/p>\n<p>The Utah Jazz have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 40 games at home (+14.80 Units \/ 34% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Utah Jazz have hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 40 games at home (+14.55 Units \/ 34% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Utah Jazz have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 50 games (+14.35 Units \/ 25% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Utah Jazz have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.30 Units \/ 18% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Utah Jazz have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 50 games (+9.80 Units \/ 19% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 41-35 (+2.5 Units \/ 2.99% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>48-28 against the Moneyline (+1.1 Units \/ 0.48% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>47-29 against the Over for game total points (+15.13 Units \/ 18.1% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>29-47 against the Under for game total points (-22.7 Units \/ -27.13% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Utah Jazz Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this NBA season, the Jazz have gone 39-37 (-1.7 Units \/ -2.03% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>21-55 against the Moneyline (-6.85 Units \/ -8.53% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>45-31 against the Over for game total points (+10.9 Units \/ 13.04% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>31-45 against the Under for game total points (-18.5 Units \/ -22.13% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Jazz:<\/p>\n<p>The Utah Jazz have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 50 games (-21.70 Units \/ -38% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Utah Jazz have only hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 40 games at home (-18.80 Units \/ -43% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Utah Jazz have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 50 games (-17.55 Units \/ -30% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Utah Jazz have only hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 45 games (-16.75 Units \/ -35% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Utah Jazz have only hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 40 games at home (-15.90 Units \/ -35% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:<\/p>\n<p>The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 45 away games (-22.20 Units \/ -45% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 35 away games (-20.75 Units \/ -52% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 30 away games (-17.25 Units \/ -50% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 50 games (-15.40 Units \/ -21% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 30 games (-13.00 Units \/ -38% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Jump to:<\/p>\n<p>Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Utah Jazz<\/p>\n<p>The Nuggets are 36-7 (.837) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 best among NBA teams; League Avg: .619<\/p>\n<p>The Nuggets are winless (0-9) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .097<\/p>\n<p>The Nuggets are 67-25 (.728) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 3rd-best in the NBA. The Jazz have averaged 16.2 turnovers per game  since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 T-highest in the NBA.<\/p>\n<p>The Nuggets are 13-2 (.867) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse this season \u2014 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .778<\/p>\n<p>Utah Jazz: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets<\/p>\n<p>The Jazz are 1-9 (.100) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season \u2014 lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .598<\/p>\n<p>The Jazz are 5-17 (.227) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2024-25 season \u2014 lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .568<\/p>\n<p>The Jazz are 19-58 (.247) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2024-25 season \u2014 tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444<\/p>\n<p>The Jazz are 31-69 (.310) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .556<\/p>\n<p>Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Nuggets are shooting 41% from three (521\/1,288) in the second half this season \u2014 best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%<\/p>\n<p>The Nuggets have averaged 1.39 points per shot (9,216 points\/6,620 shots)  this season \u2014 tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30<\/p>\n<p>The Nuggets are shooting 40% from three (1,068\/2,702)  this season \u2014 best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%<\/p>\n<p>The Nuggets have an eFG% of 57%  this season \u2014 best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%<\/p>\n<p>Utah Jazz Offensive Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Jazz have averaged 16.2 turnovers per game (3,880 turnovers\/240 games)  since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 tied for highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1<\/p>\n<p>The Jazz have averaged 16.5 turnovers per game (1,960 turnovers\/119 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.2<\/p>\n<p>The Jazz have averaged 16.7 turnovers per game (1,301 turnovers\/78 games) on the road since the start of the 2024-25 season \u2014 highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.5<\/p>\n<p>The Jazz have averaged 29.5 assists per game (2,240 assists\/76 games)  this season \u2014 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.7<\/p>\n<p>Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Nuggets have averaged 6.8 steals per game (516 steals\/76 games)  this season \u2014 lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4<\/p>\n<p>The Nuggets have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (294 blocks\/76 games)  this season \u2014 tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9<\/p>\n<p>The Nuggets have averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (8,775 rebounds\/240 games)  since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1<\/p>\n<p>The Nuggets have forced 11.9 turnovers per game (465 turnovers\/39 games) on the road this season \u2014 lowest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.5<\/p>\n<p>Utah Jazz Defensive Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Jazz have allowed 19.8 fast break points per game (2,352 points\/119 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 15.3<\/p>\n<p>The Jazz have allowed 127.0 points per game (4,953 points\/39 games) at home this season \u2014 highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 114.6<\/p>\n<p>The Jazz have allowed an average of 1.43 points per shot (4,733 points\/3,320 shots) in the second half this season \u2014 highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.32<\/p>\n<p>The Jazz have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (289 blocks\/76 games)  this season \u2014 lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9<\/p>\n<p><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/promo.nj.betmgm.com\/en\/promo\/geolocator?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" target=\"_blank\">Bet now on Jazz vs Nuggets and all NBA games with BetMGM<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>At <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM<\/a>, you can <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">bet online<\/a> with updated <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/basketball-7\/betting\/usa-9\/nba-6004?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">NBA betting odds<\/a>. And with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/live\/betting?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">live sports betting<\/a>, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the <a href=\"https:\/\/apps.apple.com\/us\/app\/betmgm-sportsbook\/id1430875409\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM Sportsbook app<\/a>) experiences are at BetMGM.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Nuggets are -16.5 favorites vs. the Jazz Total (Over\/Under): 249.5 points Watch the game on ALT2 |&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":634520,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3785],"tags":[7,423,6,422,427,3972],"class_list":{"0":"post-692051","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-utah-jazz","8":"tag-basketball","9":"tag-jazz","10":"tag-nba","11":"tag-utah","12":"tag-utah-jazz","13":"tag-utahjazz"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nba\/116330063743750418","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/692051","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=692051"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/692051\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/634520"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=692051"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=692051"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=692051"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}