{"id":709744,"date":"2026-04-13T16:51:15","date_gmt":"2026-04-13T16:51:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/709744\/"},"modified":"2026-04-13T16:51:15","modified_gmt":"2026-04-13T16:51:15","slug":"could-the-nbas-new-tanking-rules-harm-the-rockets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/709744\/","title":{"rendered":"Could the NBA\u2019s new tanking rules harm the Rockets?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">\u201cThey say they want you successful, but then they make it stressful, you start keeping pace, they start switching up the tempo.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Can\u2019t print the name of the song. Realistically, the comparison is arguably offensive. The Mighty Mos Def is talking about racial inequality in America. This article is going to be about the NBA\u2019s draft pick economy. Dear reader, just know that the quote comes from a place of unadulterated reverence.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Adam Silver\u2019s tenure as a commissioner has been\u2026busy. By now, one could describe him as a busybody. The NBA is like a single-celled organism in a petri dish. There are two scientists in the room. One thinks they\u2019ve introduced enough conditions, and ought to see how it grows organically. Silver is the other, and he wants to add more:<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">And more, and more, and more.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">He won\u2019t stop until the NBA is perfect. Problematically, the NBA will never be perfect. Silver seems unfamiliar with the law of unintended consequences.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">For example, he flattened the lottery odds to discourage tanking. So, more teams started tanking. If they didn\u2019t land \u201ctheir guy\u201d, they tanked for longer. Flattening the odds made tanking a bigger problem, so naturally, Silver is set to flatten them even more.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">The Houston Rockets are major stakeholders.<\/p>\n<p>Rockets could be impacted by new lottery odds<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Specifically, the new proposal would expand the lottery to 18 teams. Without knowing what the new odds would specifically look like, that might be a wash for the Rockets.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">In the 2027 Draft, the Rockets have swap rights with the Brooklyn Nets. The Nets are not necessarily on pace to escape the lottery, so if the rules are implemented this summer, that pick depreciates. That said, they also own the Suns\u2019 pick with no protections. Phoenix is likely to land just inside that bottom 18 mark, so the Rockets may have lottery odds on that pick that they weren\u2019t expecting.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">In 2029, the Rockets own the best of their own, Phoenix, and Dallas\u2019 picks. It\u2019s difficult to project so far out. In a vacuum, flatter odds should capture more lottery potential here, but a Phoenix implosion would suddenly be less beneficial for Houston than it would have been before.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">So, it\u2019s hard to say how this would impact the Rockets. It could help, and it could hinder.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">That\u2019s not entirely the point here.<\/p>\n<p>Rockets acquired picks under certain conditions<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">I\u2019ll be frank: This boils my blood.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">The NBA is a multilayered competition. There\u2019s competition at the immediate, on-court level, but there\u2019s competition between boardrooms as well. Imagine the league eliminates the corner three: How is that fair to teams that built their offense around generating corner threes?<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">So what\u2019s the difference? Silver is trying to enhance competition, but he\u2019s going directly against the league\u2019s competitive spirit in the process.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">These acquisitions were made with certain rules in mind. If the league wants to implement change, it should take hold starting in 2032, when no team owns another team\u2019s picks yet.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">That won\u2019t happen. Tanking is apparently a catastrophic emergency that needs to be fixed immediately. It feels like a strange stance from a man who recently described basketball as a \u201chighlight sport\u201d. If I were a betting man\u2026<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">I\u2019d bet that sports betting has something to do with it.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Anyone who\u2019s cheered for a tanking team is likely to disagree. It wasn\u2019t so bad, was it? Speaking personally, I\u2019ve preferred the experience of watching these young guys grow over, say, the Louis Scola \/ Kevin Martin years. Perpetual mediocrity is the real basement for the NBA fan experience, and you\u2019ll see a lot more Chicago Bulls team building with these rules.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Is that what Silver wants? He wants three contenders, and 27 teams with no chance to win, and minimal avenues to improve? If so, he\u2019s on his way:<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Even if it means changing the rules of a game that\u2019s still ongoing.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"\u201cThey say they want you successful, but then they make it stressful, you start keeping pace, they start&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":709745,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[7,6,12,22556],"class_list":{"0":"post-709744","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-nba-draft","8":"tag-basketball","9":"tag-nba","10":"tag-nba-draft","11":"tag-rockets-draft"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nba\/116398451081195169","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/709744","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=709744"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/709744\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/709745"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=709744"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=709744"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=709744"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}