{"id":709078,"date":"2026-04-12T15:54:28","date_gmt":"2026-04-12T15:54:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/709078\/"},"modified":"2026-04-12T15:54:28","modified_gmt":"2026-04-12T15:54:28","slug":"grizzlies-vs-rockets-prediction-odds-best-bets-team-props-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/709078\/","title":{"rendered":"Grizzlies vs Rockets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets &#038; Team Props"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Rockets are -13.5 favorites vs. the Grizzlies<\/p>\n<p>Total (Over\/Under): 225.5 points<\/p>\n<p>Watch the game on SCHN | FDSM<\/p>\n<p>The Memphis Grizzlies visit Toyota Center to take on the Houston Rockets on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30 pm in Houston, TX.<\/p>\n<p>The Rockets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-110).<\/p>\n<p>The Grizzlies vs Rockets Over\/Under is 225.5 total points for the game.<\/p>\n<p>So far this NBA season, the Grizzlies are 37-44 against the spread, while the Rockets are 35-46 against the spread.<\/p>\n<p><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/promo.nj.betmgm.com\/en\/promo\/geolocator?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" target=\"_blank\">Bet now on Rockets vs Grizzlies and all NBA games with BetMGM<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Grizzlies vs. Rockets Odds, Over\/Under &amp; Moneyline <\/p>\n<p>SpreadOver \/ UnderMoneylineMemphis Grizzlies+13.5 -110O 225.5 -115+575Houston Rockets -13.5 -110U 225.5 -105-900<\/p>\n<p>Rockets vs Grizzlies Prediction for Tonight\u2019s Game:<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color\">The winning team model predicts the Rockets will win Sunday\u2018s game with 70.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Grizzlies and Rockets.<\/p>\n<p>Rockets vs Grizzlies Spread Prediction:<\/p>\n<p>Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Grizzlies will cover the spread for Sunday\u2018s game with 65.3% confidence.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Rockets vs Grizzlies and all NBA games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>Grizzlies Best Bets for Tonight:<\/p>\n<p>The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 45 games (+15.85 Units \/ 31% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 22 away games (+14.15 Units \/ 63% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 35 games (+13.45 Units \/ 33% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 24 of their last 35 games (+11.08 Units \/ 27% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 50 games (+10.25 Units \/ 19% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Rockets Best Bets for Tonight:<\/p>\n<p>The Houston Rockets have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 30 games (+13.05 Units \/ 24% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Houston Rockets have covered the 2Q Spread in 21 of their last 30 games (+10.45 Units \/ 30% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games (+9.95 Units \/ 34% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Houston Rockets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 16 games at home (+9.90 Units \/ 20% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Houston Rockets have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+9.80 Units \/ 25% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Memphis Grizzlies Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 37-44 (-11.4 Units \/ -12.79% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>25-56 against the Moneyline (-29.55 Units \/ -29.71% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>40-39 against the Over for game total points (-2.9 Units \/ -3.25% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>39-40 against the Under for game total points (-5 Units \/ -5.61% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Houston Rockets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 35-46 (-15.55 Units \/ -17.46% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>51-30 against the Moneyline (-23.85 Units \/ -7.82% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>37-43 against the Over for game total points (-10.27 Units \/ -11.53% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>43-37 against the Under for game total points (+2.3 Units \/ 2.58% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Rockets:<\/p>\n<p>The Houston Rockets have only covered the 1Q Spread in 17 of their last 50 games (-21.35 Units \/ -37% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Houston Rockets have only covered the Spread in 17 of their last 50 games (-19.30 Units \/ -35% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Houston Rockets have only covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 50 games (-16.85 Units \/ -29% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Houston Rockets have only hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games (-16.35 Units \/ -9% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 50 games (-15.45 Units \/ -17% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Grizzlies:<\/p>\n<p>The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 10 of their last 50 games (-25.88 Units \/ -48% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 50 games (-24.55 Units \/ -44% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 45 games (-22.75 Units \/ -44% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 50 games (-22.00 Units \/ -41% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 2H Spread in 15 of their last 45 games (-19.66 Units \/ -38% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Jump to:<\/p>\n<p>Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets<\/p>\n<p>The Grizzlies are 2-24 (.077) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more this season \u2014 tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .212<\/p>\n<p>The Grizzlies are 13-15 (.464) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season \u2014 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .559<\/p>\n<p>The Grizzlies are 10-28 (.263) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season \u2014 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .427<\/p>\n<p>The Grizzlies are 36-102 (.261) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 8th-worst in the NBA. The Rockets have averaged 56.7 rebounds\/game  since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 highest in the NBA.<\/p>\n<p>Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies<\/p>\n<p>The Rockets are 7-1 (.875) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season \u2014 best among NBA teams; League Avg: .398<\/p>\n<p>The Rockets are 30-12 (.714) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season \u2014 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .459<\/p>\n<p>The Rockets are winless (0-3) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more this season \u2014 lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .212<\/p>\n<p>The Rockets are 52-17 (.754) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 9th-best in the NBA. The Grizzlies have allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three  since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 T-5th-worst in the NBA.<\/p>\n<p>Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Grizzlies have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (2,261 assists\/ 1,223 TOs)  this season \u2014 tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8<\/p>\n<p>The Grizzlies have averaged 56.4 points per game (4,566 points\/81 games) in the second half this season \u2014 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.9<\/p>\n<p>The Grizzlies have averaged 27.9 assists per game (2,261 assists\/81 games)  this season \u2014 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.7<\/p>\n<p>The Grizzlies have averaged 27.6 assists per game (1,103 assists\/40 games) on the road this season \u2014 tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.5<\/p>\n<p>Houston Rockets Offensive Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Rockets have averaged 20.8 offensive rebounds per game (5,094 rebounds\/245 games)  since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.0<\/p>\n<p>The Rockets have averaged 22.0 offensive rebounds per game (1,783 rebounds\/81 games)  this season \u2014 best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.8<\/p>\n<p>The Rockets have averaged 22.3 offensive rebounds per game (3,627 rebounds\/163 games)  since the start of the 2024-25 season \u2014 best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.4<\/p>\n<p>The Rockets have averaged 16.8 second chance points per game (4,107 points\/245 games)  since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3<\/p>\n<p>Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Grizzlies have averaged 33.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,684 rebounds\/81 games)  this season \u2014 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8<\/p>\n<p>The Grizzlies have allowed 17.9 second chance points per game (1,449 points\/81 games)  this season \u2014 highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 15.0<\/p>\n<p>The Grizzlies have allowed 9.3 second chance points per game (751 points\/81 games) in the second half this season \u2014 highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.5<\/p>\n<p>The Grizzlies have averaged 5.5 blocks per game (1,350 blocks\/245 games)  since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0<\/p>\n<p>Houston Rockets Defensive Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Rockets have averaged 5.7 blocks per game (466 blocks\/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2024-25 season \u2014 best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7<\/p>\n<p>The Rockets have averaged 5.7 blocks per game (465 blocks\/81 games)  this season \u2014 tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8<\/p>\n<p>The Rockets have blocked 465 shots  this season \u2014 2nd most among NBA teams<\/p>\n<p>The Rockets have averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (8,798 rebounds\/245 games)  since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1<\/p>\n<p><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/promo.nj.betmgm.com\/en\/promo\/geolocator?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" target=\"_blank\">Bet now on Rockets vs Grizzlies and all NBA games with BetMGM<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>At <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM<\/a>, you can <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">bet online<\/a> with updated <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/basketball-7\/betting\/usa-9\/nba-6004?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">NBA betting odds<\/a>. And with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/live\/betting?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">live sports betting<\/a>, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the <a href=\"https:\/\/apps.apple.com\/us\/app\/betmgm-sportsbook\/id1430875409\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM Sportsbook app<\/a>) experiences are at BetMGM.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Rockets are -13.5 favorites vs. the Grizzlies Total (Over\/Under): 225.5 points Watch the game on SCHN |&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":562100,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3794],"tags":[7,292,194,4066,6,211],"class_list":{"0":"post-709078","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-houston-rockets","8":"tag-basketball","9":"tag-houston","10":"tag-houston-rockets","11":"tag-houstonrockets","12":"tag-nba","13":"tag-rockets"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nba\/116392549627071589","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/709078","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=709078"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/709078\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/562100"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=709078"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=709078"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=709078"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}