{"id":699717,"date":"2026-04-05T14:57:14","date_gmt":"2026-04-05T14:57:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/699717\/"},"modified":"2026-04-05T14:57:14","modified_gmt":"2026-04-05T14:57:14","slug":"pacers-vs-cavaliers-prediction-odds-best-bets-team-props-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/699717\/","title":{"rendered":"Pacers vs Cavaliers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets &#038; Team Props"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Cavaliers are -15.5 favorites vs. the Pacers<\/p>\n<p>Total (Over\/Under): 238.5 points<\/p>\n<p>Watch the game on FDOH | FDIN<\/p>\n<p>The Indiana Pacers visit Rocket Arena to take on the Cleveland Cavaliers on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 6:00 pm in Cleveland, OH.<\/p>\n<p>The Cavaliers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -15.5 (-115).<\/p>\n<p>The Pacers vs Cavaliers Over\/Under is 238.5 total points for the game.<\/p>\n<p>So far this NBA season, the Pacers are 36-41 against the spread, while the Cavaliers are 29-46 against the spread.<\/p>\n<p><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/promo.nj.betmgm.com\/en\/promo\/geolocator?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" target=\"_blank\">Bet now on Cavaliers vs Pacers and all NBA games with BetMGM<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Pacers vs. Cavaliers Odds, Over\/Under &amp; Moneyline <\/p>\n<p>SpreadOver \/ UnderMoneylineIndiana Pacers+15.5 -105O 238.5 -105+875Cleveland Cavaliers -15.5 -115U 238.5 -115-1600<\/p>\n<p>Cavaliers vs Pacers Prediction for Tonight\u2019s Game:<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color\">The winning team model predicts the Cavaliers will win Sunday\u2018s game with 78.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pacers and Cavaliers.<\/p>\n<p>Cavaliers vs Pacers Spread Prediction:<\/p>\n<p>Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pacers will cover the spread for Sunday\u2018s game with 66.9% confidence.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Cavaliers vs Pacers and all NBA games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>Pacers Best Bets for Tonight:<\/p>\n<p>The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 20 games (+15.65 Units \/ 68% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Indiana Pacers have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 24 games (+13.50 Units \/ 51% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 30 of their last 45 games (+12.65 Units \/ 24% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 games (+11.21 Units \/ 24% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 away games (+7.13 Units \/ 34% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Cavaliers Best Bets for Tonight:<\/p>\n<p>The Cleveland Cavaliers have covered the 4Q Spread in 30 of their last 45 games (+12.30 Units \/ 23% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 25 of their last 35 games at home (+11.75 Units \/ 15% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 20 games (+11.45 Units \/ 51% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+10.05 Units \/ 22% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.45 Units \/ 27% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Indiana Pacers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 36-41 (-9.1 Units \/ -10.75% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>18-59 against the Moneyline (-26.05 Units \/ -30.33% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>40-37 against the Over for game total points (-0.7 Units \/ -0.83% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>37-40 against the Under for game total points (-7 Units \/ -8.26% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Cleveland Cavaliers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 29-46 (-21.6 Units \/ -25.5% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>48-29 against the Moneyline (-18.8 Units \/ -7.16% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>37-40 against the Over for game total points (-7 Units \/ -8.26% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>40-37 against the Under for game total points (-0.7 Units \/ -0.83% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Cavaliers:<\/p>\n<p>The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 45 games at home (-28.50 Units \/ -16% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 40 games at home (-27.80 Units \/ -37% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 40 games at home (-23.80 Units \/ -21% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 40 games at home (-18.35 Units \/ -22% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 40 games at home (-16.30 Units \/ -35% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pacers:<\/p>\n<p>The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 50 games (-19.70 Units \/ -34% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 15 of their last 45 games (-18.90 Units \/ -37% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Indiana Pacers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 14 of their last 40 away games (-16.30 Units \/ -35% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 30 games (-16.20 Units \/ -49% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Indiana Pacers have only covered the Spread in 16 of their last 45 away games (-15.90 Units \/ -32% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Jump to:<\/p>\n<p>Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers<\/p>\n<p>The Pacers are 4-24 (.143) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season \u2014 lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .559<\/p>\n<p>The Pacers are 5-20 (.200) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season \u2014 lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .541<\/p>\n<p>The Pacers are 5-30 (.143) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season \u2014 lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .429<\/p>\n<p>The Pacers are 1-17 (.056) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season \u2014 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .363<\/p>\n<p>Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers<\/p>\n<p>The Cavaliers are 28-11 (.718) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season \u2014 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .574<\/p>\n<p>The Cavaliers are 10-2 (.833) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season \u2014 tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .630<\/p>\n<p>The Cavaliers are 143-48 (.749) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 9th-best in the NBA. The Pacers have allowed 118.7 points per game  since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 3rd-worst in the NBA.<\/p>\n<p>The Cavaliers are 28-3 (.903) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season \u2014 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .786<\/p>\n<p>Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Pacers have averaged 5.4 second chance points per game (854 points\/159 games) in the first half since the start of the 2024-25 season \u2014 lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1<\/p>\n<p>The Pacers have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (7,038 assists\/ 3,249 TOs)  since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9<\/p>\n<p>The Pacers have averaged 46.2 points in the paint per game (3,558 points\/77 games)  this season \u2014 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7<\/p>\n<p>The Pacers have a TS% of 50%  this season \u2014 tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%<\/p>\n<p>Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Cavaliers have a TS% of 54% in the second half this season \u2014 best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%<\/p>\n<p>The Cavaliers have averaged 61.0 points per game (4,698 points\/77 games) in the second half this season \u2014 best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.9<\/p>\n<p>The Cavaliers have averaged 60.7 points per game (9,652 points\/159 games) in the second half since the start of the 2024-25 season \u2014 best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.7<\/p>\n<p>The Cavaliers have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (1,090 assists\/ 550 TOs) in the second half this season \u2014 tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8<\/p>\n<p>Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Pacers have averaged 7.3 steals per game (562 steals\/77 games)  this season \u2014 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4<\/p>\n<p>The Pacers have averaged 5.3 blocks per game (643 blocks\/121 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8<\/p>\n<p>The Pacers have allowed 28.1 points in the paint per game (6,770 points\/241 games) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 25.1<\/p>\n<p>The Pacers have allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (74\/260) in close and late situations this season \u2014 best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 34%<\/p>\n<p>Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Cavaliers have averaged 35.7 defensive rebounds per game (5,679 rebounds\/159 games)  since the start of the 2024-25 season \u2014 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1<\/p>\n<p>The Cavaliers have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (1,112 blocks\/241 games)  since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0<\/p>\n<p>The Cavaliers have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (558 blocks\/120 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1<\/p>\n<p>The Cavaliers have forced 15.2 turnovers per game (1,172 turnovers\/77 games)  this season \u2014 tied for 10th best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.5<\/p>\n<p><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/promo.nj.betmgm.com\/en\/promo\/geolocator?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" target=\"_blank\">Bet now on Cavaliers vs Pacers and all NBA games with BetMGM<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>At <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM<\/a>, you can <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">bet online<\/a> with updated <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/basketball-7\/betting\/usa-9\/nba-6004?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">NBA betting odds<\/a>. And with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/live\/betting?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">live sports betting<\/a>, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the <a href=\"https:\/\/apps.apple.com\/us\/app\/betmgm-sportsbook\/id1430875409\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM Sportsbook app<\/a>) experiences are at BetMGM.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Cavaliers are -15.5 favorites vs. the Pacers Total (Over\/Under): 238.5 points Watch the game on FDOH |&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":427473,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[3772],"tags":[7,306,305,193,3846,6],"class_list":{"0":"post-699717","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-cleveland-cavaliers","8":"tag-basketball","9":"tag-cavaliers","10":"tag-cleveland","11":"tag-cleveland-cavaliers","12":"tag-clevelandcavaliers","13":"tag-nba"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nba\/116352689359939417","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/699717","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=699717"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/699717\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/427473"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=699717"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=699717"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=699717"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}