{"id":709075,"date":"2026-04-12T15:48:29","date_gmt":"2026-04-12T15:48:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/709075\/"},"modified":"2026-04-12T15:48:29","modified_gmt":"2026-04-12T15:48:29","slug":"pelicans-vs-timberwolves-prediction-odds-best-bets-team-props-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/709075\/","title":{"rendered":"Pelicans vs Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Best Bets &#038; Team Props"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Timberwolves are -5.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans<\/p>\n<p>Total (Over\/Under): 236.5 points<\/p>\n<p>Watch the game on GCSE | FDSN<\/p>\n<p>The New Orleans Pelicans visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30 pm in Minneapolis, MN.<\/p>\n<p>The Timberwolves are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-118).<\/p>\n<p>The Pelicans vs Timberwolves Over\/Under is 236.5 total points for the game.<\/p>\n<p>So far this NBA season, the Pelicans are 45-35 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 36-45 against the spread.<\/p>\n<p><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/promo.nj.betmgm.com\/en\/promo\/geolocator?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" target=\"_blank\">Bet now on Timberwolves vs Pelicans and all NBA games with BetMGM<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Pelicans vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over\/Under &amp; Moneyline <\/p>\n<p>SpreadOver \/ UnderMoneylineNew Orleans Pelicans+5.5 -102O 236.5 -110+200Minnesota Timberwolves -5.5 -118U 236.5 -110-250<\/p>\n<p>Timberwolves vs Pelicans Prediction for Tonight\u2019s Game:<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color\">The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Sunday\u2018s game with 58.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pelicans and Timberwolves.<\/p>\n<p>Timberwolves vs Pelicans Spread Prediction:<\/p>\n<p>Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Sunday\u2018s game with 61.6% confidence.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Timberwolves vs Pelicans and all NBA games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>Pelicans Best Bets for Tonight:<\/p>\n<p>The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 45 games (+12.45 Units \/ 23% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 3Q Spread in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.30 Units \/ 46% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2H Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+9.10 Units \/ 39% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 2Q Spread in 26 of their last 45 games (+7.10 Units \/ 13% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1Q Spread in 16 of their last 24 away games (+6.75 Units \/ 24% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Timberwolves Best Bets for Tonight:<\/p>\n<p>The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 40 games at home (+16.60 Units \/ 36% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 35 games at home (+14.00 Units \/ 36% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+12.33 Units \/ 27% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+10.70 Units \/ 32% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games (+8.50 Units \/ 35% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>New Orleans Pelicans Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 45-35 (+6.5 Units \/ 7.3% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>26-55 against the Moneyline (-20.5 Units \/ -20.17% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>40-41 against the Over for game total points (-5.1 Units \/ -5.72% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>41-40 against the Under for game total points (-3 Units \/ -3.37% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Minnesota Timberwolves Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 36-45 (-13.55 Units \/ -15.2% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>48-33 against the Moneyline (-14 Units \/ -5.96% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>37-44 against the Over for game total points (-11.4 Units \/ -12.79% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>44-37 against the Under for game total points (+3.3 Units \/ 3.7% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Timberwolves:<\/p>\n<p>The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 40 games at home (-22.30 Units \/ -48% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 35 games at home (-20.90 Units \/ -32% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 40 games at home (-18.05 Units \/ -39% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 35 games at home (-17.50 Units \/ -45% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 50 games (-17.00 Units \/ -22% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pelicans:<\/p>\n<p>The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the 4Q Spread in 18 of their last 50 games (-19.80 Units \/ -34% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 40 away games (-16.55 Units \/ -35% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 50 games (-12.45 Units \/ -21% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 50 games (-12.30 Units \/ -22% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 45 games (-11.90 Units \/ -22% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Jump to:<\/p>\n<p>New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves<\/p>\n<p>The Pelicans are 1-13 (.071) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season \u2014 lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .398<\/p>\n<p>The Pelicans are 3-31 (.088) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season \u2014 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .364<\/p>\n<p>The Pelicans are 4-4 (.500) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season \u2014 tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .602<\/p>\n<p>The Pelicans are 9-61 (.129) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .304<\/p>\n<p>Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans<\/p>\n<p>The Timberwolves are 27-11 (.711) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season \u2014 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .573<\/p>\n<p>The Timberwolves are 121-39 (.756) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 7th-best in the NBA. The Pelicans have allowed 116.6 points per game  since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 9th-worst in the NBA.<\/p>\n<p>The Timberwolves are 23-11 (.676) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season \u2014 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .541<\/p>\n<p>The Timberwolves are 14-1 (.933) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more this season \u2014 tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .788<\/p>\n<p>New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Pelicans have averaged 60.9 points in the paint per game (2,496 points\/41 games) at home this season \u2014 best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.9<\/p>\n<p>The Pelicans are shooting 34% from three (441\/1,315) at home this season \u2014 lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%<\/p>\n<p>The Pelicans have averaged 57.5 points in the paint per game (4,656 points\/81 games)  this season \u2014 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.8<\/p>\n<p>The Pelicans have averaged 29.6 points in the paint per game (2,394 points\/81 games) in the first half this season \u2014 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.2<\/p>\n<p>Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Timberwolves have averaged 121.2 points per game (4,970 points\/41 games) on the road this season \u2014 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7<\/p>\n<p>The Timberwolves are shooting 48% (3,450\/7,171)  this season \u2014 tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%<\/p>\n<p>The Timberwolves have an eFG% of 56%  this season \u2014 tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%<\/p>\n<p>The Timberwolves have averaged 117.8 points per game (9,544 points\/81 games)  this season \u2014 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.6<\/p>\n<p>New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Pelicans have averaged 5.2 blocks per game (420 blocks\/81 games)  this season \u2014 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8<\/p>\n<p>The Pelicans have averaged 8.9 steals per game (717 steals\/81 games)  this season \u2014 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4<\/p>\n<p>The Pelicans have averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (5,514 rebounds\/163 games)  since the start of the 2024-25 season \u2014 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1<\/p>\n<p>The Pelicans have averaged 34.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,768 rebounds\/81 games)  this season \u2014 tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8<\/p>\n<p>Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Timberwolves have averaged 5.7 blocks per game (463 blocks\/81 games)  this season \u2014 tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8<\/p>\n<p>The Timberwolves have averaged 35.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,860 rebounds\/81 games)  this season \u2014 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8<\/p>\n<p>The Timberwolves have blocked 463 shots  this season \u2014 3rd most among NBA teams<\/p>\n<p>The Timberwolves have averaged 8.8 steals per game (712 steals\/81 games)  this season \u2014 tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4<\/p>\n<p><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/promo.nj.betmgm.com\/en\/promo\/geolocator?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" target=\"_blank\">Bet now on Timberwolves vs Pelicans and all NBA games with BetMGM<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>At <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM<\/a>, you can <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">bet online<\/a> with updated <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/basketball-7\/betting\/usa-9\/nba-6004?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">NBA betting odds<\/a>. And with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/live\/betting?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">live sports betting<\/a>, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the <a href=\"https:\/\/apps.apple.com\/us\/app\/betmgm-sportsbook\/id1430875409\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM Sportsbook app<\/a>) experiences are at BetMGM.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Timberwolves are -5.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans Total (Over\/Under): 236.5 points Watch the game on GCSE |&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":586539,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3796],"tags":[7,6,478,470,4073,4072,675],"class_list":{"0":"post-709075","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-new-orleans-pelicans","8":"tag-basketball","9":"tag-nba","10":"tag-new-orleans","11":"tag-new-orleans-pelicans","12":"tag-neworleans","13":"tag-neworleanspelicans","14":"tag-pelicans"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nba\/116392526030583413","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/709075","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=709075"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/709075\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/586539"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=709075"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=709075"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=709075"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}