{"id":699820,"date":"2026-04-05T16:04:17","date_gmt":"2026-04-05T16:04:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/699820\/"},"modified":"2026-04-05T16:04:17","modified_gmt":"2026-04-05T16:04:17","slug":"lakers-vs-mavericks-prediction-odds-best-bets-team-props-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/699820\/","title":{"rendered":"Lakers vs Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets &#038; Team Props"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Lakers are -1.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks<\/p>\n<p>Total (Over\/Under): 233.5 points<\/p>\n<p>Watch the game on PEAC | NBC | TELE<\/p>\n<p>The Los Angeles Lakers visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30 pm in Dallas, TX.<\/p>\n<p>The Lakers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).<\/p>\n<p>The Lakers vs Mavericks Over\/Under is 233.5 total points for the game.<\/p>\n<p>So far this NBA season, the Lakers are 43-34 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 33-44 against the spread.<\/p>\n<p><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/promo.nj.betmgm.com\/en\/promo\/geolocator?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" target=\"_blank\">Bet now on Mavericks vs Lakers and all NBA games with BetMGM<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Lakers vs. Mavericks Odds, Over\/Under &amp; Moneyline <\/p>\n<p>SpreadOver \/ UnderMoneylineLos Angeles Lakers-1.5 -110O 233.5 -115-130Dallas Mavericks +1.5 -110U 233.5 -105+105<\/p>\n<p>Mavericks vs Lakers Prediction for Tonight\u2019s Game:<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color\">The winning team model predicts the Lakers will win Sunday\u2018s game with 51.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Lakers and Mavericks.<\/p>\n<p>Mavericks vs Lakers Spread Prediction:<\/p>\n<p>Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Lakers will cover the spread for Sunday\u2018s game with 56.6% confidence.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Mavericks vs Lakers and all NBA games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>Lakers Best Bets for Tonight:<\/p>\n<p>The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 19 games (+14.10 Units \/ 20% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 16 away games (+10.35 Units \/ 48% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 1Q Spread in 13 of their last 16 away games (+9.55 Units \/ 52% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.40 Units \/ 23% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 15 away games (+8.65 Units \/ 50% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:<\/p>\n<p>The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 50 games (+17.60 Units \/ 30% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+13.20 Units \/ 29% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 17 games at home (+12.75 Units \/ 65% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+7.75 Units \/ 37% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 4Q Spread in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+6.05 Units \/ 28% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Los Angeles Lakers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 43-34 (+5.6 Units \/ 6.61% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>50-27 against the Moneyline (+17.7 Units \/ 9.26% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>40-36 against the Over for game total points (+0.4 Units \/ 0.47% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>36-40 against the Under for game total points (-8 Units \/ -9.45% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 33-44 (-15.45 Units \/ -18.23% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>24-53 against the Moneyline (-15.85 Units \/ -16.44% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>34-43 against the Over for game total points (-13.3 Units \/ -15.7% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>43-34 against the Under for game total points (+5.6 Units \/ 6.61% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:<\/p>\n<p>The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 50 games (-24.45 Units \/ -43% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 40 games at home (-19.35 Units \/ -42% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 10 of their last 35 games (-18.90 Units \/ -47% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 18 of their last 50 games (-18.75 Units \/ -33% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 50 games (-17.85 Units \/ -32% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Lakers:<\/p>\n<p>The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 45 games (-20.90 Units \/ -32% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 50 games (-15.85 Units \/ -27% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 50 games (-15.40 Units \/ -21% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 45 games (-15.20 Units \/ -29% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 40 away games (-14.65 Units \/ -24% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Jump to:<\/p>\n<p>Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks<\/p>\n<p>The Lakers are 26-9 (.743) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season \u2014 tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .571<\/p>\n<p>The Lakers are 23-15 (.605) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season \u2014 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .459<\/p>\n<p>The Lakers are 12-6 (.667) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season \u2014 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .396<\/p>\n<p>The Lakers are 89-43 (.674) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .575<\/p>\n<p>Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers<\/p>\n<p>The Mavericks are 8-34 (.190) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season \u2014 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .429<\/p>\n<p>The Mavericks are 12-33 (.267) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent this season \u2014 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .426<\/p>\n<p>The Mavericks are 5-8 (.385) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season \u2014 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .604<\/p>\n<p>The Mavericks are 5-17 (.227) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season \u2014 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .363<\/p>\n<p>Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Lakers have averaged 1.39 points per shot (8,974 points\/6,457 shots)  this season \u2014 tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30<\/p>\n<p>The Lakers are shooting 51% (1,629\/3,193) at home this season \u2014 best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%<\/p>\n<p>The Lakers are shooting 50% (3,234\/6,457)  this season \u2014 best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%<\/p>\n<p>The Lakers have a 29% free throw rate (5,960 free throw attempts\/20,640 field goal attempts)  since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25%<\/p>\n<p>Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Mavericks have made 10.8 three-pointers per game  this season \u2014 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3<\/p>\n<p>The Mavericks have a TS% of 49%  this season \u2014 tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%<\/p>\n<p>The Mavericks are shooting 34% from three (417\/1,242) in the first half this season \u2014 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%<\/p>\n<p>The Mavericks have a TS% of 50% at home this season \u2014 lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%<\/p>\n<p>Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Lakers have averaged 4.4 blocks per game (335 blocks\/77 games)  this season \u2014 tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8<\/p>\n<p>The Lakers have averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,605 rebounds\/77 games)  this season \u2014 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8<\/p>\n<p>The Lakers have allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (442\/1,332) at home this season \u2014 tied for 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%<\/p>\n<p>The Lakers have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (335 blocks\/80 games) on the road since the start of the 2024-25 season \u2014 tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7<\/p>\n<p>Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Mavericks have averaged 5.1 blocks per game (394 blocks\/77 games)  this season \u2014 tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8<\/p>\n<p>The Mavericks have averaged 7.4 steals per game (1,786 steals\/241 games)  since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0<\/p>\n<p>The Mavericks have averaged 5.2 blocks per game (1,254 blocks\/241 games)  since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0<\/p>\n<p>The Mavericks have averaged 7.5 steals per game (578 steals\/77 games)  this season \u2014 tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4<\/p>\n<p><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/promo.nj.betmgm.com\/en\/promo\/geolocator?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" target=\"_blank\">Bet now on Mavericks vs Lakers and all NBA games with BetMGM<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>At <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM<\/a>, you can <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">bet online<\/a> with updated <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/basketball-7\/betting\/usa-9\/nba-6004?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">NBA betting odds<\/a>. And with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/live\/betting?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">live sports betting<\/a>, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the <a href=\"https:\/\/apps.apple.com\/us\/app\/betmgm-sportsbook\/id1430875409\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM Sportsbook app<\/a>) experiences are at BetMGM.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Lakers are -1.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks Total (Over\/Under): 233.5 points Watch the game on PEAC |&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":699821,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[3793],"tags":[7,686,149,4057,166,6],"class_list":{"0":"post-699820","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-dallas-mavericks","8":"tag-basketball","9":"tag-dallas","10":"tag-dallas-mavericks","11":"tag-dallasmavericks","12":"tag-mavericks","13":"tag-nba"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nba\/116352953347159981","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/699820","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=699820"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/699820\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/699821"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=699820"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=699820"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=699820"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}