{"id":695929,"date":"2026-04-03T14:23:17","date_gmt":"2026-04-03T14:23:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/695929\/"},"modified":"2026-04-03T14:23:17","modified_gmt":"2026-04-03T14:23:17","slug":"celtics-vs-bucks-prediction-odds-best-bets-team-props","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/695929\/","title":{"rendered":"Celtics vs Bucks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets &#038; Team Props"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Celtics are -17.5 favorites vs. the Bucks<\/p>\n<p>Total (Over\/Under): 217.5 points<\/p>\n<p>Watch the game on NBSB | FDWI<\/p>\n<p>The Boston Celtics visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00 pm in Milwaukee, WI.<\/p>\n<p>The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -17.5 (-105).<\/p>\n<p>The Celtics vs Bucks Over\/Under is 217.5 total points for the game.<\/p>\n<p>So far this NBA season, the Celtics are 44-32 against the spread, while the Bucks are 34-42 against the spread.<\/p>\n<p><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/promo.nj.betmgm.com\/en\/promo\/geolocator?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" target=\"_blank\">Bet now on Bucks vs Celtics and all NBA games with BetMGM<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Celtics vs. Bucks Odds, Over\/Under &amp; Moneyline <\/p>\n<p>SpreadOver \/ UnderMoneylineBoston Celtics-17.5 -105O 217.5 -115-2000Milwaukee Bucks +17.5 -115U 217.5 -105+1000<\/p>\n<p>Bucks vs Celtics Prediction for Tonight\u2019s Game:<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color\">The winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Friday\u2018s game with 67.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Celtics and Bucks.<\/p>\n<p>Bucks vs Celtics Spread Prediction:<\/p>\n<p>Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Celtics will cover the spread for Friday\u2018s game with 51.0% confidence.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Bucks vs Celtics and all NBA games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>Celtics Best Bets for Tonight:<\/p>\n<p>The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in 31 of their last 45 away games (+19.55 Units \/ 26% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Boston Celtics have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 50 games (+18.50 Units \/ 34% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 23 of their last 30 away games (+14.95 Units \/ 43% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 45 away games (+13.00 Units \/ 25% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Boston Celtics have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 21 away games (+12.95 Units \/ 45% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Bucks Best Bets for Tonight:<\/p>\n<p>The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.10 Units \/ 16% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games at home (+8.90 Units \/ 32% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+8.45 Units \/ 24% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+7.75 Units \/ 27% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.75 Units \/ 53% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Boston Celtics Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 44-32 (+8.8 Units \/ 10.53% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>51-25 against the Moneyline (+2.3 Units \/ 0.96% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>27-49 against the Over for game total points (-26.9 Units \/ -32.18% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>49-27 against the Under for game total points (+19.3 Units \/ 23.09% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Milwaukee Bucks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 34-42 (-12.2 Units \/ -14.6% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>30-46 against the Moneyline (-13.35 Units \/ -11.9% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>34-42 against the Over for game total points (-12.2 Units \/ -14.59% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>42-34 against the Under for game total points (+4.6 Units \/ 5.5% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Bucks:<\/p>\n<p>The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 40 games (-19.25 Units \/ -42% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 10 of their last 35 games at home (-18.85 Units \/ -47% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 40 games at home (-17.40 Units \/ -29% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games (-17.00 Units \/ -29% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 40 games at home (-15.80 Units \/ -34% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Celtics:<\/p>\n<p>The Boston Celtics have only hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 50 games (-23.50 Units \/ -43% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 45 away games (-19.65 Units \/ -38% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 50 games (-19.10 Units \/ -33% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 40 games (-18.64 Units \/ -40% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games (-15.75 Units \/ -27% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Jump to:<\/p>\n<p>Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks<\/p>\n<p>The Celtics are undefeated (24-0) when shooting 40% or better from three this season \u2014 best among NBA teams; League Avg: .699<\/p>\n<p>The Celtics are 152-26 (.854) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 best among NBA teams; League Avg: .655<\/p>\n<p>The Celtics are 63-28 (.692) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 best among NBA teams; League Avg: .451<\/p>\n<p>The Celtics are 56-11 (.836) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .619<\/p>\n<p>Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics<\/p>\n<p>The Bucks are winless (0-13) when their eFG is 50% or worse this season \u2014 tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .221<\/p>\n<p>The Bucks are 12-23 (.343) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season \u2014 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460<\/p>\n<p>The Bucks are 6-22 (.214) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season \u2014 tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .397<\/p>\n<p>The Bucks are undefeated (22-0) when allowing fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .916<\/p>\n<p>Boston Celtics Offensive Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Celtics have made 16.4 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0<\/p>\n<p>The Celtics have averaged 12.2 turnovers per game (931 turnovers\/76 games)  this season \u2014 best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.5<\/p>\n<p>The Celtics have made 16.5 three-pointers per game  since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.2<\/p>\n<p>The Celtics have a 21% free throw rate (1,434 free throw attempts\/6,867 field goal attempts)  this season \u2014 lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26%<\/p>\n<p>Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Bucks are shooting 51% (400\/778) in close and late situations this season \u2014 best among NBA teams; League Avg: 45%<\/p>\n<p>The Bucks have averaged 11.3 second chance points per game (856 points\/76 games)  this season \u2014 lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.0<\/p>\n<p>The Bucks have a TS% of 55% in close and late situations this season \u2014 best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%<\/p>\n<p>The Bucks have averaged 5.7 second chance points per game (436 points\/76 games) in the second half this season \u2014 lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5<\/p>\n<p>Boston Celtics Defensive Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Celtics have allowed 39.9 points in the paint per game (3,036 points\/76 games)  this season \u2014 best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 49.7<\/p>\n<p>The Celtics have allowed 19.9 points in the paint per game (1,512 points\/76 games) in the first half this season \u2014 best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 25.2<\/p>\n<p>The Celtics have averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (8,886 rebounds\/240 games)  since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1<\/p>\n<p>The Celtics have allowed an average of 1.18 points per shot (12,983 points\/11,007 shots) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.26<\/p>\n<p>Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Bucks have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (296 blocks\/76 games)  this season \u2014 tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8<\/p>\n<p>The Bucks have averaged 7.5 steals per game (567 steals\/76 games)  this season \u2014 tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4<\/p>\n<p>The Bucks have averaged 7.2 steals per game (1,726 steals\/240 games)  since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0<\/p>\n<p>The Bucks have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (1,092 blocks\/240 games)  since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0<\/p>\n<p><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/promo.nj.betmgm.com\/en\/promo\/geolocator?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" target=\"_blank\">Bet now on Bucks vs Celtics and all NBA games with BetMGM<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>At <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM<\/a>, you can <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">bet online<\/a> with updated <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/basketball-7\/betting\/usa-9\/nba-6004?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">NBA betting odds<\/a>. And with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/live\/betting?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">live sports betting<\/a>, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the <a href=\"https:\/\/apps.apple.com\/us\/app\/betmgm-sportsbook\/id1430875409\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM Sportsbook app<\/a>) experiences are at BetMGM.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Celtics are -17.5 favorites vs. the Bucks Total (Over\/Under): 217.5 points Watch the game on NBSB |&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":695930,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[3775],"tags":[7,103,102,121,3871,6],"class_list":{"0":"post-695929","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-milwaukee-bucks","8":"tag-basketball","9":"tag-bucks","10":"tag-milwaukee","11":"tag-milwaukee-bucks","12":"tag-milwaukeebucks","13":"tag-nba"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nba\/116341231143063708","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/695929","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=695929"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/695929\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/695930"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=695929"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=695929"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=695929"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}