{"id":705333,"date":"2026-04-08T14:16:00","date_gmt":"2026-04-08T14:16:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/705333\/"},"modified":"2026-04-08T14:16:00","modified_gmt":"2026-04-08T14:16:00","slug":"grizzlies-vs-nuggets-prediction-odds-best-bets-team-props-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/705333\/","title":{"rendered":"Grizzlies vs Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets &#038; Team Props"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Nuggets are -22.5 favorites vs. the Grizzlies<\/p>\n<p>Total (Over\/Under): 243.5 points<\/p>\n<p>Watch the game on ALT | KTVD | KUSA | FDSM<\/p>\n<p>The Memphis Grizzlies visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00 pm in Denver, CO.<\/p>\n<p>The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -22.5 (-115).<\/p>\n<p>The Grizzlies vs Nuggets Over\/Under is 243.5 total points for the game.<\/p>\n<p>So far this NBA season, the Grizzlies are 36-43 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 42-37 against the spread.<\/p>\n<p><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/promo.nj.betmgm.com\/en\/promo\/geolocator?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" target=\"_blank\">Bet now on Nuggets vs Grizzlies and all NBA games with BetMGM<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Grizzlies vs. Nuggets Odds, Over\/Under &amp; Moneyline <\/p>\n<p>SpreadOver \/ UnderMoneylineMemphis Grizzlies+22.5 -105O 243.5 -105+1900Denver Nuggets -22.5 -115U 243.5 -115-10000<\/p>\n<p>Nuggets vs Grizzlies Prediction for Tonight\u2019s Game:<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color\">The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Wednesday\u2018s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Grizzlies and Nuggets.<\/p>\n<p>Nuggets vs Grizzlies Spread Prediction:<\/p>\n<p>Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Grizzlies will cover the spread for Wednesday\u2018s game with 70.0% confidence.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Nuggets vs Grizzlies and all NBA games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>Grizzlies Best Bets for Tonight:<\/p>\n<p>The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 45 games (+15.95 Units \/ 31% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 40 games (+12.00 Units \/ 26% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 40 away games (+9.75 Units \/ 23% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 games (+9.65 Units \/ 20% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 16 away games (+9.35 Units \/ 50% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:<\/p>\n<p>The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 games (+10.55 Units \/ 7% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.50 Units \/ 19% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 45 games (+8.35 Units \/ 13% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Denver Nuggets have covered the 2Q Spread in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+7.10 Units \/ 31% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+6.90 Units \/ 9% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Memphis Grizzlies Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 36-43 (-11.3 Units \/ -13% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>25-54 against the Moneyline (-27.55 Units \/ -28.27% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>39-39 against the Over for game total points (-3.9 Units \/ -4.49% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>39-39 against the Under for game total points (-3.9 Units \/ -4.49% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 42-37 (+1.3 Units \/ 1.5% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>51-28 against the Moneyline (+4.15 Units \/ 1.66% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>49-30 against the Over for game total points (+16.03 Units \/ 18.45% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>30-49 against the Under for game total points (-23.9 Units \/ -27.48% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:<\/p>\n<p>The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 14 of their last 35 games at home (-16.81 Units \/ -26% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 35 games at home (-14.70 Units \/ -25% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 2H Spread in 15 of their last 40 games at home (-13.56 Units \/ -29% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 45 games (-13.05 Units \/ -13% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 50 games (-13.00 Units \/ -24% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Grizzlies:<\/p>\n<p>The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 45 games (-22.80 Units \/ -44% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 12 of their last 50 games (-21.88 Units \/ -40% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 50 games (-20.55 Units \/ -36% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 50 games (-18.55 Units \/ -32% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 40 games (-18.45 Units \/ -44% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Jump to:<\/p>\n<p>Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets<\/p>\n<p>The Grizzlies are 6-73 (.076) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .223<\/p>\n<p>The Grizzlies are 1-29 (.033) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season \u2014 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .215<\/p>\n<p>The Grizzlies are 7-26 (.212) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season \u2014 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444<\/p>\n<p>The Grizzlies are 3-13 (.188) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .386<\/p>\n<p>Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies<\/p>\n<p>The Nuggets are 12-6 (.667) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season \u2014 tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .603<\/p>\n<p>The Nuggets are 35-5 (.875) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season \u2014 tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .785<\/p>\n<p>The Nuggets are 19-14 (.576) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season \u2014 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .460<\/p>\n<p>The Nuggets are 85-17 (.833) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 4th-best in the NBA. The Grizzlies have allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three  since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 T-5th-worst in the NBA.<\/p>\n<p>Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Grizzlies have an eFG% of 54%  this season \u2014 tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%<\/p>\n<p>The Grizzlies have averaged 1.27 points per shot (9,082 points\/7,135 shots)  this season \u2014 tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30<\/p>\n<p>The Grizzlies are shooting 46% (3,268\/7,135)  this season \u2014 tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%<\/p>\n<p>The Grizzlies have an eFG% of 53%  since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%<\/p>\n<p>Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.3 (1,114 assists\/ 490 TOs) in the second half this season \u2014 best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8<\/p>\n<p>The Nuggets are shooting 41% from three (543\/1,342) in the second half this season \u2014 best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%<\/p>\n<p>The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.4 (1,155 assists\/ 484 TOs) at home this season \u2014 best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9<\/p>\n<p>The Nuggets are shooting 49% (3,420\/6,913)  this season \u2014 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%<\/p>\n<p>Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Grizzlies have allowed 9.2 second chance points per game (730 points\/79 games) in the second half this season \u2014 highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.5<\/p>\n<p>The Grizzlies have allowed 17.9 second chance points per game (1,413 points\/79 games)  this season \u2014 highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 15.0<\/p>\n<p>The Grizzlies have allowed 18.6 second chance points per game (764 points\/41 games) at home this season \u2014 tied for highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 15.0<\/p>\n<p>The Grizzlies have averaged 33.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,615 rebounds\/79 games)  this season \u2014 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8<\/p>\n<p>Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Nuggets have averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,914 rebounds\/79 games)  this season \u2014 tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8<\/p>\n<p>The Nuggets have averaged 6.8 steals per game (540 steals\/79 games)  this season \u2014 lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4<\/p>\n<p>The Nuggets have averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (8,891 rebounds\/243 games)  since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1<\/p>\n<p>The Nuggets have forced 11.8 turnovers per game (461 turnovers\/39 games) at home this season \u2014 lowest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.6<\/p>\n<p><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/promo.nj.betmgm.com\/en\/promo\/geolocator?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" target=\"_blank\">Bet now on Nuggets vs Grizzlies and all NBA games with BetMGM<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>At <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM<\/a>, you can <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">bet online<\/a> with updated <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/basketball-7\/betting\/usa-9\/nba-6004?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">NBA betting odds<\/a>. And with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/live\/betting?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">live sports betting<\/a>, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the <a href=\"https:\/\/apps.apple.com\/us\/app\/betmgm-sportsbook\/id1430875409\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM Sportsbook app<\/a>) experiences are at BetMGM.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Nuggets are -22.5 favorites vs. the Grizzlies Total (Over\/Under): 243.5 points Watch the game on ALT |&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":596968,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3781],"tags":[7,301,187,3943,6,302],"class_list":{"0":"post-705333","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-denver-nuggets","8":"tag-basketball","9":"tag-denver","10":"tag-denver-nuggets","11":"tag-denvernuggets","12":"tag-nba","13":"tag-nuggets"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nba\/116369513237707300","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/705333","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=705333"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/705333\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/596968"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=705333"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=705333"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=705333"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}