{"id":699692,"date":"2026-04-05T14:41:15","date_gmt":"2026-04-05T14:41:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/699692\/"},"modified":"2026-04-05T14:41:15","modified_gmt":"2026-04-05T14:41:15","slug":"jazz-vs-thunder-prediction-odds-best-bets-team-props","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/699692\/","title":{"rendered":"Jazz vs Thunder Prediction, Odds, Best Bets &#038; Team Props"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Thunder are -23.5 favorites vs. the Jazz<\/p>\n<p>Total (Over\/Under): 238.5 points<\/p>\n<p>Watch the game on FDOK | KJZZ<\/p>\n<p>The Utah Jazz visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00 pm in Oklahoma City, OK.<\/p>\n<p>The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -23.5 (-110).<\/p>\n<p>The Jazz vs Thunder Over\/Under is 238.5 total points for the game.<\/p>\n<p>So far this NBA season, the Jazz are 40-38 against the spread, while the Thunder are 36-41 against the spread.<\/p>\n<p><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/promo.nj.betmgm.com\/en\/promo\/geolocator?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" target=\"_blank\">Bet now on Thunder vs Jazz and all NBA games with BetMGM<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Jazz vs. Thunder Odds, Over\/Under &amp; Moneyline <\/p>\n<p>SpreadOver \/ UnderMoneylineUtah Jazz+23.5 -110O 238.5 -105+1650Oklahoma City Thunder -23.5 -110U 238.5 -115-10000<\/p>\n<p>Thunder vs Jazz Prediction for Tonight\u2019s Game:<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color\">The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Sunday\u2018s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Jazz and Thunder.<\/p>\n<p>Thunder vs Jazz Spread Prediction:<\/p>\n<p>Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Jazz will cover the spread for Sunday\u2018s game with 70.0% confidence.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Thunder vs Jazz and all NBA games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>Jazz Best Bets for Tonight:<\/p>\n<p>The Utah Jazz have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 away games (+17.40 Units \/ 56% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Utah Jazz have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 50 games (+14.40 Units \/ 25% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Utah Jazz have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 40 games (+10.60 Units \/ 25% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Utah Jazz have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.20 Units \/ 18% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Utah Jazz have hit the 2H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+7.95 Units \/ 125% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:<\/p>\n<p>The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 21 games (+17.15 Units \/ 12% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+9.15 Units \/ 37% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+8.03 Units \/ 18% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+7.00 Units \/ 12% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games at home (+6.00 Units \/ 13% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Utah Jazz Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this NBA season, the Jazz have gone 40-38 (-1.8 Units \/ -2.1% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>21-57 against the Moneyline (-8.85 Units \/ -10.75% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>46-32 against the Over for game total points (+10.8 Units \/ 12.59% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>32-46 against the Under for game total points (-18.6 Units \/ -21.68% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 36-41 (-9.1 Units \/ -10.74% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>61-16 against the Moneyline (+0.95 Units \/ 0.19% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>40-37 against the Over for game total points (-0.7 Units \/ -0.83% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>37-40 against the Under for game total points (-7 Units \/ -8.26% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:<\/p>\n<p>The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 games at home (-36.95 Units \/ -35% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 50 games (-32.95 Units \/ -29% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 50 games (-19.30 Units \/ -18% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 30 games at home (-16.50 Units \/ -20% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 50 games (-14.85 Units \/ -26% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Jazz:<\/p>\n<p>The Utah Jazz have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 50 games (-21.70 Units \/ -38% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Utah Jazz have only covered the 1Q Spread in 13 of their last 40 away games (-17.70 Units \/ -39% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Utah Jazz have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 50 games (-17.60 Units \/ -31% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Utah Jazz have only hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 45 games (-16.75 Units \/ -35% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Utah Jazz have only covered the 4Q Spread in 20 of their last 50 games (-14.90 Units \/ -25% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Jump to:<\/p>\n<p>Utah Jazz: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder<\/p>\n<p>The Jazz are 1-9 (.100) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season \u2014 lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .604<\/p>\n<p>The Jazz are 42-88 (.323) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .549<\/p>\n<p>The Jazz are 22-55 (.286) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2024-25 season \u2014 tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .549<\/p>\n<p>The Jazz are 5-17 (.227) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2024-25 season \u2014 lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .572<\/p>\n<p>Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Utah Jazz<\/p>\n<p>The Thunder are 111-14 (.888) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 best among NBA teams; League Avg: .575<\/p>\n<p>The Thunder are 30-3 (.909) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season \u2014 best among NBA teams; League Avg: .571<\/p>\n<p>The Thunder are 97-14 (.874) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 best among NBA teams; League Avg: .598<\/p>\n<p>The Thunder are 16-1 (.941) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2024-25 season \u2014 best among NBA teams; League Avg: .560<\/p>\n<p>Utah Jazz Offensive Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Jazz have averaged 16.1 turnovers per game (3,905 turnovers\/242 games)  since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1<\/p>\n<p>The Jazz have averaged 16.4 turnovers per game (1,973 turnovers\/120 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.2<\/p>\n<p>The Jazz are shooting 33% from three (440\/1,350) on the road this season \u2014 tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%<\/p>\n<p>The Jazz have averaged 30.8 assists per game (1,230 assists\/40 games) at home this season \u2014 best among NBA teams; League Avg: 27.0<\/p>\n<p>Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Thunder have averaged 12.3 turnovers per game (2,967 turnovers\/241 games)  since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1<\/p>\n<p>The Thunder have averaged 12.6 turnovers per game (967 turnovers\/77 games)  this season \u2014 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.5<\/p>\n<p>The Thunder have averaged 14.9 offensive rebounds per game (1,150 rebounds\/77 games)  this season \u2014 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.9<\/p>\n<p>The Thunder have averaged 6.3 turnovers per game (484 turnovers\/77 games) in the second half this season \u2014 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3<\/p>\n<p>Utah Jazz Defensive Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Jazz have allowed an average of 1.43 points per shot (4,866 points\/3,412 shots) in the second half this season \u2014 highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.32<\/p>\n<p>The Jazz have allowed 18.5 fast break points per game (4,484 points\/242 games)  since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 15.0<\/p>\n<p>The Jazz have allowed 15.3 made three-pointers per game  this season \u2014 highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.3<\/p>\n<p>The Jazz have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (657 blocks\/160 games)  since the start of the 2024-25 season \u2014 tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9<\/p>\n<p>Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Thunder have averaged 9.8 steals per game (1,206 steals\/123 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0<\/p>\n<p>The Thunder have averaged 6.4 blocks per game (784 blocks\/123 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1<\/p>\n<p>The Thunder have averaged 10.8 steals per game (883 steals\/82 games) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season \u2014 best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2<\/p>\n<p>The Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 44% (9,389\/21,246)  since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%<\/p>\n<p><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/promo.nj.betmgm.com\/en\/promo\/geolocator?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" target=\"_blank\">Bet now on Thunder vs Jazz and all NBA games with BetMGM<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>At <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM<\/a>, you can <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">bet online<\/a> with updated <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/basketball-7\/betting\/usa-9\/nba-6004?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">NBA betting odds<\/a>. And with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/live\/betting?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">live sports betting<\/a>, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the <a href=\"https:\/\/apps.apple.com\/us\/app\/betmgm-sportsbook\/id1430875409\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM Sportsbook app<\/a>) experiences are at BetMGM.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Thunder are -23.5 favorites vs. the Jazz Total (Over\/Under): 238.5 points Watch the game on FDOK |&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":699693,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[3785],"tags":[7,423,6,422,427,3972],"class_list":{"0":"post-699692","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-utah-jazz","8":"tag-basketball","9":"tag-jazz","10":"tag-nba","11":"tag-utah","12":"tag-utah-jazz","13":"tag-utahjazz"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nba\/116352626416348164","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/699692","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=699692"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/699692\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/699693"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=699692"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=699692"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=699692"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}