The Heat are -4.5 favorites vs. the Hawks<\/p>\n
Total (Over\/Under): 243.5 points<\/p>\n
Watch the game on FSUN | FDSE | WANF | PSN<\/p>\n
The Atlanta Hawks visit Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 6:00 pm in Miami, FL.<\/p>\n
The Heat are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).<\/p>\n
The Hawks vs Heat Over\/Under is 243.5 total points for the game.<\/p>\n
So far this NBA season, the Hawks are 44-37 against the spread, while the Heat are 44-36 against the spread.<\/p>\n
Bet now on Heat vs Hawks and all NBA games with BetMGM<\/a><\/p>\n Hawks vs. Heat Odds, Over\/Under & Moneyline <\/p>\n SpreadOver \/ UnderMoneylineAtlanta Hawks+4.5 -110O 243.5 -115+154Miami Heat -4.5 -110U 243.5 -105-190<\/p>\n Heat vs Hawks Prediction for Tonight\u2019s Game:<\/p>\n The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Sunday\u2018s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Hawks and Heat.<\/p>\n Heat vs Hawks Spread Prediction:<\/p>\n Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Hawks will cover the spread for Sunday\u2018s game with 60.2% confidence.<\/p>\n Bet now on Heat vs Hawks and all NBA games with BetMGM<\/p>\n Hawks Best Bets for Tonight:<\/p>\n The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 32 of their last 50 games (+19.05 Units \/ 20% ROI)<\/p>\n The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 35 games (+15.80 Units \/ 15% ROI)<\/p>\n The Atlanta Hawks have covered the 2Q Spread in their last 15 games (+15.00 Units \/ 86% ROI)<\/p>\n The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 25 games (+14.45 Units \/ 33% ROI)<\/p>\n The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 29 of their last 45 games (+10.59 Units \/ 20% ROI)<\/p>\n Heat Best Bets for Tonight:<\/p>\n The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 30 games at home (+15.05 Units \/ 43% ROI)<\/p>\n The Miami Heat have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 games (+14.05 Units \/ 31% ROI)<\/p>\n The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 50 games (+13.15 Units \/ 17% ROI)<\/p>\n The Miami Heat have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+11.70 Units \/ 27% ROI)<\/p>\n The Miami Heat have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games (+11.15 Units \/ 19% ROI)<\/p>\n Atlanta Hawks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:<\/p>\n Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 44-37 (+3.35 Units \/ 3.76% ROI).<\/p>\n 46-35 against the Moneyline (+8.45 Units \/ 4.71% ROI)<\/p>\n 40-41 against the Over for game total points (-5.1 Units \/ -5.72% ROI)<\/p>\n 41-40 against the Under for game total points (-3 Units \/ -3.37% ROI)<\/p>\n Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:<\/p>\n Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 44-36 (+4.4 Units \/ 4.94% ROI).<\/p>\n 42-39 against the Moneyline (-3.2 Units \/ -1.75% ROI)<\/p>\n 45-34 against the Over for game total points (+7.6 Units \/ 8.53% ROI)<\/p>\n 34-45 against the Under for game total points (-15.5 Units \/ -17.4% ROI)<\/p>\n Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:<\/p>\n The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 40 games at home (-20.00 Units \/ -44% ROI)<\/p>\n The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 50 games (-18.70 Units \/ -33% ROI)<\/p>\n The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 30 games (-17.90 Units \/ -38% ROI)<\/p>\n The Miami Heat have only hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 50 games (-16.10 Units \/ -29% ROI)<\/p>\n The Miami Heat have only covered the 2Q Spread in 9 of their last 30 games (-14.95 Units \/ -43% ROI)<\/p>\n Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Hawks:<\/p>\n The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 45 games (-17.20 Units \/ -33% ROI)<\/p>\n The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games (-15.55 Units \/ -27% ROI)<\/p>\n The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 40 games (-15.10 Units \/ -25% ROI)<\/p>\n The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 16 of their last 40 away games (-12.00 Units \/ -26% ROI)<\/p>\n The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 30 games (-10.60 Units \/ -31% ROI)<\/p>\n Jump to:<\/p>\n Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat<\/p>\n The Hawks are winless (0-6) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season \u2014 lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .372<\/p>\n The Hawks are 11-4 (.733) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season \u2014 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .602<\/p>\n The Hawks are 15-9 (.625) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .442<\/p>\n The Hawks are 30-10 (.750) when forcing 10 or more steals this season \u2014 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .605<\/p>\n Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks<\/p>\n The Heat are 17-1 (.944) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more this season \u2014 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .788<\/p>\n The Heat are 7-7 (.500) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season \u2014 tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .602<\/p>\n The Heat are 3-10 (.231) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season \u2014 tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .398<\/p>\n The Heat are 11-23 (.324) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .442<\/p>\n Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends<\/p>\n The Hawks have averaged 30.1 assists per game (2,440 assists\/81 games) this season \u2014 best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.7<\/p>\n The Hawks have averaged 15.8 assists per game (1,279 assists\/81 games) in the first half this season \u2014 best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8<\/p>\n The Hawks have averaged 30.2 assists per game (1,206 assists\/40 games) on the road this season \u2014 best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.5<\/p>\n The Hawks have averaged 10.5 fast break points per game (851 points\/81 games) in the first half this season \u2014 best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9<\/p>\n Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends<\/p>\n The Heat have averaged 61.7 points per game (4,936 points\/80 games) in the first half this season \u2014 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 58.1<\/p>\n The Heat have averaged 10.3 fast break points per game (821 points\/80 games) in the first half this season \u2014 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9<\/p>\n The Heat have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (2,315 assists\/ 1,099 TOs) this season \u2014 tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8<\/p>\n The Heat have averaged 20.1 fast break points per game (805 points\/40 games) at home this season \u2014 best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.3<\/p>\n Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends<\/p>\n The Hawks have averaged 9.4 steals per game (765 steals\/81 games) this season \u2014 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4<\/p>\n The Hawks have allowed an eFG% of 48% in close and late situations this season \u2014 best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%<\/p>\n The Hawks have 765 steals this season \u2014 5th most among NBA teams<\/p>\n The Hawks have 2,179 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 2nd most among NBA teams<\/p>\n Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends<\/p>\n The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (938 blocks\/244 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0<\/p>\n The Heat have averaged 3.7 blocks per game (457 blocks\/122 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8<\/p>\n The Heat have averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,949 rebounds\/80 games) this season \u2014 tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8<\/p>\n The Heat have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (481 blocks\/122 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1<\/p>\n Bet now on Heat vs Hawks and all NBA games with BetMGM<\/a><\/p>\n Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM<\/p>\n At BetMGM<\/a>, you can bet online<\/a> with updated NBA betting odds<\/a>. And with live sports betting<\/a>, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app<\/a>) experiences are at BetMGM.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Heat are -4.5 favorites vs. the Hawks Total (Over\/Under): 243.5 points Watch the game on FSUN |…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":709037,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3776],"tags":[676,208,3874,7,677,6],"class_list":{"0":"post-709036","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-atlanta-hawks","8":"tag-atlanta","9":"tag-atlanta-hawks","10":"tag-atlantahawks","11":"tag-basketball","12":"tag-hawks","13":"tag-nba"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nba\/116392254708520327","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/709036","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=709036"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/709036\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/709037"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=709036"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=709036"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=709036"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}