{"id":695922,"date":"2026-04-03T14:19:14","date_gmt":"2026-04-03T14:19:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/695922\/"},"modified":"2026-04-03T14:19:14","modified_gmt":"2026-04-03T14:19:14","slug":"magic-vs-mavericks-prediction-odds-best-bets-team-props","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/695922\/","title":{"rendered":"Magic vs Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets &#038; Team Props"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Magic are -6.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks<\/p>\n<p>Total (Over\/Under): 239.5 points<\/p>\n<p>Watch the game on FDFL | KFAA | WESH | WFAA<\/p>\n<p>The Orlando Magic visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30 pm in Dallas, TX.<\/p>\n<p>The Magic are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).<\/p>\n<p>The Magic vs Mavericks Over\/Under is 239.5 total points for the game.<\/p>\n<p>So far this NBA season, the Magic are 33-42 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 33-43 against the spread.<\/p>\n<p><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/promo.nj.betmgm.com\/en\/promo\/geolocator?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" target=\"_blank\">Bet now on Mavericks vs Magic and all NBA games with BetMGM<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Magic vs. Mavericks Odds, Over\/Under &amp; Moneyline <\/p>\n<p>SpreadOver \/ UnderMoneylineOrlando Magic-6.5 -110O 239.5 -115-275Dallas Mavericks +6.5 -110U 239.5 -105+220<\/p>\n<p>Mavericks vs Magic Prediction for Tonight\u2019s Game:<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color\">The winning team model predicts the Magic will win Friday\u2018s game with 54.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Magic and Mavericks.<\/p>\n<p>Mavericks vs Magic Spread Prediction:<\/p>\n<p>Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Magic will cover the spread for Friday\u2018s game with 56.8% confidence.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Mavericks vs Magic and all NBA games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>Magic Best Bets for Tonight:<\/p>\n<p>The Orlando Magic have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games (+12.65 Units \/ 22% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Orlando Magic have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+11.25 Units \/ 20% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Orlando Magic have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.70 Units \/ 50% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Orlando Magic have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 30 away games (+7.60 Units \/ 22% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Orlando Magic have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 away games (+7.50 Units \/ 61% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:<\/p>\n<p>The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 50 games (+17.60 Units \/ 30% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 16 games at home (+11.75 Units \/ 64% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+11.00 Units \/ 24% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+6.50 Units \/ 33% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.20 Units \/ 29% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Orlando Magic Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this NBA season, the Magic have gone 33-42 (-13.25 Units \/ -15.84% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>40-36 against the Moneyline (-11.65 Units \/ -6.9% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>42-34 against the Over for game total points (+4.6 Units \/ 5.5% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>34-42 against the Under for game total points (-12.2 Units \/ -14.59% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 33-43 (-14.35 Units \/ -17.15% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>24-52 against the Moneyline (-14.85 Units \/ -15.57% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>33-43 against the Over for game total points (-14.3 Units \/ -17.11% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>43-33 against the Under for game total points (+6.7 Units \/ 8.01% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:<\/p>\n<p>The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 50 games (-24.40 Units \/ -43% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 16 of their last 45 games (-17.30 Units \/ -33% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 40 games at home (-17.20 Units \/ -37% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 45 games (-17.10 Units \/ -34% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 11 of their last 35 games (-16.80 Units \/ -42% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Magic:<\/p>\n<p>The Orlando Magic have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 19 of their last 50 games (-20.55 Units \/ -28% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Orlando Magic have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 50 games (-20.40 Units \/ -35% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Orlando Magic have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 50 games (-18.70 Units \/ -33% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Orlando Magic have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 50 games (-17.35 Units \/ -25% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Orlando Magic have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 45 games (-15.15 Units \/ -24% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Jump to:<\/p>\n<p>Orlando Magic: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks<\/p>\n<p>The Magic are 31-10 (.756) when making 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643<\/p>\n<p>The Magic are 19-3 (.864) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season \u2014 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .783<\/p>\n<p>The Magic are 26-14 (.650) when they win the turnover margin this season \u2014 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .592<\/p>\n<p>The Magic are 20-8 (.714) when forcing 10 or more steals this season \u2014 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .602<\/p>\n<p>Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Orlando Magic<\/p>\n<p>The Mavericks are 8-33 (.195) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season \u2014 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .429<\/p>\n<p>The Mavericks are 5-28 (.152) when their eFG is 50% or worse this season \u2014 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .221<\/p>\n<p>The Mavericks are 6-23 (.207) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season \u2014 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .441<\/p>\n<p>The Mavericks are 5-17 (.227) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season \u2014 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .363<\/p>\n<p>Orlando Magic Offensive Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Magic are shooting 34% from three (2,716\/8,066)  since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%<\/p>\n<p>The Magic have a 30% free throw rate (3,105 free throw attempts\/10,423 field goal attempts) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25%<\/p>\n<p>The Magic have 27.1 free throw attempts per game  this season \u2014 best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.6<\/p>\n<p>The Magic are shooting 34% from three (1,399\/4,092) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%<\/p>\n<p>Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Mavericks have a TS% of 49%  this season \u2014 tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%<\/p>\n<p>The Mavericks have made 10.7 three-pointers per game  this season \u2014 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3<\/p>\n<p>The Mavericks are shooting 75% from the free throw line (1,457\/1,950)  this season \u2014 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%<\/p>\n<p>The Mavericks are shooting 33% from three (408\/1,223) in the first half this season \u2014 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%<\/p>\n<p>Orlando Magic Defensive Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Magic have averaged 5.3 blocks per game (1,265 blocks\/240 games)  since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0<\/p>\n<p>The Magic have allowed 5.9 second chance points per game (927 points\/158 games) in the second half since the start of the 2024-25 season \u2014 best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.3<\/p>\n<p>The Magic have 2,040 steals  since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 8th most among NBA teams<\/p>\n<p>The Magic have averaged 8.5 steals per game (2,040 steals\/240 games)  since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0<\/p>\n<p>Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Mavericks have blocked 389 shots  this season \u2014 tied for 10th most among NBA teams<\/p>\n<p>The Mavericks have averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,806 rebounds\/76 games)  this season \u2014 tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8<\/p>\n<p>The Mavericks have averaged 7.5 steals per game (569 steals\/76 games)  this season \u2014 tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4<\/p>\n<p>The Mavericks have averaged 36.1 defensive rebounds per game (5,701 rebounds\/158 games)  since the start of the 2024-25 season \u2014 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1<\/p>\n<p><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/promo.nj.betmgm.com\/en\/promo\/geolocator?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" target=\"_blank\">Bet now on Mavericks vs Magic and all NBA games with BetMGM<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>At <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM<\/a>, you can <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">bet online<\/a> with updated <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/basketball-7\/betting\/usa-9\/nba-6004?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">NBA betting odds<\/a>. And with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/live\/betting?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">live sports betting<\/a>, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the <a href=\"https:\/\/apps.apple.com\/us\/app\/betmgm-sportsbook\/id1430875409\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM Sportsbook app<\/a>) experiences are at BetMGM.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Magic are -6.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks Total (Over\/Under): 239.5 points Watch the game on FDFL |&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":695923,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[3779],"tags":[7,48,6,47,76,3883],"class_list":{"0":"post-695922","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-orlando-magic","8":"tag-basketball","9":"tag-magic","10":"tag-nba","11":"tag-orlando","12":"tag-orlando-magic","13":"tag-orlandomagic"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nba\/116341215377760469","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/695922","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=695922"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/695922\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/695923"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=695922"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=695922"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=695922"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}