{"id":695966,"date":"2026-04-03T14:45:14","date_gmt":"2026-04-03T14:45:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/695966\/"},"modified":"2026-04-03T14:45:14","modified_gmt":"2026-04-03T14:45:14","slug":"pelicans-vs-kings-prediction-odds-best-bets-team-props-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/695966\/","title":{"rendered":"Pelicans vs Kings Prediction, Odds, Best Bets &#038; Team Props"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Pelicans are -5.5 favorites vs. the Kings<\/p>\n<p>Total (Over\/Under): 234.5 points<\/p>\n<p>Watch the game on GCSE | NSCA | NBAt<\/p>\n<p>The New Orleans Pelicans visit Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00 pm in Sacramento, CA.<\/p>\n<p>The Pelicans are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-115).<\/p>\n<p>The Pelicans vs Kings Over\/Under is 234.5 total points for the game.<\/p>\n<p>So far this NBA season, the Pelicans are 43-33 against the spread, while the Kings are 32-45 against the spread.<\/p>\n<p><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/promo.nj.betmgm.com\/en\/promo\/geolocator?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" target=\"_blank\">Bet now on Kings vs Pelicans and all NBA games with BetMGM<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Pelicans vs. Kings Odds, Over\/Under &amp; Moneyline <\/p>\n<p>Spread<\/p>\n<p>Total<\/p>\n<p>Money<\/p>\n<p>Pelicans<\/p>\n<p>Kings<\/p>\n<p>    <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/event\/19214328\" class=\"eventlink\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" aria-label=\"Go to Events Page\" target=\"_blank\"><\/p>\n<p>Kings vs Pelicans Prediction for Tonight\u2019s Game:<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color\">The winning team model predicts the Pelicans will win Friday\u2018s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pelicans and Kings.<\/p>\n<p>Kings vs Pelicans Spread Prediction:<\/p>\n<p>Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Friday\u2018s game with 57.3% confidence.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Kings vs Pelicans and all NBA games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>Pelicans Best Bets for Tonight:<\/p>\n<p>The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 games (+11.25 Units \/ 23% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.65 Units \/ 17% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.50 Units \/ 48% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 50 games (+8.35 Units \/ 14% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2H Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+7.70 Units \/ 43% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Kings Best Bets for Tonight:<\/p>\n<p>The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+11.95 Units \/ 45% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Sacramento Kings have hit the 2H Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+9.68 Units \/ 66% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Sacramento Kings have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 13 games (+9.15 Units \/ 59% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 45 games (+8.90 Units \/ 19% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games (+8.85 Units \/ 26% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>New Orleans Pelicans Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 43-33 (+6.7 Units \/ 7.91% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>25-52 against the Moneyline (-17.15 Units \/ -18.08% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>38-39 against the Over for game total points (-4.9 Units \/ -5.79% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>39-38 against the Under for game total points (-2.8 Units \/ -3.31% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Sacramento Kings Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 32-45 (-17.5 Units \/ -20.66% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>20-57 against the Moneyline (-4.65 Units \/ -5.54% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>39-38 against the Over for game total points (-2.8 Units \/ -3.31% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>38-39 against the Under for game total points (-4.9 Units \/ -5.79% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Kings:<\/p>\n<p>The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 40 games at home (-21.05 Units \/ -45% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 2Q Spread in 14 of their last 40 games at home (-14.90 Units \/ -32% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games (-14.65 Units \/ -25% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 40 games at home (-12.10 Units \/ -26% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 21 of their last 50 games (-12.00 Units \/ -21% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pelicans:<\/p>\n<p>The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the 4Q Spread in 18 of their last 50 games (-19.65 Units \/ -34% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.80 Units \/ -29% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 40 away games (-15.20 Units \/ -34% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 45 games (-11.55 Units \/ -23% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the 1H Spread in 22 of their last 50 games (-10.35 Units \/ -18% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Jump to:<\/p>\n<p>New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings<\/p>\n<p>The Pelicans are 1-12 (.077) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season \u2014 lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .397<\/p>\n<p>The Pelicans are 1-19 (.050) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season \u2014 lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .301<\/p>\n<p>The Pelicans are 3-30 (.091) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season \u2014 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .363<\/p>\n<p>The Pelicans are 4-24 (.143) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season \u2014 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .217<\/p>\n<p>Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans<\/p>\n<p>The Kings are 1-8 (.111) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season \u2014 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .603<\/p>\n<p>The Kings are 7-27 (.206) when they lose the turnover margin this season \u2014 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .408<\/p>\n<p>The Kings are 9-26 (.257) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season \u2014 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .441<\/p>\n<p>The Kings are 5-24 (.172) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season \u2014 tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .301<\/p>\n<p>New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Pelicans have averaged 60.4 points in the paint per game (2,356 points\/39 games) at home this season \u2014 best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7<\/p>\n<p>The Pelicans have averaged 29.6 points in the paint per game (2,280 points\/77 games) in the first half this season \u2014 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.2<\/p>\n<p>The Pelicans have averaged 57.3 points in the paint per game (4,412 points\/77 games)  this season \u2014 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7<\/p>\n<p>The Pelicans have made 11.2 three-pointers per game  this season \u2014 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3<\/p>\n<p>Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Kings have made 10.2 three-pointers per game  this season \u2014 lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3<\/p>\n<p>The Kings are shooting 34% from three (789\/2,315)  this season \u2014 tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%<\/p>\n<p>The Kings have averaged 110.9 points per game (8,537 points\/77 games)  this season \u2014 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.5<\/p>\n<p>The Kings have averaged 112.3 points per game (4,267 points\/38 games) at home this season \u2014 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 116.3<\/p>\n<p>New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Pelicans have averaged 8.8 steals per game (677 steals\/77 games)  this season \u2014 tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4<\/p>\n<p>The Pelicans have averaged 9.0 steals per game (1,077 steals\/120 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0<\/p>\n<p>The Pelicans have 677 steals  this season \u2014 8th most among NBA teams<\/p>\n<p>The Pelicans have averaged 34.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,625 rebounds\/77 games)  this season \u2014 tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8<\/p>\n<p>Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Kings have allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three (3,320\/8,703)  since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%<\/p>\n<p>The Kings have averaged 33.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,539 rebounds\/77 games)  this season \u2014 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8<\/p>\n<p>The Kings have allowed opponents to shoot 39% from three (1,672\/4,331) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%<\/p>\n<p>The Kings have allowed an eFG% of 58% on the road this season \u2014 highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%<\/p>\n<p><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/promo.nj.betmgm.com\/en\/promo\/geolocator?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" target=\"_blank\">Bet now on Kings vs Pelicans and all NBA games with BetMGM<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>At <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM<\/a>, you can <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">bet online<\/a> with updated <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/basketball-7\/betting\/usa-9\/nba-6004?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">NBA betting odds<\/a>. And with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/live\/betting?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">live sports betting<\/a>, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the <a href=\"https:\/\/apps.apple.com\/us\/app\/betmgm-sportsbook\/id1430875409\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM Sportsbook app<\/a>) experiences are at BetMGM.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Pelicans are -5.5 favorites vs. the Kings Total (Over\/Under): 234.5 points Watch the game on GCSE |&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":695967,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[3796],"tags":[7,6,478,470,4073,4072,675],"class_list":{"0":"post-695966","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-new-orleans-pelicans","8":"tag-basketball","9":"tag-nba","10":"tag-new-orleans","11":"tag-new-orleans-pelicans","12":"tag-neworleans","13":"tag-neworleanspelicans","14":"tag-pelicans"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nba\/116341317864980901","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/695966","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=695966"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/695966\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/695967"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=695966"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=695966"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=695966"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}