{"id":701440,"date":"2026-04-06T14:39:23","date_gmt":"2026-04-06T14:39:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/701440\/"},"modified":"2026-04-06T14:39:23","modified_gmt":"2026-04-06T14:39:23","slug":"cavaliers-vs-grizzlies-prediction-odds-best-bets-team-props","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/701440\/","title":{"rendered":"Cavaliers vs Grizzlies Prediction, Odds, Best Bets &#038; Team Props"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Cavaliers are -14.5 favorites vs. the Grizzlies<\/p>\n<p>Total (Over\/Under): 235.5 points<\/p>\n<p>Watch the game on FDOH | FDSM<\/p>\n<p>The Cleveland Cavaliers visit FedExForum to take on the Memphis Grizzlies on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00 pm in Memphis, TN.<\/p>\n<p>The Cavaliers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-115).<\/p>\n<p>The Cavaliers vs Grizzlies Over\/Under is 235.5 total points for the game.<\/p>\n<p>So far this NBA season, the Cavaliers are 29-47 against the spread, while the Grizzlies are 36-42 against the spread.<\/p>\n<p><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/promo.nj.betmgm.com\/en\/promo\/geolocator?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" target=\"_blank\">Bet now on Grizzlies vs Cavaliers and all NBA games with BetMGM<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies Odds, Over\/Under &amp; Moneyline <\/p>\n<p>SpreadOver \/ UnderMoneylineCleveland Cavaliers-14.5 -115O 235.5 -110-1400Memphis Grizzlies +14.5 -105U 235.5 -110+800<\/p>\n<p>Grizzlies vs Cavaliers Prediction for Tonight\u2019s Game:<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color\">The winning team model predicts the Cavaliers will win Monday\u2018s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Cavaliers and Grizzlies.<\/p>\n<p>Grizzlies vs Cavaliers Spread Prediction:<\/p>\n<p>Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Cavaliers will cover the spread for Monday\u2018s game with 51.0% confidence.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Grizzlies vs Cavaliers and all NBA games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>Cavaliers Best Bets for Tonight:<\/p>\n<p>The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 35 away games (+18.05 Units \/ 36% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Cleveland Cavaliers have covered the 4Q Spread in 27 of their last 35 away games (+17.70 Units \/ 43% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 21 games (+12.45 Units \/ 53% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games (+10.45 Units \/ 30% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.20 Units \/ 42% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Grizzlies Best Bets for Tonight:<\/p>\n<p>The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 45 games at home (+17.05 Units \/ 32% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 45 games (+15.95 Units \/ 31% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 2Q Spread in 30 of their last 45 games at home (+12.65 Units \/ 24% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+10.65 Units \/ 68% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games (+10.60 Units \/ 30% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Cleveland Cavaliers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 29-47 (-22.7 Units \/ -26.46% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>49-29 against the Moneyline (-17.8 Units \/ -6.41% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>37-41 against the Over for game total points (-8.1 Units \/ -9.44% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>41-37 against the Under for game total points (+0.3 Units \/ 0.35% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Memphis Grizzlies Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 36-42 (-10.2 Units \/ -11.89% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>25-53 against the Moneyline (-26.55 Units \/ -27.53% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>38-39 against the Over for game total points (-4.9 Units \/ -5.71% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>39-38 against the Under for game total points (-2.8 Units \/ -3.26% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Grizzlies:<\/p>\n<p>The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 45 games (-22.75 Units \/ -44% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 12 of their last 50 games (-21.88 Units \/ -40% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 50 games (-20.55 Units \/ -36% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 45 games (-18.35 Units \/ -39% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.40 Units \/ -29% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Cavaliers:<\/p>\n<p>The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 35 away games (-20.45 Units \/ -38% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 50 games (-19.40 Units \/ -22% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 45 away games (-18.75 Units \/ -36% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 17 games (-18.40 Units \/ -32% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 30 games (-14.80 Units \/ -44% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Jump to:<\/p>\n<p>Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies<\/p>\n<p>The Cavaliers are 41-11 (.788) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556<\/p>\n<p>The Cavaliers are 32-7 (.821) when winning the rebounding margin this season \u2014 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .656<\/p>\n<p>The Cavaliers are 27-9 (.750) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season \u2014 tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .558<\/p>\n<p>The Cavaliers are 30-14 (.682) when they win the turnover margin this season \u2014 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .593<\/p>\n<p>Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers<\/p>\n<p>The Grizzlies are 1-28 (.034) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season \u2014 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .216<\/p>\n<p>The Grizzlies are 2-19 (.095) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season \u2014 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .301<\/p>\n<p>The Grizzlies are 15-39 (.278) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season \u2014 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .459<\/p>\n<p>The Grizzlies are 13-15 (.464) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season \u2014 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .558<\/p>\n<p>Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Cavaliers have averaged 60.7 points per game (9,714 points\/160 games) in the second half since the start of the 2024-25 season \u2014 best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.7<\/p>\n<p>The Cavaliers have averaged 28.3 assists per game (2,207 assists\/78 games)  this season \u2014 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.7<\/p>\n<p>The Cavaliers have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (1,105 assists\/ 554 TOs) in the second half this season \u2014 tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8<\/p>\n<p>The Cavaliers have averaged 119.8 points per game (4,671 points\/39 games) on the road this season \u2014 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.8<\/p>\n<p>Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Grizzlies have averaged 18.4 offensive rebounds per game (1,434 rebounds\/78 games)  this season \u2014 tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.9<\/p>\n<p>The Grizzlies are shooting 46% (3,223\/7,041)  this season \u2014 tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%<\/p>\n<p>The Grizzlies have averaged 15.2 turnovers per game (1,184 turnovers\/78 games)  this season \u2014 9th highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.5<\/p>\n<p>The Grizzlies are shooting 35% from three (557\/1,589) at home this season \u2014 tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%<\/p>\n<p>Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Cavaliers have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (564 blocks\/121 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1<\/p>\n<p>The Cavaliers have averaged 35.8 defensive rebounds per game (5,721 rebounds\/160 games)  since the start of the 2024-25 season \u2014 tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1<\/p>\n<p>The Cavaliers have allowed 45.7 points in the paint per game (3,564 points\/78 games)  this season \u2014 6th best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 49.7<\/p>\n<p>The Cavaliers have allowed 14.4 second chance points per game (1,126 points\/78 games)  this season \u2014 tied for 8th best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 15.0<\/p>\n<p>Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Grizzlies have allowed 17.8 second chance points per game (1,392 points\/78 games)  this season \u2014 highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 15.0<\/p>\n<p>The Grizzlies have averaged 8.9 steals per game (693 steals\/78 games)  this season \u2014 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4<\/p>\n<p>The Grizzlies have allowed 18.6 second chance points per game (743 points\/40 games) at home this season \u2014 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 15.0<\/p>\n<p>The Grizzlies have allowed 9.3 second chance points per game (723 points\/78 games) in the second half this season \u2014 highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.5<\/p>\n<p><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/promo.nj.betmgm.com\/en\/promo\/geolocator?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" target=\"_blank\">Bet now on Grizzlies vs Cavaliers and all NBA games with BetMGM<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>At <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM<\/a>, you can <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">bet online<\/a> with updated <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/basketball-7\/betting\/usa-9\/nba-6004?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">NBA betting odds<\/a>. And with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/live\/betting?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">live sports betting<\/a>, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the <a href=\"https:\/\/apps.apple.com\/us\/app\/betmgm-sportsbook\/id1430875409\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM Sportsbook app<\/a>) experiences are at BetMGM.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Cavaliers are -14.5 favorites vs. the Grizzlies Total (Over\/Under): 235.5 points Watch the game on FDOH |&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":701441,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3795],"tags":[7,294,293,177,4070,6],"class_list":{"0":"post-701440","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-memphis-grizzlies","8":"tag-basketball","9":"tag-grizzlies","10":"tag-memphis","11":"tag-memphis-grizzlies","12":"tag-memphisgrizzlies","13":"tag-nba"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nba\/116358281015625771","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/701440","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=701440"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/701440\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/701441"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=701440"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=701440"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=701440"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}