{"id":700229,"date":"2026-04-05T21:10:45","date_gmt":"2026-04-05T21:10:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/700229\/"},"modified":"2026-04-05T21:10:45","modified_gmt":"2026-04-05T21:10:45","slug":"grizzlies-vs-bucks-prediction-odds-best-bets-team-props","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/700229\/","title":{"rendered":"Grizzlies vs Bucks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets &#038; Team Props"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Bucks are -6.5 favorites vs. the Grizzlies<\/p>\n<p>Total (Over\/Under): 227.5 points<\/p>\n<p>Watch the game on FDWI | WMLW | FDSM<\/p>\n<p>The Memphis Grizzlies visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 3:30 pm in Milwaukee, WI.<\/p>\n<p>The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).<\/p>\n<p>The Grizzlies vs Bucks Over\/Under is 227.5 total points for the game.<\/p>\n<p>So far this NBA season, the Grizzlies are 36-41 against the spread, while the Bucks are 34-43 against the spread.<\/p>\n<p><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/promo.nj.betmgm.com\/en\/promo\/geolocator?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" target=\"_blank\">Bet now on Bucks vs Grizzlies and all NBA games with BetMGM<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Grizzlies vs. Bucks Odds, Over\/Under &amp; Moneyline <\/p>\n<p>SpreadOver \/ UnderMoneylineMemphis Grizzlies+6.5 -110O 227.5 -110+200Milwaukee Bucks -6.5 -110U 227.5 -110-250<\/p>\n<p>Bucks vs Grizzlies Prediction for Tonight\u2019s Game:<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color\">The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Sunday\u2018s game with 64.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Grizzlies and Bucks.<\/p>\n<p>Bucks vs Grizzlies Spread Prediction:<\/p>\n<p>Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Grizzlies will cover the spread for Sunday\u2018s game with 60.5% confidence.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Bucks vs Grizzlies and all NBA games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>Grizzlies Best Bets for Tonight:<\/p>\n<p>The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 50 games (+14.40 Units \/ 25% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games (+10.60 Units \/ 31% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 19 away games (+10.50 Units \/ 49% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 40 away games (+9.90 Units \/ 23% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 games (+9.35 Units \/ 20% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Bucks Best Bets for Tonight:<\/p>\n<p>The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+9.90 Units \/ 34% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+9.90 Units \/ 21% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+9.80 Units \/ 21% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+6.95 Units \/ 12% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.40 Units \/ 18% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Memphis Grizzlies Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 36-41 (-9.1 Units \/ -10.74% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>25-52 against the Moneyline (-25.55 Units \/ -26.77% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>37-39 against the Over for game total points (-5.9 Units \/ -6.97% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>39-37 against the Under for game total points (-1.7 Units \/ -2.01% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Milwaukee Bucks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 34-43 (-13.3 Units \/ -15.71% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>30-47 against the Moneyline (-14.35 Units \/ -12.68% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>35-42 against the Over for game total points (-11.2 Units \/ -13.22% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>42-35 against the Under for game total points (+3.5 Units \/ 4.13% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Bucks:<\/p>\n<p>The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 45 games (-21.25 Units \/ -40% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 35 games at home (-21.00 Units \/ -52% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 35 games at home (-16.85 Units \/ -34% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 40 games at home (-15.80 Units \/ -34% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 40 games at home (-15.75 Units \/ -34% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Grizzlies:<\/p>\n<p>The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 50 games (-25.65 Units \/ -41% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 12 of their last 50 games (-24.18 Units \/ -42% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 50 games (-22.10 Units \/ -38% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 50 games (-18.80 Units \/ -34% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 2H Spread in 14 of their last 40 games (-16.02 Units \/ -35% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Jump to:<\/p>\n<p>Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks<\/p>\n<p>The Grizzlies are 3-13 (.188) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .386<\/p>\n<p>The Grizzlies are 15-22 (.405) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season \u2014 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .541<\/p>\n<p>The Grizzlies are 5-2 (.714) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season \u2014 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604<\/p>\n<p>The Grizzlies are 2-20 (.091) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more this season \u2014 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .210<\/p>\n<p>Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies<\/p>\n<p>The Bucks are 13-6 (.684) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season \u2014 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .541<\/p>\n<p>The Bucks are 55-31 (.640) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 9th-best in the NBA. The Grizzlies have averaged 15.3 turnovers per game  since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 3rd-highest in the NBA.<\/p>\n<p>The Bucks are 14-25 (.359) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season \u2014 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .429<\/p>\n<p>The Bucks are 116-47 (.712) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .656<\/p>\n<p>Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Grizzlies have a TS% of 51%  this season \u2014 tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%<\/p>\n<p>The Grizzlies are shooting 79% from the free throw line (1,417\/1,787)  this season \u2014 tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%<\/p>\n<p>The Grizzlies have an eFG% of 53%  this season \u2014 tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%<\/p>\n<p>The Grizzlies have averaged 15.2 turnovers per game (1,170 turnovers\/77 games)  this season \u2014 9th highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.5<\/p>\n<p>Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Bucks have a TS% of 55% in close and late situations this season \u2014 best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%<\/p>\n<p>The Bucks have averaged 11.3 second chance points per game (873 points\/77 games)  this season \u2014 lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.0<\/p>\n<p>The Bucks are shooting 51% (400\/778) in close and late situations this season \u2014 best among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%<\/p>\n<p>The Bucks are shooting 43% from three (137\/320) in close and late situations this season \u2014 best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34%<\/p>\n<p>Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Grizzlies have averaged 33.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,566 rebounds\/77 games)  this season \u2014 tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8<\/p>\n<p>The Grizzlies have allowed 17.8 second chance points per game (1,369 points\/77 games)  this season \u2014 highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 15.0<\/p>\n<p>The Grizzlies have allowed 9.3 second chance points per game (713 points\/77 games) in the second half this season \u2014 highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.5<\/p>\n<p>The Grizzlies have allowed 10.0 offensive rebounds per game (1,589 rebounds\/159 games) in the second half since the start of the 2024-25 season \u2014 highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.8<\/p>\n<p>Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Bucks have averaged 7.1 steals per game (835 steals\/118 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.1<\/p>\n<p>The Bucks have averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (8,749 rebounds\/241 games)  since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1<\/p>\n<p>The Bucks have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (300 blocks\/77 games)  this season \u2014 tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8<\/p>\n<p>The Bucks have allowed opponents to shoot 39% from three (611\/1,580) at home this season \u2014 highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%<\/p>\n<p><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/promo.nj.betmgm.com\/en\/promo\/geolocator?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" target=\"_blank\">Bet now on Bucks vs Grizzlies and all NBA games with BetMGM<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>At <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM<\/a>, you can <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">bet online<\/a> with updated <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/basketball-7\/betting\/usa-9\/nba-6004?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">NBA betting odds<\/a>. And with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/live\/betting?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">live sports betting<\/a>, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the <a href=\"https:\/\/apps.apple.com\/us\/app\/betmgm-sportsbook\/id1430875409\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM Sportsbook app<\/a>) experiences are at BetMGM.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Bucks are -6.5 favorites vs. the Grizzlies Total (Over\/Under): 227.5 points Watch the game on FDWI |&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":700230,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3795],"tags":[7,294,293,177,4070,6],"class_list":{"0":"post-700229","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-memphis-grizzlies","8":"tag-basketball","9":"tag-grizzlies","10":"tag-memphis","11":"tag-memphis-grizzlies","12":"tag-memphisgrizzlies","13":"tag-nba"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nba\/116354157032985275","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/700229","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=700229"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/700229\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/700230"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=700229"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=700229"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=700229"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}